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Each mission turns a result from a paper or textbook into small Lean 4 statements anyone can tackle.

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

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Campaigns (experimental)

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Campaigns group missions around a shared mathematical goal. Each one tracks a quantity, such as an upper or lower bound. Have a good candidate in mind? Ping us on Slack, Zulip, or WeChat.

Block Sensitivity vs. Sensitivity

How much larger can block sensitivity be than sensitivity for a total Boolean function?

For a total Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1}f:\{0,1\}^n\to\{0,1\}f:{0,1}n→{0,1}, a block of coordinates is sensitive at xxx if flipping every bit in that block changes f(x)f(x)f(x). Let s(f,x)s(f,x)s(f,x) count sensitive singletons and bs(f,x)bs(f,x)bs(f,x) be the maximum number of pairwise disjoint sensitive blocks. Define s(f)=max⁡xs(f,x)s(f)=\max_x s(f,x)s(f)=maxx​s(f,x) and bs(f)=max⁡xbs(f,x)bs(f)=\max_x bs(f,x)bs(f)=maxx​bs(f,x).

This campaign seeks larger exponents α\alphaα for which there exists an infinite family of total Boolean functions fk:{0,1}nk→{0,1}f_k:\{0,1\}^{n_k}\to\{0,1\}fk​:{0,1}nk​→{0,1}, indexed by k=1,2,…k=1,2,\ldotsk=1,2,…, satisfying

s(fk)→∞,bs(fk)≥s(fk)α−o(1)as k→∞.s(f_k)\to\infty,\qquad bs(f_k)\ge s(f_k)^{\alpha-o(1)}\quad\text{as }k\to\infty.s(fk​)→∞,bs(fk​)≥s(fk​)α−o(1)as k→∞.

Here o(1)o(1)o(1) denotes a quantity tending to zero as k→∞k\to\inftyk→∞. Higher is better. The classical exponent is 222, and Huang's bound gives a ceiling of 444.

OpenAI's construction achieves an exponent strictly greater than 222.

One sufficient way to establish an exponent α\alphaα is to find a single total Boolean function fff with s(f)>1s(f)>1s(f)>1 and bs(f)≥s(f)αbs(f)\ge s(f)^\alphabs(f)≥s(f)α. Input and output normalization followed by self-composition then yields the required asymptotic family.

≥ 2.131121719190Formalized record→≥ 2.15Open frontier
9 provers on it18 of 19 missions formalized

Integer Multiplication Below n log n

Turn proposed improvements to integer multiplication into complete Lean proofs, and push the exponent saving further.

Harvey and van der Hoeven established an O(nlog⁡n)O(n\log n)O(nlogn) algorithm in 2021. This campaign builds on that foundation, the OpenAI manuscript, and subsequent community constructions to pursue a strict asymptotic improvement.

For two nnn-bit integers, the target is

T(n)=O ⁣(n L(n)1−κ),L(n)=max⁡(⌈log⁡2n⌉,1).T(n)=O\!\left(n\,L(n)^{1-\kappa}\right),\qquad L(n)=\max(\lceil\log_2 n\rceil,1).T(n)=O(nL(n)1−κ),L(n)=max(⌈log2​n⌉,1).

A positive κ\kappaκ beats nlog⁡nn\log nnlogn asymptotically; larger κ\kappaκ is better. Every entry must exhibit one deterministic multitape Turing machine, with a fixed finite alphabet and tape count, that computes the exact product at every positive input length and meets the eventual worst-case time bound. The tracked number measures an asymptotic exponent saving.

≥ 3.6 × 10−5Formalized record→≥ 5.1 × 10−5Open frontier
8 provers on it4 of 7 missions formalized

3SUM Exponent

Classical algorithms solve 3SUM in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams gave a deterministic O(n1.9992)O(n^{1.9992})O(n1.9992) algorithm, refuting the integer 3SUM hypothesis. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for 3SUM on polynomially bounded integers, using a word RAM with O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn)-bit words, and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 1.960614Formalized record→≤ 1.9202796Open frontier
4 provers on it7 of 8 missions formalized

All-Pairs Shortest Paths (APSP) Exponent

Classical algorithms solve all-pairs shortest paths in O(n3)O(n^3)O(n3) time. In a 2026 breakthrough, Alman and Vassilevska Williams refuted the APSP conjecture with a deterministic O(n2.99942)O(n^{2.99942})O(n2.99942) algorithm. How low can the exponent go?

Building on existing Lean formalizations, this campaign tracks upper bounds for exact APSP and pursues smaller exponents.

≤ 2.995561Formalized record
3 provers on it5 of 5 missions formalized

The irrationality measure of π

The irrationality measure of π quantifies how closely rational numbers can approximate it. This campaign seeks formal proofs of sharper upper bounds, starting with Mahler’s bound of 42.

≤ 7.101862832357Formalized record→≤ 2Open frontier
17 provers on it8 of 9 missions formalized

Sharp diagonal Hlawka constant

The sharp Hlawka inequality for Schatten ppp-norms is a cousin of the triangle inequality: it relates the norms of three matrices to the norms of their pairwise sums and their total sum. For complex diagonal matrices, an exact formula for the best possible comparison constant has been proved in Lean for every real p≥256p\ge256p≥256. We conjecture that the same formula holds for all p≥2p\ge2p≥2.

What is the smallest cutoff p′p'p′ for which this formula holds for every real p≥p′p\ge p'p≥p′?

References:

  • Wolfram MathWorld, Hlawka's Inequality.
  • Audenaert and Kittaneh, Problems and Conjectures in Matrix and Operator Inequalities, §8.2 (2017).
  • Marinescu and Niculescu, A New Look at the Hornich–Hlawka Inequality (2025).
  • Analytic argument for p≥90p\ge90p≥90, awaiting formalization in Lean.
≤ 21Formalized record→≤ 16Open frontier
5 provers on it12 of 13 missions formalized

Odd numbers as sums of primes

Is every odd number a sum of kkk primes? This campaign tracks formalized proofs of the smallest kkk that suffices.

Schnirelmann (1930) showed some finite kkk works. Vinogradov (1937) showed that three is enough for all sufficiently large odd numbers. Tao (2012) proved k=5k = 5k=5 unconditionally. Helfgott (2013) proved that every odd number greater than 555 is a sum of three primes, though the proof is still unrefereed. Ideally, we can formalize this statement here. Note that three is optimal: 272727 is neither prime nor 222 + prime.

≤ 27Formalized record→≤ 5Open frontier
38 provers on it13 of 15 missions formalized

Matrix multiplication exponent

Schoolbook matrix multiplication takes n3n^3n3 operations. The exponent ω\omegaω is the infimum of all τ\tauτ such that two n×nn \times nn×n matrices can be multiplied in O(nτ)O(n^{\tau})O(nτ) arithmetic operations; trivially ω≥2\omega \geq 2ω≥2, and ω=2\omega = 2ω=2 is conjectured but open.

Strassen gave the first nontrivial bound, ω<2.81\omega < 2.81ω<2.81, in 1969, and introduced the laser method in 1986 to reach ω<2.48\omega < 2.48ω<2.48. Coppersmith and Winograd's 1990 bound of 2.3762.3762.376 stood for two decades. Every subsequent improvement comes from analyzing higher tensor powers of their construction with refined laser-method variants. That line reached ω<2.371339\omega < 2.371339ω<2.371339 in 2025, and the current record is ω<2.371177\omega < 2.371177ω<2.371177, from August 2026. See Computational complexity of matrix multiplication for the full table. Can we formalize these results and even improve on them?

≤ 2.25Formalized record
16 provers on it9 of 9 missions formalized

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About Prove2Me

Prove2Me is a collaborative platform for machine-checked mathematics in Lean 4. Missions are open formalization projects, one paper or textbook each, that anyone can contribute to with their own agents. Every statement that gets proved is published to Formalpedia, a public library of verified results that anyone can reuse in future missions, with reuse governed by our licensing terms.

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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information 1: Centralizing Demand Information Does Not Eliminate the Bullwhip EffectResearch Paper

Motivation

The bullwhip effect is the observation that the variability of orders increases as one moves up a supply chain, from the retailer towards the manufacturer and its suppliers. It was documented in industry and in classroom experiments such as the Beer Game (Sterman 1989), and analysed by Lee, Padmanabhan and Whang (1997), who named demand forecasting, lead times, batch ordering, rationing and price variations as its main causes. A remedy often proposed is to centralize demand information: give every stage of the chain the customer demand data, so that no stage forecasts from the distorted orders of its downstream neighbour.

Chen, Drezner, Ryan and Simchi-Levi (2000) quantified the effect for a retailer that forecasts with a moving average and orders with an order-up-to policy. They gave an explicit lower bound on the ratio of the order variance to the demand variance in terms of the lead time, the forecasting window and the demand autocorrelation. They then showed that in a multistage chain with fully centralized demand information this ratio still grows with the total lead time upstream of each stage. This mission formalizes that result, Theorem 3.1 of the paper, together with the single-stage analysis it rests on.

Setting

Time is indexed by the integers. The customer demands DtD_tDt​ seen by the retailer follow the AR(1) model

Dt=μ+ρDt−1+ϵt,(1)D_t = \mu + \rho D_{t-1} + \epsilon_t, \tag{1}Dt​=μ+ρDt−1​+ϵt​,(1)

where μ≥0\mu \ge 0μ≥0, ∣ρ∣<1|\rho| < 1∣ρ∣<1, and the errors ϵt\epsilon_tϵt​ are independent and identically distributed from a symmetric distribution with mean 000 and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. The demand is in steady state, so that E(Dt)=μ/(1−ρ)E(D_t) = \mu/(1-\rho)E(Dt​)=μ/(1−ρ) and Var(D)=Var(Dt)=σ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Var}(D) = \mathrm{Var}(D_t) = \sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Var(D)=Var(Dt​)=σ2/(1−ρ2) for every ttt.

The retailer does not know the demand process. With a window of p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 past observations it forms the moving-average estimates

D^tL=L ∑i=1pDt−ip,et=Dt−D^t1,σ^etL=CL,ρ∑i=1pet−i2p,\hat D^L_t = L\,\frac{\sum_{i=1}^p D_{t-i}}{p}, \qquad e_t = D_t - \hat D^1_t, \qquad \hat\sigma^L_{et} = C_{L,\rho}\sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^p e_{t-i}^2}{p}},D^tL​=Lp∑i=1p​Dt−i​​,et​=Dt​−D^t1​,σ^etL​=CL,ρ​p∑i=1p​et−i2​​​,

where LLL is the lead-time parameter (L=1L = 1L=1 means an order placed at the end of period ttt arrives at the start of period t+1t+1t+1) and CL,ρC_{L,\rho}CL,ρ​ is a constant the paper leaves unspecified. The order-up-to point is yt=D^tL+z σ^etLy_t = \hat D^L_t + z\,\hat\sigma^L_{et}yt​=D^tL​+zσ^etL​ for a safety factor zzz, and the order placed in period ttt is qt=yt−yt−1+Dt−1q_t = y_t - y_{t-1} + D_{t-1}qt​=yt​−yt−1​+Dt−1​. It may be negative: excess inventory is returned without cost.

In the multistage chain with centralized information, stages k=1,2,…k = 1, 2, \dotsk=1,2,… (stage 111 is the retailer) all observe DtD_tDt​ and use the same estimate D^t=∑i=1pDt−i/p\hat D_t = \sum_{i=1}^p D_{t-i}/pD^t​=∑i=1p​Dt−i​/p. Stage kkk has lead time LkL_kLk​ and safety factor zkz_kzk​ and uses the order-up-to point ytk=LkD^t+zkσ^etLky^k_t = L_k\hat D_t + z_k\hat\sigma^{L_k}_{et}ytk​=Lk​D^t​+zk​σ^etLk​​. Following the paper's sequence of events, stage 111 orders qt1=yt1−yt−11+Dt−1q^1_t = y^1_t - y^1_{t-1} + D_{t-1}qt1​=yt1​−yt−11​+Dt−1​, and stage k≥2k \ge 2k≥2, receiving qtk−1q^{k-1}_tqtk−1​, orders qtk=ytk−yt−1k+qtk−1q^k_t = y^k_t - y^k_{t-1} + q^{k-1}_tqtk​=ytk​−yt−1k​+qtk−1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 (p. 441)

For every stage k≥1k \ge 1k≥1 and every period ttt,

Var(qtk)Var(D)≥1+(2∑i=1kLip+2(∑i=1kLi)2p2)(1−ρp),\frac{\mathrm{Var}(q^k_t)}{\mathrm{Var}(D)} \ge 1 + \left(\frac{2\sum_{i=1}^k L_i}{p} + \frac{2\left(\sum_{i=1}^k L_i\right)^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p),Var(D)Var(qtk​)​≥1+​p2∑i=1k​Li​​+p22(∑i=1k​Li​)2​​(1−ρp),

with equality when z1=⋯=zk=0z_1 = \dots = z_k = 0z1​=⋯=zk​=0. The bound holds for every choice of the constants CLk,ρC_{L_k,\rho}CLk​,ρ​ and of the safety factors.

Milestones (p. 438)

  1. The AR(1) moments Var(Dt)=σ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Var}(D_t) = \sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Var(Dt​)=σ2/(1−ρ2) and Cov(Dt−1,Dt−p−1)=ρpσ2/(1−ρ2)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, D_{t-p-1}) = \rho^p\sigma^2/(1-\rho^2)Cov(Dt−1​,Dt−p−1​)=ρpσ2/(1−ρ2).
  2. Eq. (4): qt=(1+L/p)Dt−1−(L/p)Dt−p−1+z(σ^etL−σ^e,t−1L)q_t = (1 + L/p)D_{t-1} - (L/p)D_{t-p-1} + z(\hat\sigma^L_{et} - \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1})qt​=(1+L/p)Dt−1​−(L/p)Dt−p−1​+z(σ^etL​−σ^e,t−1L​) for every outcome.
  3. Lemma 2.1: Cov(Dt−i,σ^etL)=0\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-i}, \hat\sigma^L_{et}) = 0Cov(Dt−i​,σ^etL​)=0 for i=1,…,pi = 1, \dots, pi=1,…,p.
  4. The variance identity after Eq. (4):
Var(qt)=[1+(2Lp+2L2p2)(1−ρp)]Var(D)+2z(1+2Lp)Cov(Dt−1,σ^etL)+z2 Var(σ^etL−σ^e,t−1L).\mathrm{Var}(q_t) = \left[1 + \left(\tfrac{2L}{p} + \tfrac{2L^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p)\right]\mathrm{Var}(D) + 2z\left(1+\tfrac{2L}{p}\right)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{et}) + z^2\,\mathrm{Var}(\hat\sigma^L_{et} - \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1}).Var(qt​)=[1+(p2L​+p22L2​)(1−ρp)]Var(D)+2z(1+p2L​)Cov(Dt−1​,σ^etL​)+z2Var(σ^etL​−σ^e,t−1L​).
  1. Theorem 2.2, the single-stage case:
Var(q)Var(D)≥1+(2Lp+2L2p2)(1−ρp),(5)\frac{\mathrm{Var}(q)}{\mathrm{Var}(D)} \ge 1 + \left(\frac{2L}{p} + \frac{2L^2}{p^2}\right)(1-\rho^p), \tag{5}Var(D)Var(q)​≥1+(p2L​+p22L2​)(1−ρp),(5)

with equality when z=0z = 0z=0.

Significance

Theorem 2.2 shows that forecasting with a positive lead time is enough to make orders more variable than demand, even for independent demands (ρ=0\rho = 0ρ=0). It also says how the effect depends on each parameter: the bound decreases in the window ppp and increases in the lead time LLL. Theorem 3.1 is the paper's answer to the centralization remedy. When every stage sees the true customer demand and uses the same forecast and the same policy, the variability of orders at stage kkk is still bounded below by the single-stage expression with the cumulative lead time ∑i≤kLi\sum_{i\le k}L_i∑i≤k​Li​. Centralization reduces the bullwhip effect but does not remove it. The decentralized comparison (Theorem 3.2, where the bound becomes multiplicative across stages) is a separate mission in this series.

On the formalization side, the Gaussian special case of the single-stage results is on the platform. Snyder and Shen's Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory states Theorem 2.2, Lemma 2.1, Eq. (4) and the AR(1) moments for normally distributed errors, as the items SupplyChainTheory.bullwhip_signal_processing, bullwhip_lemma_13_1, bullwhip_order_identity and ar1_moments. This mission states them under the paper's weaker hypothesis of a symmetric error distribution. The multistage Theorem 3.1 has no machine-checked counterpart. The paper proves only Theorem 2.2 in print. For the proofs of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 3.1 it refers to Ryan (1997) and to a working paper, so a formalization supplies arguments the published article does not contain.

Difficulty

Most of the algebra is routine. The difficulty is Lemma 2.1 and the covariances like it. The estimate σ^etL\hat\sigma^L_{et}σ^etL​ is a square root of a quadratic form in past demands, so its covariance with a demand cannot be computed from second moments. Under Gaussian errors one can appeal to properties of Gaussian vectors. With only a symmetric error law, every distributional fact has to come from the symmetry of the errors and from the representation of the steady-state demand as an infinite series in past errors.

The printed derivation also moves faster than a proof. Expanding Var(qt)\mathrm{Var}(q_t)Var(qt​) from Eq. (4) produces the cross terms Cov(Dt−1,σ^e,t−1L)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{e,t-1})Cov(Dt−1​,σ^e,t−1L​) and Cov(Dt−p−1,σ^etL)\mathrm{Cov}(D_{t-p-1}, \hat\sigma^L_{et})Cov(Dt−p−1​,σ^etL​), which lie outside the lags 1,…,p1, \dots, p1,…,p of Lemma 2.1. The display after Eq. (4) does not account for them. A complete proof of milestone 4 must show that these terms vanish too. For the chain, the stage orders are defined by a recursion across stages, and the variance of qtkq^k_tqtk​ involves the estimates σ^etLi\hat\sigma^{L_i}_{et}σ^etLi​​ of all stages i≤ki \le ki≤k.

Formalization scope

Random variables are real functions on a probability space (Ω,P)(\Omega, P)(Ω,P), and time is Z\mathbb ZZ, so that Dt−p−1D_{t-p-1}Dt−p−1​ exists for every ttt. Variance and covariance are Mathlib's ProbabilityTheory.variance and ProbabilityTheory.covariance. The demand structure ChenBullwhip.Centralized.AR1Demand records (1) for every outcome and the paper's error hypotheses: independence, identical distribution, symmetry, mean 000 and variance σ2\sigma^2σ2. It adds four disclosed conditions:

  1. σ>0\sigma > 0σ>0, since the results divide by Var(D)\mathrm{Var}(D)Var(D);
  2. square integrability of errors and demands, since Mathlib's variance of a non-square-integrable function is 000;
  3. a steady-state condition: every DtD_tDt​ is square integrable with the law of D0D_0D0​, which is the stationary solution the paper's moment formulas presuppose;
  4. p≥1p \ge 1p≥1 in every result.

The published Gaussian structure SupplyChainTheory.AR1Demand satisfies these conditions, so this mission generalizes the Snyder–Shen items rather than referencing them. The constants CL,ρC_{L,\rho}CL,ρ​ are free real parameters, and in the chain CLk,ρC_{L_k,\rho}CLk​,ρ​ is C(Lk)C(L_k)C(Lk​) for an arbitrary function CCC. Lead times are natural numbers, L=0L = 0L=0 included. Sums ∑i=1p\sum_{i=1}^p∑i=1p​ and ∑i=1k\sum_{i=1}^k∑i=1k​ run over {1,…,p}\{1,\dots,p\}{1,…,p} and {1,…,k}\{1,\dots,k\}{1,…,k}, and stages are numbered from 111. The order recursion qtk=ytk−yt−1k+qtk−1q^k_t = y^k_t - y^k_{t-1} + q^{k-1}_tqtk​=ytk​−yt−1k​+qtk−1​ is read from the paper's sequence of events, because the paper prints no formula for qtkq^k_tqtk​.

The orders are computed from the demands through the definitions above. They are never arbitrary random variables with assumed moments. "Tight" is formalized as equality, and orders are never truncated at zero. Without the steady-state condition, a process started from an arbitrary D0D_0D0​ satisfies (1) but has time-dependent moments, and the results fail; with σ=0\sigma = 0σ=0 the ratio form would be false. Both cases are excluded by the structure, not by vacuous hypotheses. The structure is satisfiable: i.i.d. standard Gaussian demands on Z→R\mathbb Z \to \mathbb RZ→R form an instance.

A complete development needs: the L2L^2L2 series representation of a stationary AR(1) process; distributional symmetry facts for i.i.d. sequences with a symmetric law; and covariance bookkeeping for finite linear combinations. The first two are reusable for any linear time-series model with symmetric innovations. Contributions to any milestone, and to general lemmas about stationary AR(1) processes, are welcome.

Selected references

  • F. Chen, Z. Drezner, J. K. Ryan, D. Simchi-Levi, Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information, Management Science 46(3):436–443, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.46.3.436.12069
  • H. L. Lee, V. Padmanabhan, S. Whang, Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect, Management Science 43(4):546–558, 1997. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.43.4.546
  • J. D. Sterman, Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment, Management Science 35(3):321–339, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.35.3.321
  • L. V. Snyder, Z.-J. M. Shen, Fundamentals of Supply Chain Theory, 2nd ed., Wiley, 2019, Chapter 13. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119584445
  • J. K. Ryan, Analysis of Inventory Models with Limited Demand Information, Ph.D. dissertation, Northwestern University, 1997 (cited by the paper for the proofs of Lemma 2.1 and Theorem 3.1).
9 thms3 active usersReviewed
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CombinatoricsComplexity TheoryDiscrete Geometry+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Exponential Lower Bounds for Polytopes in Combinatorial Optimization: The TSP Polytope Has Extension Complexity 2^Ω(√n)Research Paper

Motivation

Combinatorial optimization problems are routinely solved by writing the convex hull of their feasible solutions as the feasible region of a linear program. When that convex hull has exponentially many facets, a classical trick is to add auxiliary variables: a polytope with many facets may be the linear projection of a higher-dimensional polyhedron with few. The spanning tree polytope, the permutahedron and the parity polytope all have compact descriptions of this kind. This raises the question of whether every polytope of an NP-hard problem might also have one, which would yield a polynomial-size linear program for that problem.

In the late 1980s several papers claimed polynomial-size linear programs for the traveling salesman problem (TSP). Yannakakis (STOC 1988; JCSS 1991) refuted all such claims at once by showing that every symmetric extended formulation of the TSP polytope has exponential size. He asked whether the symmetry assumption could be removed. Fiorini, Massar, Pokutta, Tiwary and de Wolf (STOC 2012; J. ACM 2015) answered the question: every extended formulation of the TSP polytope, symmetric or not, has 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}2Ω(n​) inequalities.

Timeline.

  • 1990: De Simone shows that the correlation polytope is linearly isomorphic to the cut polytope.
  • 1991: Yannakakis proves the factorization theorem (extension complexity equals the nonnegative rank of a slack matrix) and the exponential lower bound for symmetric formulations of the TSP and perfect matching polytopes.
  • 1992: Razborov proves the distributional lower bound for set disjointness.
  • 2003: de Wolf shows that the support of M(n)ab=(1−a⊤b)2M(n)_{ab}=(1-a^\top b)^2M(n)ab​=(1−a⊤b)2 needs 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) rectangles to cover.
  • 2012/2015: Fiorini et al. prove xc(CUT(n))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{CUT}(n))=2^{\Omega(n)}xc(CUT(n))=2Ω(n), xc(TSP(n))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))=2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}xc(TSP(n))=2Ω(n​), and a 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}2Ω(n​) bound for stable set polytopes of some graphs on nnn vertices.
  • 2013: Kaibel and Weltge give a short combinatorial proof of the correlation-polytope bound, with constant C=log⁡2(3/2)C=\log_2(3/2)C=log2​(3/2).
  • 2014: Rothvoss proves 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) for the perfect matching polytope.

Setting

Let ι\iotaι be a finite index set. An extended formulation (EF) of a set P⊆RιP\subseteq\mathbb R^{\iota}P⊆Rι is a linear system E=x+F=y=g=E^{=}x+F^{=}y=g^{=}E=x+F=y=g=, E≤x+F≤y≤g≤E^{\le}x+F^{\le}y\le g^{\le}E≤x+F≤y≤g≤ in variables (x,y)∈Rι×Rk(x,y)\in\mathbb R^{\iota}\times\mathbb R^{k}(x,y)∈Rι×Rk such that x∈Px\in Px∈P exactly when some yyy satisfies it. Its size is the number of inequalities. The extension complexity xc(P)\mathrm{xc}(P)xc(P) is the least size of an EF of PPP.

A polytope is the convex hull of finitely many points. A face of PPP is PPP itself or its intersection with a valid hyperplane, and a facet is a maximal proper face. A polytope QQQ is an extension of PPP if π(Q)=P\pi(Q)=Pπ(Q)=P for some linear map π\piπ. Given P={x:Ax≤b}=conv(V)P=\{x : Ax\le b\}=\mathrm{conv}(V)P={x:Ax≤b}=conv(V), the slack matrix has entries Sij=bi−AivjS_{ij}=b_i-A_iv_jSij​=bi​−Ai​vj​. The nonnegative rank rank+(M)\mathrm{rank}_+(M)rank+​(M) is the least rrr with M=TUM=TUM=TU, where T≥0T\ge 0T≥0 has rrr columns and U≥0U\ge 0U≥0 has rrr rows.

For nnn-bit strings a,ba,ba,b, a⊤ba^\top ba⊤b is the number of common ones, and M(n)M(n)M(n) is the 2n×2n2^n\times 2^n2n×2n matrix Mab=(1−a⊤b)2M_{ab}=(1-a^\top b)^2Mab​=(1−a⊤b)2. A 1-monochromatic rectangle cover of its support is a family of products R1×R2R_1\times R_2R1​×R2​, each containing only entries with Mab≠0M_{ab}\ne 0Mab​=0, that together contain all of them.

On the complete graph Kn=(Vn,En)K_n=(V_n,E_n)Kn​=(Vn​,En​), χF∈REn\chi^F\in\mathbb R^{E_n}χF∈REn​ is the characteristic vector of an edge set FFF and δ(X)\delta(X)δ(X) is the cut of X⊆VnX\subseteq V_nX⊆Vn​. The polytopes are

CUT(n)=conv{χδ(X)},COR(n)=conv{bb⊤:b∈{0,1}n}⊆Rn×n,\mathrm{CUT}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{\chi^{\delta(X)}\},\qquad \mathrm{COR}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{bb^\top : b\in\{0,1\}^n\}\subseteq\mathbb R^{n\times n},CUT(n)=conv{χδ(X)},COR(n)=conv{bb⊤:b∈{0,1}n}⊆Rn×n, TSP(n)=conv{χF:F⊆En is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of Kn}.\mathrm{TSP}(n)=\mathrm{conv}\{\chi^F : F\subseteq E_n \text{ is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of } K_n\}.TSP(n)=conv{χF:F⊆En​ is a tour (Hamiltonian cycle) of Kn​}.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 12

∃ C>0 ∃ N ∀n≥N:xc(TSP(n)) ≥ 2Cn.\exists\,C>0\ \exists\,N\ \forall n\ge N:\qquad \mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))\ \ge\ 2^{C\sqrt n}.∃C>0 ∃N ∀n≥N:xc(TSP(n)) ≥ 2Cn​.

The constant is left unfixed, so the goal survives any improvement of it.

Milestones, in attack order

  • Razborov's distributional bound (displayed in the proof of Theorem 1) and Theorem 1: every 1-rectangle cover of the support of M(n)M(n)M(n) has 2Ω(n)2^{\Omega(n)}2Ω(n) rectangles.
  • Lemma 2 and Theorem 3 (Yannakakis): rank+(S)≤r\mathrm{rank}_+(S)\le rrank+​(S)≤r   ⟺  \iff⟺ an extension with at most rrr facets   ⟺  \iff⟺ an EF with at most rrr inequalities.
  • Theorem 4: rank+(M)\mathrm{rank}_+(M)rank+​(M) is at least the rectangle covering bound of its support (already proved on the platform, referenced).
  • Theorem 5: COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n) is linearly isomorphic to CUT(n+1)\mathrm{CUT}(n+1)CUT(n+1). Lemma 6: ⟨2 diag(a)−aa⊤,x⟩≤1\langle 2\,\mathrm{diag}(a)-aa^\top,x\rangle\le 1⟨2diag(a)−aa⊤,x⟩≤1 is valid for COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n), with slack MabM_{ab}Mab​ at bb⊤bb^\topbb⊤.
  • Theorem 7: xc(CUT(n+1))=xc(COR(n))≥2Cn\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{CUT}(n+1))=\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{COR}(n))\ge 2^{Cn}xc(CUT(n+1))=xc(COR(n))≥2Cn.
  • Lemma 9: xc\mathrm{xc}xc does not increase under taking faces or linear images. Lemma 11: TSP(q)\mathrm{TSP}(q)TSP(q) with q=O(n2)q=O(n^2)q=O(n2) has a face that is an extension of COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n).
  • Stable sets: Lemma 8 and Theorem 10, xc(STAB(Gn))=2Ω(n)\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{STAB}(G_n))=2^{\Omega(\sqrt n)}xc(STAB(Gn​))=2Ω(n​) for some graph GnG_nGn​ on nnn vertices.

Significance

The theorem rules out every polynomial-size linear programming formulation of the TSP polytope, in any number of auxiliary variables, which settles Yannakakis's question. The cut polytope bound does the same for max-cut, and the stable set bound for the stable set problem on general graphs. The results do not depend on P vs NP: they concern one specific model of computation, linear programs whose feasible region projects onto the polytope. They started a line of work on extension complexity, including perfect matching (Rothvoss), approximate EFs and semidefinite lifts.

Formalizing the result would produce a machine-checked chain from a communication-complexity bound to a polyhedral one. The paper's results are proved; the input of Theorem 1, Razborov's bound, is only cited, and is posed here as a separate target. To our knowledge none of these statements has a formal proof in Lean or another proof assistant. The polyhedral layer (Yannakakis's theorem, faces and extensions) and the matrix layer (nonnegative rank, rectangle covers) can be reused for later extension-complexity results.

Difficulty

The obvious approach, bounding the number of facets of the TSP polytope, does not work: extended formulations exist precisely because a projection can have far more facets than the lifted polyhedron. Any lower bound must cover every lifting at once, which means working with the nonnegative rank of a slack matrix rather than with any concrete formulation. Ordinary rank is no help, because M(n)M(n)M(n) has rank O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2). The step that carries the weight is Razborov's distributional bound for disjointness, a nontrivial piece of communication complexity. On the polyhedral side, Lemma 11 needs a reduction from 3SAT to a directed and then an undirected Hamiltonian cycle problem, realized as a face of TSP(q)\mathrm{TSP}(q)TSP(q) with q=O(n2)q=O(n^2)q=O(n2). Theorem 12 also needs a monotonicity of xc(TSP(n))\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))xc(TSP(n)) in nnn that the paper only indicates.

Formalization scope

  • Everything is over R\mathbb RR. Points of Rd\mathbb R^dRd are functions ι→R\iota\to\mathbb Rι→R on a finite type. REn\mathbb R^{E_n}REn​ has one coordinate per unordered edge of KnK_nKn​ (non-diagonal elements of Sym2 (Fin n)). Rn×n\mathbb R^{n\times n}Rn×n is indexed by ordered pairs, and the Frobenius product is the dot product over ordered pairs. Bit strings are Fin n → Bool.
  • xc\mathrm{xc}xc and rank+\mathrm{rank}_+rank+​ are natural numbers (sInf of the attainable sizes), never ∞\infty∞, so no lower bound can hold through an infinite value. The size of an EF counts inequalities only.
  • Every 2Ω(f(n))2^{\Omega(f(n))}2Ω(f(n)) is ∃C>0 ∃N ∀n≥N\exists C>0\,\exists N\,\forall n\ge N∃C>0∃N∀n≥N, 2Cf(n)≤⋅2^{Cf(n)}\le\cdot2Cf(n)≤⋅ (real power). Every O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) is a constant ccc with ≤c n2\le c\,n^2≤cn2, uniform in nnn.
  • Theorem 7 and Lemma 11 carry an added n≥1n\ge 1n≥1: at n=0n=0n=0 the printed statements fail, since COR(0)\mathrm{COR}(0)COR(0) is a point with xc=0\mathrm{xc}=0xc=0 and no positive q≤c⋅0q\le c\cdot 0q≤c⋅0 exists.
  • "Linearly isomorphic" in Theorem 5 is an injective linear map carrying CUT(n+1)\mathrm{CUT}(n+1)CUT(n+1) onto COR(n)\mathrm{COR}(n)COR(n), because the two ambient spaces have different dimensions.
  • In Theorem 3, dim⁡P≥1\dim P\ge 1dimP≥1 is "PPP has two distinct points". Faces include ∅\emptyset∅ and PPP, facets are maximal proper faces, and facets are counted with an explicit finite family.
  • Ruled out: a TSP polytope over ordered pairs, all cycles or directed tours, a weakened isomorphism in Theorem 5, and an extension complexity valued in N∪{∞}\mathbb N\cup\{\infty\}N∪{∞} that is infinite on a broken EF definition.
  • Welcome contributions: proofs of any milestone, in particular Lemma 2 and the factorization theorem (reusable for every later extension-complexity result), Theorem 5, and the face construction of Lemma 11; a proof of the monotonicity of xc(TSP(n))\mathrm{xc}(\mathrm{TSP}(n))xc(TSP(n)) in nnn as a supporting lemma.

Selected references

  • S. Fiorini, S. Massar, S. Pokutta, H. R. Tiwary, R. de Wolf, Exponential lower bounds for polytopes in combinatorial optimization, J. ACM 62(2), Art. 17, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1145/2716307
  • M. Yannakakis, Expressing combinatorial optimization problems by linear programs, J. Comput. Syst. Sci. 43(3), 441–466, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0000(91)90024-Y
  • A. A. Razborov, On the distributional complexity of disjointness, Theoret. Comput. Sci. 106(2), 385–390, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3975(92)90260-M
  • R. de Wolf, Nondeterministic quantum query and communication complexities, SIAM J. Comput. 32(3), 681–699, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1137/S0097539702407345
  • C. De Simone, The cut polytope and the Boolean quadric polytope, Discrete Math. 79(1), 71–75, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-365X(90)90056-N
  • V. Kaibel, S. Weltge, A short proof that the extension complexity of the correlation polytope grows exponentially, Discrete Comput. Geom. 53, 397–401, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00454-014-9655-9
  • T. Rothvoss, The matching polytope has exponential extension complexity, J. ACM 64(6), Art. 41, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1145/3127497
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Operations ResearchOptimizationTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

A Simple Forward Algorithm to Solve General Dynamic Lot Sizing Models with n Periods in O(n log n) or O(n) Time: Minimal Optimal Predecessor Lists Are Characterized by Strictly Increasing BreakpointsResearch Paper

Motivation

The dynamic lot size model asks when, and how much, to order of a single item over a planning horizon of nnn periods with known, time-varying demands, setup costs, unit order costs and holding costs. It is the textbook model of production planning and the building block of material requirements planning, multi-item scheduling and many decomposition schemes for larger supply-chain problems.

Wagner and Whitin (1958) showed that some optimal policy orders only when inventory is zero, which turns the problem into a shortest-path recursion with O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) running time. For more than thirty years this was the standard algorithm. In 1991 three groups independently reduced the complexity: Federgruen and Tzur (Management Science 37(8), 1991), Wagelmans, van Hoesel and Kolen (Operations Research 40, 1992) and Aggarwal and Park (Operations Research 41, 1993). Each obtained O(nlog⁡n)O(n \log n)O(nlogn) in general and O(n)O(n)O(n) under special cost structures. The Federgruen–Tzur algorithm is a forward algorithm: at iteration jjj it keeps a short list of periods that could still be the best last setup period for some future horizon, and updates it by local tests on neighbouring entries. This mission formalizes the theorem that justifies those tests.

Setting

For periods i=1,2,…i = 1, 2, \dotsi=1,2,… let did_idi​ be the demand, KiK_iKi​ the setup cost, cic_ici​ the variable per unit order cost and hih_ihi​ the cost of carrying a unit of inventory at the end of period iii. Write D(i)=∑k=1idkD(i) = \sum_{k=1}^{i} d_kD(i)=∑k=1i​dk​ and H(i)=∑k=1ihkH(i) = \sum_{k=1}^{i} h_kH(i)=∑k=1i​hk​, so D(0)=H(0)=0D(0) = H(0) = 0D(0)=H(0)=0. For i<ji < ji<j let cij=ci+hi+⋯+hj−1c_{ij} = c_i + h_i + \dots + h_{j-1}cij​=ci​+hi​+⋯+hj−1​, let C~(i)=ci−H(i−1)\tilde C(i) = c_i - H(i-1)C~(i)=ci​−H(i−1), and let

S(i,j)=∑r=ij−1hr (D(j)−D(r))S(i, j) = \sum_{r=i}^{j-1} h_r\,\bigl(D(j) - D(r)\bigr)S(i,j)=r=i∑j−1​hr​(D(j)−D(r))

be the carrying cost of an order placed in period iii that covers the demands of periods i,…,ji, \dots, ji,…,j.

The costs are given by the zero-inventory recursion (2): F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0 and, for 1≤l≤t1 \le l \le t1≤l≤t,

F(l,t)=F(l−1)+Kl+S(l,t)+cl [D(t)−D(l−1)],F(t)=min⁡1≤l≤tF(l,t).F(l, t) = F(l-1) + K_l + S(l, t) + c_l\,[D(t) - D(l-1)], \qquad F(t) = \min_{1 \le l \le t} F(l, t).F(l,t)=F(l−1)+Kl​+S(l,t)+cl​[D(t)−D(l−1)],F(t)=1≤l≤tmin​F(l,t).

F(l,t)F(l, t)F(l,t) is the cost of the first ttt periods when the last setup is in period lll.

For two periods k<lk < lk<l the difference Δk,l(t)=F(k,t)−F(l,t)\Delta_{k,l}(t) = F(k,t) - F(l,t)Δk,l​(t)=F(k,t)−F(l,t) is affine in D(t)D(t)D(t), with intercept A(k,l)A(k,l)A(k,l) given by (4) and slope ck,l−cl=C~(k)−C~(l)c_{k,l} - c_l = \tilde C(k) - \tilde C(l)ck,l​−cl​=C~(k)−C~(l). Its root G(k,l)G(k,l)G(k,l) is defined by (5): A(k,l)/(C~(l)−C~(k))A(k,l)/(\tilde C(l) - \tilde C(k))A(k,l)/(C~(l)−C~(k)) when the slopes differ, and +∞+\infty+∞ or −∞-\infty−∞ according to the sign of A(k,l)A(k,l)A(k,l) when they agree. It is extended symmetrically, G(l,k)=G(k,l)G(l,k) = G(k,l)G(l,k)=G(k,l).

At iteration jjj the future demands are unknown, so a future horizon has a potential cumulative demand x≥D(j)x \ge D(j)x≥D(j). The jjjth Minimal Optimal Predecessors list Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is the set of periods l≤jl \le jl≤j that are the lowest-index optimal last setup period, among {1,…,j}\{1, \dots, j\}{1,…,j}, for every potential cumulative demand in some open interval above D(j)D(j)D(j).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1(a)

Let j≥1j \ge 1j≥1 and let S={i1,…,ir}S = \{i_1, \dots, i_r\}S={i1​,…,ir​} with Ω(j)⊆S⊆{1,…,j}\Omega(j) \subseteq S \subseteq \{1, \dots, j\}Ω(j)⊆S⊆{1,…,j}, ranked so that C~(i1)≥⋯≥C~(ir)\tilde C(i_1) \ge \dots \ge \tilde C(i_r)C~(i1​)≥⋯≥C~(ir​), with equal C~\tilde CC~-values in ascending order of index. Put g(1)=D(j)g(1) = D(j)g(1)=D(j) and g(l)=G(il,il−1)g(l) = G(i_l, i_{l-1})g(l)=G(il​,il−1​) for l=2,…,rl = 2, \dots, rl=2,…,r. Then

S=Ω(j)  ⟺  g(1)<g(2)<⋯<g(r)<∞.(6)S = \Omega(j) \iff g(1) < g(2) < \dots < g(r) < \infty. \tag{6}S=Ω(j)⟺g(1)<g(2)<⋯<g(r)<∞.(6)

Milestones

In attack order:

  • identity (1a) for the carrying costs;
  • Lemma 2(a)–(d), the linearity of Δk,l\Delta_{k,l}Δk,l​ and the sign test against its root G(k,l)G(k,l)G(k,l);
  • the claim that Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) contains an optimal last setup period for the horizon jjj;
  • the strict chains (7)–(8) of the Appendix;
  • Theorem 1(b), that under (6) the first entry i1i_1i1​ is an optimal last setup period l(j)l(j)l(j);
  • Theorem 1(c)(i)–(iii), the three elimination rules: g(2)≤D(j)g(2) \le D(j)g(2)≤D(j) removes i1i_1i1​, g(k+1)≤g(k)g(k+1) \le g(k)g(k+1)≤g(k) removes iki_kik​, and g(r)=∞g(r) = \inftyg(r)=∞ removes iri_rir​.

A supporting item potCost_spec certifies that the potential costs used to define Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) agree with the paper's F(l,t)F(l,t)F(l,t), up to a term that does not depend on lll.

Significance

Theorem 1 is what makes the forward algorithm correct. Part (a) reduces the minimality of a candidate list to a condition on consecutive pairs of a sorted list. Part (c) says which entry to delete when the condition fails. Part (b) says where to read off the optimal last setup period. With these, Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is maintained by deletions at the ends and in the interior of a list ordered by C~\tilde CC~, and each period is inserted and deleted at most once; the O(nlog⁡n)O(n \log n)O(nlogn) bound, and the O(n)O(n)O(n) bound under the paper's special cost structures, follow from this bookkeeping. The same lower-envelope reasoning appears in the other 1991–1993 algorithms and in later extensions to backlogging and capacitated variants.

The result has a complete published proof. To our knowledge there is no machine-checked development of the Wagner–Whitin recursion or of any of the fast lot-sizing algorithms. This mission produces the model, the breakpoints and the Minimal Optimal Predecessors lists as reusable definitions, and a checked proof of the characterization. It also records two small corrections that a formal reading forces on the printed text (see Formalization scope).

Difficulty

Each piece in isolation is elementary algebra on affine functions. The difficulty is in the combinatorics of the lower envelope with ties. The natural argument "consecutive breakpoints increase, so each line owns an interval" must handle three things:

  • equal slopes, where G=±∞G = \pm\inftyG=±∞;
  • several lines meeting at one point;
  • the lowest-index tie-breaking that makes Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) minimal.

The "only if" direction needs every failure of (6) to be traced to an element that is never the unique lowest-index optimum on an interval. Ties are exactly where the printed definition of Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j), read literally at a single demand value, breaks the theorem. A proof that ignores ties proves a statement that is false.

Formalization scope

  • Data and costs. The data are four functions N→R\mathbb N \to \mathbb RN→R bundled in a structure; values at index 000 are unused, and no sign conditions are imposed. FFF is defined by the recursion (2) with F(0)=0F(0) = 0F(0)=0. Its identification with the minimum cost over all feasible policies is the paper's Lemma 1 (Wagner–Whitin), which is not part of this mission. The horizon nnn is not a parameter.
  • Breakpoints. GGG and the critical values g(⋅)g(\cdot)g(⋅) take values in EReal, so ±∞\pm\infty±∞ are kept distinct from every real number. The final "<∞< \infty<∞" of (6) is part of the condition.
  • Ranked lists. A ranked set is a duplicate-free List ℕ. Lean lists are 0-based, so the paper's im+1i_{m+1}im+1​ and g(m+1)g(m+1)g(m+1) are entry mmm and gval j L m.
  • Disclosed change 1, Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j). The page asks for a single potential cumulative demand D≥D(j)D \ge D(j)D≥D(j) at which lll is the lowest-index optimum. With that reading, Theorem 1(a) "only if" and Theorem 1(c) fail when two lines tie exactly at a breakpoint (an explicit five-period instance is in the definition's note). The formalization requires lll to be the lowest-index optimum on a nondegenerate open interval of potential demands above D(j)D(j)D(j). This is the paper's own description of the list on p. 915: "the unique optimal last setup period for any horizon … with potential cumulative demand g(k)<D<g(k+1)g(k) < D < g(k+1)g(k)<D<g(k+1)".
  • Disclosed change 2, Lemma 2(d). The printed hypothesis "ck,l<clc_{k,l} < c_lck,l​<cl​" duplicates part (c) and is read as "ck,l=clc_{k,l} = c_lck,l​=cl​". The equivalence "Δk,l≥0\Delta_{k,l} \ge 0Δk,l​≥0 iff D(t)≥G(k,l)D(t) \ge G(k,l)D(t)≥G(k,l)" is stated under A(k,l)≠0A(k,l) \ne 0A(k,l)=0, since A(k,l)=0A(k,l) = 0A(k,l)=0 gives G=+∞G = +\inftyG=+∞ by (5).
  • Ruling out trivial formalizations. The hypotheses of the goal are satisfiable for every j≥1j \ge 1j≥1: rank {1,…,j}\{1, \dots, j\}{1,…,j} itself. Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) is nonempty (a milestone). F(t)F(t)F(t) for t≥1t \ge 1t≥1 is a minimum over the nonempty set {1,…,t}\{1, \dots, t\}{1,…,t}, never a default value. GGG is never replaced by a real-valued junk value at equal slopes.
  • Out of scope. Lemma 1, Lemma 3, Corollaries 1–5, Theorem 2, the Algorithm's pseudo-code and its complexity analysis, and the submodularity discussion of §5.
  • Reusable infrastructure. The model, the recursion (2), AAA, GGG and Ω(j)\Omega(j)Ω(j) can be reused for the paper's algorithmic results and for related lot-sizing papers. Proofs of the milestones, in any order, are welcome.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and M. Tzur, A Simple Forward Algorithm to Solve General Dynamic Lot Sizing Models with n Periods in O(n log n) or O(n) Time, Management Science 37(8):909–925, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.37.8.909
  • H. M. Wagner and T. M. Whitin, Dynamic Version of the Economic Lot Size Model, Management Science 5(1):89–96, 1958. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.5.1.89
  • A. Wagelmans, S. van Hoesel and A. Kolen, Economic Lot-Sizing: An O(n log n) Algorithm That Runs in Linear Time in the Wagner-Whitin Case, Operations Research 40(1-supplement-1):S145–S156, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.1.S145
  • A. Aggarwal and J. K. Park, Improved Algorithms for Economic Lot Size Problems, Operations Research 41(3):549–571, 1993. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.3.549
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Operations ResearchOptimizationStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems: Algorithm OPT Returns an Optimal Reorder Point and Order QuantityResearch Paper

Motivation

(r, Q) policies are the standard replenishment rule for a single item under continuous review: whenever the inventory position (stock on hand plus on order minus backorders) drops to the reorder point rrr, an order of size QQQ is placed. They are known to be optimal in the classical models with Poisson or compound renewal demand, constant or exogenous lead times and full backlogging, and they are used widely in practice and in multi-item and multi-echelon systems where they are applied item by item.

For decades, computing an optimal pair (r,Q)(r, Q)(r,Q) exactly was not routine. The textbook treatment of Hadley and Whitin (1963) gives approximations; as Browne and Zipkin (1991) put it, "until recently, there was no reliable, straightforward method for computing an optimal (r, Q) policy, even in the simple case of Poisson demand processes." Many heuristics were proposed (surveyed by Lee and Nahmias, 1989); the only exact procedure in circulation was in Zipkin's classnotes, based on a result of Sahin (1982).

Federgruen and Zheng (1992) give a short exact algorithm, Algorithm OPT, whose work is linear in the optimal order quantity Q∗Q^*Q∗. It rests only on the form of the cost, not on a particular demand model.

Setting

Inventory positions are integers (demand arrives unit by unit). A fixed cost κ>0\kappa>0κ>0 is charged per order, and G:Z→RG:\mathbb Z\to\mathbb RG:Z→R is the expected holding and backlogging cost rate as a function of the inventory position yyy. In all the models of the paper the long-run average cost of the (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) policy, for an integer rrr and an integer Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1, has the form

C(r,Q)=[κ+∑y=r+1r+QG(y)]/Q.(1)C(r,Q)=\Big[\kappa+\sum_{y=r+1}^{r+Q}G(y)\Big]\Big/Q. \tag{1}C(r,Q)=[κ+y=r+1∑r+Q​G(y)]/Q.(1)

The paper's standing assumptions on GGG are:

  1. −G-G−G is unimodal: there is an integer mmm with GGG nonincreasing on {y≤m}\{y\le m\}{y≤m} and nondecreasing on {y≥m}\{y\ge m\}{y≥m} (flat stretches allowed);
  2. lim⁡∣y∣→∞G(y)=∞\lim_{|y|\to\infty}G(y)=\inftylim∣y∣→∞​G(y)=∞.

The sequence yQy_QyQ​. Let y1y_1y1​ be an integer minimizing GGG. Given y1,…,yQy_1,\dots,y_Qy1​,…,yQ​, let L(Q)=min⁡{y1,…,yQ}L(Q)=\min\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}L(Q)=min{y1​,…,yQ​} and R(Q)=max⁡{y1,…,yQ}R(Q)=\max\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}R(Q)=max{y1​,…,yQ​}, and set

yQ+1={L(Q)−1if G(L(Q)−1)≤G(R(Q)+1),R(Q)+1otherwise.y_{Q+1}=\begin{cases}L(Q)-1 & \text{if } G(L(Q)-1)\le G(R(Q)+1),\\ R(Q)+1 & \text{otherwise.}\end{cases}yQ+1​={L(Q)−1R(Q)+1​if G(L(Q)−1)≤G(R(Q)+1),otherwise.​

So the window [L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)] grows by one point at a time towards the smaller neighbouring value, ties going left. Write r∗(Q)r^*(Q)r∗(Q) for an optimal reorder point for a given QQQ, and

C∗(Q)=[κ+∑i=1QG(yi)]/Q.C^*(Q)=\Big[\kappa+\sum_{i=1}^{Q}G(y_i)\Big]\Big/Q .C∗(Q)=[κ+i=1∑Q​G(yi​)]/Q.

Algorithm OPT, Step 1. Variables S,Q,C∗,r,RS,Q,C^*,r,RS,Q,C∗,r,R start at S=κ+G(y1)S=\kappa+G(y_1)S=κ+G(y1​), Q=1Q=1Q=1, C∗=SC^*=SC∗=S, r=y1−1r=y_1-1r=y1​−1, R=y1+1R=y_1+1R=y1​+1. Each pass compares G(r)G(r)G(r) and G(R)G(R)G(R); on the smaller side (left on ties) it stops if C∗C^*C∗ is at most that value, and otherwise adds the value to SSS and moves rrr one step left or RRR one step right; then Q:=Q+1Q:=Q+1Q:=Q+1 and C∗:=S/QC^*:=S/QC∗:=S/Q. The output is the final (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1

Under the standing assumptions, Step 1 of Algorithm OPT, started from any global minimizer y1y_1y1​ of GGG, stops after finitely many passes, and its output (r,Q)(r,Q)(r,Q) satisfies Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1 and

C(r,Q)≤C(r′,Q′)for all integers r′ and all integers Q′≥1.C(r,Q)\le C(r',Q')\qquad\text{for all integers } r' \text{ and all integers } Q'\ge 1 .C(r,Q)≤C(r′,Q′)for all integers r′ and all integers Q′≥1.

The goal fixes no constants and no demand model: it is a statement about every GGG satisfying the standing assumptions.

Milestones, in proof order

  • §2, p. 811: {y1,…,yQ}\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}{y1​,…,yQ​} is the contiguous block [L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)][L(Q),R(Q)] of QQQ integers and carries the QQQ smallest values of GGG.
  • Figure 1 (p. 809): yQ+1y_{Q+1}yQ+1​ has the least GGG-value outside the window; in particular G(y1)≤G(y2)≤⋯G(y_1)\le G(y_2)\le\cdotsG(y1​)≤G(y2​)≤⋯.
  • Lemma 1: L(Q)−1L(Q)-1L(Q)−1 is an optimal reorder point for QQQ.
  • Corollary 1: r∗(Q)−1≤r∗(Q+1)≤r∗(Q)r^*(Q)-1\le r^*(Q+1)\le r^*(Q)r∗(Q)−1≤r∗(Q+1)≤r∗(Q).
  • Display before (6): min⁡rC(r,Q)=C∗(Q)\min_r C(r,Q)=C^*(Q)minr​C(r,Q)=C∗(Q).
  • (6): C∗(Q+1)=[QC∗(Q)+G(yQ+1)]/(Q+1)C^*(Q+1)=[QC^*(Q)+G(y_{Q+1})]/(Q+1)C∗(Q+1)=[QC∗(Q)+G(yQ+1​)]/(Q+1), and C∗(Q+1)<C∗(Q)C^*(Q+1)<C^*(Q)C∗(Q+1)<C∗(Q) iff G(yQ+1)<C∗(Q)G(y_{Q+1})<C^*(Q)G(yQ+1​)<C∗(Q).
  • Lemma 2: the smallest qqq with C∗(q)≤G(yq+1)C^*(q)\le G(y_{q+1})C∗(q)≤G(yq+1​) exists and is an optimal order size.
  • Step 1 tracks the sequence: from the state (κ+∑i≤QG(yi), Q, C∗(Q), L(Q)−1, R(Q)+1)(\kappa+\sum_{i\le Q}G(y_i),\,Q,\,C^*(Q),\,L(Q)-1,\,R(Q)+1)(κ+∑i≤Q​G(yi​),Q,C∗(Q),L(Q)−1,R(Q)+1) one pass stops with (L(Q)−1,Q)(L(Q)-1,Q)(L(Q)−1,Q) exactly when C∗(Q)≤G(yQ+1)C^*(Q)\le G(y_{Q+1})C∗(Q)≤G(yQ+1​) and otherwise moves to the same state for Q+1Q+1Q+1.

Significance

The result turns the joint minimization of (1) over (r,Q)∈Z×Z≥1(r,Q)\in\mathbb Z\times\mathbb Z_{\ge1}(r,Q)∈Z×Z≥1​, an unbounded two-dimensional integer problem, into a single scan whose length is Q∗Q^*Q∗ plus the distance to the minimizer of GGG. Because it uses only the form (1) and the unimodality of −G-G−G, it applies at once to Poisson and compound Poisson demand, to stochastic lead times with an equilibrium lead-time demand, and to cost structures with stockout penalties; the paper also notes extensions to (r,nQ)(r,nQ)(r,nQ) policies. Lemma 1 and Corollary 1 additionally give the structure of the optimal reorder point as a function of QQQ.

The result has been proved on paper since 1992. What this mission adds is a machine-checked proof of the algorithm's correctness for general GGG under exactly the paper's hypotheses. The platform already has the linear-cost special case of the underlying lemmas for one discrete demand model (InventoryControl.rq_discrete_recursion, rq_discrete_joint_optimal), but with C(Q)C(Q)C(Q) and Q∗Q^*Q∗ given as hypotheses and no algorithm; nothing on the platform states the algorithm or treats general unimodal −G-G−G.

Difficulty

The obvious argument says: for fixed QQQ the sum in (1) should cover the QQQ smallest values of GGG, and the greedy window collects exactly those. Both halves need care on the integers with flat stretches of GGG: "the QQQ smallest values" is ambiguous under ties, and the claim that a greedy window holds them relies on y1y_1y1​ being a global minimizer together with the unimodality of −G-G−G, not on convexity.

The stopping rule is the second point. Lemma 2 looks like a first-order condition, but C∗(⋅)C^*(\cdot)C∗(⋅) need not be convex; optimality of the first stopping qqq for all larger QQQ uses that the values G(yi)G(y_i)G(yi​) are nondecreasing along the sequence, which the paper uses without stating. Termination of the algorithm is not discussed on the page; it needs G→∞G\to\inftyG→∞, and fails for constant GGG.

Finally, the goal is about an imperative loop. Connecting its five variables to yQy_QyQ​, C∗(Q)C^*(Q)C∗(Q) and L(Q)L(Q)L(Q) is an invariant argument that has to match the tie-breaking and the non-strict stopping tests exactly.

Formalization scope

  • Types. G:Z→RG:\mathbb Z\to\mathbb RG:Z→R, κ∈R\kappa\in\mathbb Rκ∈R with κ>0\kappa>0κ>0, reorder points in Z\mathbb ZZ, order quantities in N\mathbb NN with Q≥1Q\ge1Q≥1 required wherever a cost appears. Lean's x/0=0x/0=0x/0=0 makes C(r,0)=0C(r,0)=0C(r,0)=0, so optimality is always quantified over Q′≥1Q'\ge1Q′≥1 and the goal asserts that the returned QQQ is ≥1\ge1≥1.
  • Assumptions. "−G-G−G unimodal" is NegUnimodal G: ∃m\exists m∃m, GGG antitone on (−∞,m](-\infty,m](−∞,m] and monotone on [m,∞)[m,\infty)[m,∞). "lim⁡∣y∣→∞G=∞\lim_{|y|\to\infty}G=\inftylim∣y∣→∞​G=∞" is Coercive G: G→+∞G\to+\inftyG→+∞ along atBot and atTop. Mathlib's QuasiconvexOn ℤ is not used: over Z\mathbb ZZ-weights it holds for every function.
  • The sequence. L(Q),R(Q)L(Q),R(Q)L(Q),R(Q) are defined by recursion on the window, and yyy is 1-based with an unused value at index 0; that L,RL,RL,R are the minimum and maximum of {y1,…,yQ}\{y_1,\dots,y_Q\}{y1​,…,yQ​}, as the paper defines them, is the first milestone.
  • The algorithm. Step 1 is transcribed literally, including G(r)≤G(R)G(r)\le G(R)G(r)≤G(R) → left and the non-strict tests C∗≤G(r)C^*\le G(r)C∗≤G(r), C∗≤G(R)C^*\le G(R)C∗≤G(R); GGG is evaluated directly instead of through the ΔG\Delta GΔG bookkeeping. The loop runs with a pass budget and returns nothing when the budget runs out; the goal states that for every large enough budget it returns an optimal pair.
  • Step 0 is not formalized. It scans L=0,1,…L=0,1,\dotsL=0,1,… for the first LLL with ΔG(L)≥0\Delta G(L)\ge0ΔG(L)≥0, under the paper's simplification y1>0y_1>0y1​>0; under unimodality alone it can stop on a plateau before the minimum. The goal starts Step 1 from a given global minimizer y1y_1y1​, which is the paper's own §2 setup and matches its p. 812 remark that Step 0 may be replaced by a bisection search.
  • Not formalized: Theorem 1's second sentence (the operation count), the derivations of (1) for specific demand models, and (5).
  • Corrected slips. The printed proof of Lemma 2 writes C(Q)−C(Q∗)C(Q)-C(Q^*)C(Q)−C(Q∗) with C∗(Q)C^*(Q)C∗(Q) inside the bracket; the correct identity has C∗(Q)−C∗(Q∗)C^*(Q)-C^*(Q^*)C∗(Q)−C∗(Q∗) and C∗(Q∗)C^*(Q^*)C∗(Q∗). Lemma 2's "Q∗Q^*Q∗" is formalized as existence of the smallest qqq with the property plus its optimality, since minimizers need not be unique; likewise "r∗(Q)=L(Q)−1r^*(Q)=L(Q)-1r∗(Q)=L(Q)−1" means L(Q)−1L(Q)-1L(Q)−1 is an optimal reorder point.
  • Ruled out. Defining the algorithm's output as an argmin of CCC, or by searching for Lemma 2's qqq, would make the goal trivial; the algorithm is defined by its steps. A statement of the form "if the run returns a pair, it is optimal" would be vacuous for a loop that never stops; termination is part of the goal.

Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are general lemmas on windows of unimodal integer sequences, which are reusable beyond this mission.

Selected references

  • A. Federgruen and Y.-S. Zheng, An Efficient Algorithm for Computing an Optimal (r, Q) Policy in Continuous Review Stochastic Inventory Systems, Operations Research 40(4):808–813, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.4.808
  • G. Hadley and T. M. Whitin, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice-Hall, 1963.
  • S. Browne and P. Zipkin, Inventory Models with Continuous, Stochastic Demands, Annals of Applied Probability 1(3):419–435, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005875
  • H. L. Lee and S. Nahmias, Single-Product, Single-Location Models, in Handbooks in OR & MS vol. 4, 1993 (cited by the paper as a 1989 working paper).
  • I. Sahin, On the Objective Function Behavior in (s, S) Inventory Models, Operations Research 30(4):709–724, 1982. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.30.4.709
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Algorithmic Game TheoryMechanism DesignOperations Research+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 3: Order-Oblivious Posted Prices 2-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Uniform Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

Myerson's optimal auction (Myerson 1981) maximizes a seller's expected revenue when buyers have independent private values, but it is a sealed-bid mechanism: every buyer reports a value, and the allocation and payments are computed from all reports at once. Real sellers more often post prices: buyers arrive, each sees a take-it-or-leave-it price, and buys or leaves. Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435) ask how much revenue such simple mechanisms lose. Their strongest notion is the order-oblivious posted-price mechanism (OPM): the prices are fixed in advance, and the guarantee must hold whatever order the buyers arrive in, even an adversarial one.

The tool behind the guarantee for sellers of kkk identical units is a prophet inequality. In the single-choice version, a gambler inspects independent random rewards one at a time and must accept or reject each on the spot; Krengel and Sucheston, and Samuel-Cahn (Ann. Probab. 1984), showed that a single fixed threshold earns at least half of what a prophet who sees all rewards earns. The paper extends Samuel-Cahn's threshold rule to kkk choices (Appendix D.2) and turns it into a revenue guarantee (Theorem 10).

Setting

There are nnn agents [n][n][n]. Agent iii's value viv_ivi​ for being served is drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​; the virtual valuation is ϕi(v)=v−(1−Fi(v))/fi(v)\phi_i(v) = v - (1 - F_i(v))/f_i(v)ϕi​(v)=v−(1−Fi​(v))/fi​(v) (Definition 1), and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is non-decreasing (Definition 2). The seller may serve any set of agents in a downward-closed set system J\mathcal JJ; this mission uses the kkk-uniform matroid, where a set is feasible exactly when it has at most kkk members.

A mechanism MMM maps reported values v\mathbf vv to an allocation M(v)∈JM(\mathbf v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J and payments πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v). It is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ever gets negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=Ev[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E_{\mathbf v}[\sum_i \pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=Ev​[∑i​πi​(v)], and RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM denotes the revenue of Myerson's mechanism, the largest over truthful mechanisms (Theorem 19).

Given prices p\mathbf pp and values v\mathbf vv, agent iii desires service if vi≥piv_i \ge p_ivi​≥pi​. Let Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​ be the class of maximal feasible sets of desiring agents. When agents arrive in an arbitrary order and each buys if it desires service and can still be feasibly served, the set of buyers lies in Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​. The paper's pessimistic revenue estimate is

Rpobl=Ev∼F min⁡S∈Sv∑i∈Spi.\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p} = \mathbb E_{\mathbf v \sim \mathbf F}\ \min_{S \in \mathcal S_{\mathbf v}} \sum_{i \in S} p_i .Rpobl​=Ev∼F​ S∈Sv​min​i∈S∑​pi​.

For the prophet inequality, X1,…,XnX_1, \dots, X_nX1​,…,Xn​ are independent nonnegative random variables with order statistics X(1)≥⋯≥X(n)X_{(1)} \ge \dots \ge X_{(n)}X(1)​≥⋯≥X(n)​, and (x)+=max⁡(0,x)(x)^+ = \max(0, x)(x)+=max(0,x). The threshold rule with threshold ccc picks indices t1(c),…,tk(c)t_1(c), \dots, t_k(c)t1​(c),…,tk​(c), where ti(c)t_i(c)ti​(c) is the lesser of n−k+in-k+in−k+i and the iii-th smallest index jjj with Xj≥cX_j \ge cXj​≥c (or n−k+in - k + in−k+i if there is none). The numbers a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ are the unique solutions of

a=∑i=1kE(X(i)−a/k)+,b=∑i=1nE(Xi−b/k)+.a = \sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big(X_{(i)} - a/k\big)^+, \qquad b = \sum_{i=1}^n \mathbb E\big(X_i - b/k\big)^+ .a=i=1∑k​E(X(i)​−a/k)+,b=i=1∑n​E(Xi​−b/k)+.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 10 (p. 9)

∃ p  ∀M truthful:RM≤2 Rpobl\exists\, \mathbf p\ \ \forall M \text{ truthful}:\qquad \mathcal R^M \le 2\, \mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}∃p  ∀M truthful:RM≤2Rpobl​

for every instance with regular distributions and a kkk-uniform matroid constraint. The prices are chosen once, before the mechanism it is compared with; this is the paper's "Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ 2-approximates RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM".

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 5): under regularity, the expected revenue of a truthful mechanism equals its expected virtual surplus E[∑i∈M(v)ϕi(vi)]\mathbb E[\sum_{i \in M(\mathbf v)} \phi_i(v_i)]E[∑i∈M(v)​ϕi​(vi​)] (with the lowest type receiving zero utility).
  2. a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ exist and are unique (App. D.2, p. 18).
  3. The claim a∗≤b∗a^* \le b^*a∗≤b∗ (App. D.2, p. 18).
  4. Theorem 24 (p. 18), the kkk-choice prophet inequality: for a∗≤kc≤b∗a^* \le k c \le b^*a∗≤kc≤b∗,
∑i=1kE[X(i)]≤2∑i=1kE[Xti(c)].\sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big[X_{(i)}\big] \le 2 \sum_{i=1}^k \mathbb E\big[X_{t_i(c)}\big].i=1∑k​E[X(i)​]≤2i=1∑k​E[Xti​(c)​].

Significance

The theorem says that a seller of kkk identical units can fix one price per buyer, ignore the arrival order entirely, and still collect half of the optimal revenue. The factor 2 is tight: Appendix D.2 gives a single-item example with two buyers where no order-oblivious pricing does better. Corollary 11 extends the result to partition matroids, and Theorem 24 is reused for the graphical-matroid result (Theorem 12, App. D.3). Theorem 24 is a statement in optimal stopping independent of mechanism design, and kkk-choice prophet inequalities are now a standard tool for online allocation.

The results are proved in the paper (preprint arXiv:0907.2435v2; a conference version appeared at STOC 2010). To our knowledge none of them, nor any prophet inequality, has a machine-checked proof; Mathlib has independence of random variables but no order statistics, stopping-rule prophet inequalities, or Myerson's revenue characterization in this multi-agent dominant-strategy form. A related single-unit, Bayesian-incentive-compatible form of Proposition 1 exists on the platform (MechanismDesign.Auctions.revenue_eq_virtual_surplus), in a different model.

Difficulty

The threshold rule picks the first values above ccc, not the largest, and its picks are dependent random indices; the expectation E[Xti(c)]\mathbb E[X_{t_i(c)}]E[Xti​(c)​] does not factor. The obvious comparison of the gambler with the prophet term by term fails, because the gambler can exhaust its kkk picks on early, small values. The bound has to balance two events: either at least kkk values reach ccc, or a value is picked whenever it exceeds ccc; independence enters exactly in the second. The rule also has forced picks at the end of the sequence, which must be handled as stated.

On the mechanism side, Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a minimum over an adversarially chosen family, not the revenue of one run, so it cannot be read off from a single sequential mechanism. Proposition 1 needs the full revenue-equivalence argument: monotone allocations, the payment identity, and an integration by parts against the density.

Formalization scope

  • Distributions: each FiF_iFi​ has a bounded support [v‾i,v‾i][\underline v_i, \overline v_i][v​i​,vi​] with 0≤v‾i0 \le \underline v_i0≤v​i​, and a measurable density positive on it (a pinned convention; the paper says only "with density fif_ifi​"). Regularity is required on the support. The prior is the product of the marginals.
  • Mechanisms: deterministic, dominant-strategy incentive compatible and ex-post individually rational on the type space, with measurable allocation events and measurable, integrable payments. Payments of unserved agents are not forced to be zero.
  • RM\mathcal R^{\mathcal M}RM is not constructed. The goal is stated against every truthful mechanism, which by Theorem 19 is equivalent. Quantifier order matters: "for every mechanism there are prices" is a weaker statement and is not the goal.
  • Proposition 1 carries the normalization that an agent of the lowest type gets zero utility, which the paper presupposes on p. 12.
  • Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ is a genuine minimum over the finite, nonempty family Sv\mathcal S_{\mathbf v}Sv​; maximality is essential, since without it the empty set makes the estimate 000 and the goal false. Prices are arbitrary reals.
  • a∗a^*a∗ and b∗b^*b∗ are characterised by their equations as hypotheses, not defined by an infimum. Order statistics count multiplicity. Lean indices are 0-based. The threshold rule includes the page's forced picks ti(c)=n−k+it_i(c) = n - k + iti​(c)=n−k+i; it is not replaced by a pure threshold rule. Theorem 24 and the claims about a∗,b∗a^*, b^*a∗,b∗ assume 1≤k≤n1 \le k \le n1≤k≤n; the goal assumes nothing about kkk.
  • Out of scope: non-regular distributions (ironing), Corollary 11, and the p. 19 identity rewriting Rpobl\mathcal R^{\mathrm{obl}}_{\mathbf p}Rpobl​ as a sum of virtual values (a proof step, not a milestone).

Useful reusable infrastructure: order statistics and their measurability, Samuel-Cahn-type threshold rules, and Myerson's payment identity for dominant-strategy mechanisms. Proofs of any milestone, and supporting lemmas on these objects, are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010 (STOC 2010). https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • E. Samuel-Cahn, Comparison of Threshold Stop Rules and Maximum for Independent Nonnegative Random Variables, Annals of Probability 12(4), 1984. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176993150
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsMechanism Design+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 2: Sequential Posted Prices e/(e−1)-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Partition Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Motivation

A seller who knows the distributions of buyers' values can maximise expected revenue with Myerson's optimal mechanism (Myerson 1981): collect bids, compute virtual values, serve a feasible set of maximum virtual surplus, and charge threshold payments. Real sellers seldom run such auctions. They post prices: a buyer is offered a take-it-or-leave-it price and either accepts or walks away. Posted prices need no bidding, involve no competition between buyers, and are trivially truthful. The question is how much revenue they give up.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435, STOC 2010) answer this for a range of feasibility constraints with a single construction, the sequential posted-price mechanism (SPM) S\mathcal SS. For general matroids it loses at most a factor 222 (Theorem 5). For uniform and partition matroids, that is, multi-unit sales and unions of multi-unit sales, it loses at most a factor e/(e−1)≈1.58e/(e-1)\approx1.58e/(e−1)≈1.58 (Theorem 6), and the paper shows this factor is tight for its mechanism. This mission targets Theorem 6.

Timeline. Myerson (1981) characterised the optimal single-parameter mechanism. Blumrosen and Holenstein (2008) showed that the best single-unit SPM can be a factor π/2\sqrt{\pi/2}π/2​ below Myerson's revenue even with i.i.d. buyers. Chawla, Hartline and Kleinberg (EC 2007) used posted prices to approximate multi-parameter unit-demand pricing. Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (2010) gave the matroid, partition-matroid and matroid-intersection bounds. Yan (SODA 2011) explained the e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1) factor through the correlation gap of submodular functions and sharpened it for kkk units to 1−kke−k/k!1-k^ke^{-k}/k!1−kke−k/k!.

Setting

There are nnn agents. Agent iii has a private value viv_ivi​ for being served, drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​. The virtual value is φi(v)=v−1−Fi(v)fi(v)\varphi_i(v)=v-\frac{1-F_i(v)}{f_i(v)}φi​(v)=v−fi​(v)1−Fi​(v)​, and FiF_iFi​ is regular if φi\varphi_iφi​ is non-decreasing. The seller may serve any set in a downward-closed family J⊆2[n]\mathcal J\subseteq2^{[n]}J⊆2[n].

A partition matroid assigns each agent iii to a part part(i)\mathrm{part}(i)part(i) and each part bbb a capacity cap(b)∈N\mathrm{cap}(b)\in\mathbb Ncap(b)∈N. A set is feasible iff it contains at most cap(b)\mathrm{cap}(b)cap(b) agents of every part bbb. With one part of capacity kkk this is the kkk-uniform matroid: at most kkk agents are served.

A truthful mechanism MMM maps a value vector v\mathbf vv to a feasible set M(v)M(\mathbf v)M(v) and payments πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v). It is dominant-strategy incentive compatible and individually rational. Its expected revenue is RM=E[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M=\mathbb E[\sum_i\pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=E[∑i​πi​(v)], and qiM=Pr⁡[i∈M(v)]q^M_i=\Pr[i\in M(\mathbf v)]qiM​=Pr[i∈M(v)] is its service probability for agent iii.

The sequential posted-price mechanism S\mathcal SS built from MMM sets the price pi=Fi−1(1−qiM)p_i=F_i^{-1}(1-q^M_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​) for agent iii, so that agent iii accepts with probability exactly qiMq^M_iqiM​. It approaches the agents one at a time in decreasing order of price (σ\sigmaσ is the ordering). It offers agent iii the price pip_ipi​ if adding iii to the agents already served keeps the set feasible. The agent accepts iff pi≤vip_i\le v_ipi​≤vi​. Its expected revenue is Rpσ\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}Rpσ​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 6, partition matroids

For every partition matroid, every truthful MMM, and S\mathcal SS built from MMM as above,

RM≤ee−1 Rpσ.\mathcal R^M\le\frac{e}{e-1}\,\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}.RM≤e−1e​Rpσ​.

Taking MMM to be Myerson's mechanism gives the paper's statement.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 2 (regular case): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M\le\sum_ip^M_iq^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​ with piM=Fi−1(1−qiM)p^M_i=F_i^{-1}(1-q^M_i)piM​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​).
  2. Rank bound (§4): ∑i∈SqiM≤rank⁡(S)\sum_{i\in S}q^M_i\le\operatorname{rank}(S)∑i∈S​qiM​≤rank(S) for every set SSS; for a part bbb this reads ∑part(i)=bqiM≤cap(b)\sum_{\mathrm{part}(i)=b}q^M_i\le\mathrm{cap}(b)∑part(i)=b​qiM​≤cap(b).
  3. Single-unit revenue formula (App. C.2): RS=∑kckpkqk\mathcal R^{\mathcal S}=\sum_kc_kp_kq_kRS=∑k​ck​pk​qk​ with ck=∏j<k(1−qj)c_k=\prod_{j<k}(1-q_j)ck​=∏j<k​(1−qj​), positions in offer order.
  4. Lemma 20: with ppp defined by ∑kpkqk=p∑kqk\sum_kp_kq_k=p\sum_kq_k∑k​pk​qk​=p∑k​qk​ (equation (2)) and prices decreasing, p∑kckqk≤∑kckpkqkp\sum_kc_kq_k\le\sum_kc_kp_kq_kp∑k​ck​qk​≤∑k​ck​pk​qk​.
  5. Display (3): if ∑kqk=s≤1\sum_kq_k=s\le1∑k​qk​=s≤1, then p∑kckqk=p(1−∏k(1−qk))≥p(1−(1−s/n)n)≥(1−1/e)psp\sum_kc_kq_k=p(1-\prod_k(1-q_k))\ge p(1-(1-s/n)^n)\ge(1-1/e)psp∑k​ck​qk​=p(1−∏k​(1−qk​))≥p(1−(1−s/n)n)≥(1−1/e)ps.
  6. Theorem 21: the goal for the 111-uniform matroid.
  7. Theorem 22: the goal for the kkk-uniform matroid, every kkk.

Significance

The theorem shows that a mechanism with no bidding loses at most about 37%37\%37% of the optimal revenue when the constraint is a union of multi-unit supplies. That covers selling several kinds of goods, each in limited stock, to single-minded buyers. The prices are computed once from the distributions. The order is fixed before any value is seen. No agent's payment depends on another agent's report. The factor is tight for this mechanism (App. C.2), and the same template (prices from service probabilities, decreasing order) gives factor 222 for all matroids and m+1m+1m+1 for intersections of mmm matroids.

On the formal side, the paper's results are proved but none is machine-checked as far as we know. The platform has Myerson-type results for a single unit with Bayesian incentive compatibility and a common support (Börgers), and for i.i.d. buyers with a fixed number of units (Talluri and van Ryzin). Neither covers independent, non-identical buyers under a set-system constraint with dominant-strategy truthfulness. A complete development would include the ex-ante revenue bound of Lemma 2 for regular distributions, which is reusable for any posted-price or prophet-inequality argument, and the 1−1/e1-1/e1−1/e correlation-gap inequality.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares S\mathcal SS with Myerson's mechanism one agent at a time. That fails, because S\mathcal SS may stop offering to an agent once the units of its part are gone, and the agents blocked this way can be the ones Myerson's mechanism serves. The loss has to be bounded in aggregate, using only the ex-ante constraint ∑part(i)=bqi≤cap(b)\sum_{\mathrm{part}(i)=b}q_i\le\mathrm{cap}(b)∑part(i)=b​qi​≤cap(b). The single-unit case reduces to an inequality about products ∏(1−qj)\prod(1-q_j)∏(1−qj​). For kkk units, the printed proof (pp. 15–16) is an induction that compares the run with a hypothetical single-unit instance with probabilities qi/kq_i/kqi​/k. Its second case is informal, so a formal proof needs its own argument for the kkk-unit bound. Passing from uniform to partition matroids needs the observation that with a global order the run inside each part depends only on that part's agents. Lemma 2 needs the revenue-curve concavity that regularity gives, stated through densities rather than derivatives.

Formalization scope

  • Values. Each FiF_iFi​ has a density that is measurable and strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾i,vˉi][\underline v_i,\bar v_i][v​i​,vˉi​] with 0≤v‾i0\le\underline v_i0≤v​i​, integrates to 111 there, and has no mass outside. The paper says only "with density fif_ifi​". This pin rules out point masses, so the randomised-price variant of S\mathcal SS never arises. The prior is the product of these laws.
  • Regularity is φi\varphi_iφi​ non-decreasing on the support, assumed for every agent in the goal, as in the paper's §4 analyses. The non-regular extension (second paragraph of Lemma 2, Appendix E) is out of scope.
  • Truthful means deterministic, dominant-strategy incentive compatible over the support, ex-post individually rational, feasible, with measurable allocations and integrable payments.
  • Prices are arguments tied to MMM by pi∈[v‾i,vˉi]p_i\in[\underline v_i,\bar v_i]pi​∈[v​i​,vˉi​] and Fi(pi)=1−qiMF_i(p_i)=1-q^M_iFi​(pi​)=1−qiM​. No inverse distribution function is defined.
  • Order. The order σ\sigmaσ is a permutation with σ(0)\sigma(0)σ(0) first, decreasing in price, and ties are arbitrary. It is global across parts. Parts of capacity 000 are allowed.
  • Constant. The constant is exactly e/(e−1)e/(e-1)e/(e−1).
  • No free prices. The theorem is not stated with free or existentially chosen prices. Prices are pinned to MMM's service probabilities, and S\mathcal SS uses the same constraint as MMM. A statement in which the prices could be chosen after the fact, or in which MMM were not required to be individually rational, would be a different or false theorem.
  • Every truthful MMM. The comparison is with every truthful MMM, not with a constructed Myerson mechanism. This form is at least as strong as the paper's, and it is what the paper's proof shows.

Welcome contributions: proofs of the algebraic milestones (Lemma 20, display (3)), the revenue formula, Lemma 2 (reusable payment-identity infrastructure for dominant-strategy mechanisms), and a correlation-gap argument for kkk units.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. L. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, STOC 2010; arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1), 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • L. Blumrosen, T. Holenstein, Posted Prices vs. Negotiations: An Asymptotic Analysis, ACM EC 2008.
  • Q. Yan, Mechanism Design via Correlation Gap, ACM-SIAM SODA 2011.
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Algorithmic Game TheoryCombinatoricsMechanism Design+2·Captain: mikedeng1

Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing 1: Sequential Posted Prices 2-Approximate the Optimal Revenue under a Matroid ConstraintResearch Paper

Why posted prices

A seller who must decide whom to serve among several buyers with private values can, in principle, run Myerson's revenue-optimal mechanism: collect bids, compute virtual values, serve the feasible set of largest virtual surplus, and charge threshold payments (Myerson 1981). In practice sellers rarely do this. Retail, ticketing and online platforms mostly use posted prices: each buyer is offered a take-it-or-leave-it price and accepts if and only if the price does not exceed the buyer's value. Posted prices are simple to explain, are trivially truthful, and do not require buyers to reveal their values.

Chawla, Hartline, Malec and Sivan (arXiv:0907.2435, STOC 2010) asked how much revenue is lost by this simplification, and showed that for a wide range of feasibility constraints a sequential posted-price mechanism recovers a constant fraction of the optimal revenue. The matroid case, a factor of 2, is the first and most widely cited of their results. It is a revenue analogue of the prophet inequality and was one of the starting points of the literature on "simple versus optimal" mechanisms.

Setting

There are nnn single-parameter agents, indexed by [n][n][n], and one seller. Agent iii has a private value viv_ivi​ for being served, drawn independently from a distribution FiF_iFi​ with density fif_ifi​. The virtual valuation of agent iii is

ϕi(vi)=vi−1−Fi(vi)fi(vi),\phi_i(v_i) = v_i - \frac{1 - F_i(v_i)}{f_i(v_i)},ϕi​(vi​)=vi​−fi​(vi​)1−Fi​(vi​)​,

and FiF_iFi​ is regular if ϕi\phi_iϕi​ is non-decreasing.

The seller faces a feasibility constraint: a downward-closed family J\mathcal JJ of subsets of [n][n][n], the sets of agents that can be served together. The rank of a set SSS is rank⁡(S)=max⁡S′⊆S, S′∈J∣S′∣\operatorname{rank}(S) = \max_{S' \subseteq S,\, S' \in \mathcal J} |S'|rank(S)=maxS′⊆S,S′∈J​∣S′∣. The constraint is a matroid if it satisfies the augmentation axiom: whenever A,B∈JA, B \in \mathcal JA,B∈J and ∣A∣>∣B∣|A| > |B|∣A∣>∣B∣, some e∈A∖Be \in A \setminus Be∈A∖B has B∪{e}∈JB \cup \{e\} \in \mathcal JB∪{e}∈J. Examples are kkk identical units (kkk-uniform matroids) and disjoint markets with separate capacities (partition matroids).

A mechanism MMM maps reported values v\mathbf vv to a feasible set M(v)∈JM(\mathbf v) \in \mathcal JM(v)∈J of served agents and a payment πi(v)\pi_i(\mathbf v)πi​(v) for each agent. It is truthful if reporting the true value is a dominant strategy and no agent ends with negative utility. Its expected revenue is RM=E[∑iπi(v)]\mathcal R^M = \mathbb E[\sum_i \pi_i(\mathbf v)]RM=E[∑i​πi​(v)], and qiM=Pr⁡[i∈M(v)]q^M_i = \Pr[i \in M(\mathbf v)]qiM​=Pr[i∈M(v)] is the probability that it serves agent iii.

A sequential posted-price mechanism (SPM) with ordering σ\sigmaσ and prices p\mathbf pp approaches the agents in the order σ\sigmaσ. When agent iii's turn comes, if adding iii to the set AAA of agents served so far keeps AAA feasible, iii is offered price pip_ipi​ and is served (and pays pip_ipi​) if pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​; otherwise iii is blocked. Its expected revenue is Rpσ\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}Rpσ​.

The mechanism S\mathcal SS of the paper sets pi=Fi−1(1−qiM)p_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q^M_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​), so that agent iii accepts an offer with probability exactly qiMq^M_iqiM​, and approaches the agents in decreasing order of price.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5

For regular, independent values and a matroid constraint, for every truthful mechanism MMM and the SPM S\mathcal SS built from its service probabilities,

RM≤2 Rpσ.\mathcal R^M \le 2\, \mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}.RM≤2Rpσ​.

Taking MMM to be Myerson's optimal mechanism gives the paper's statement that S\mathcal SS 2-approximates the optimal revenue.

Milestones

  1. Proposition 1 (p. 5): the expected revenue of a truthful mechanism equals its expected virtual surplus E[∑i∈M(v)ϕi(vi)]\mathbb E[\sum_{i \in M(\mathbf v)} \phi_i(v_i)]E[∑i∈M(v)​ϕi​(vi​)].
  2. Lemma 2 (p. 5): RM≤∑ipiMqiM\mathcal R^M \le \sum_i p^M_i q^M_iRM≤∑i​piM​qiM​ with piM=Fi−1(1−qiM)p^M_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q^M_i)piM​=Fi−1​(1−qiM​).
  3. Revenue of an SPM (§2.2, p. 4): Rpσ=∑iciqipi\mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p} = \sum_i c_i q_i p_iRpσ​=∑i​ci​qi​pi​, where cic_ici​ is the probability that agent iii is offered service and qi=1−Fi(pi)q_i = 1 - F_i(p_i)qi​=1−Fi​(pi​).
  4. Rank bound (§4, p. 6): ∑i∈SqiM≤rank⁡(S)\sum_{i \in S} q^M_i \le \operatorname{rank}(S)∑i∈S​qiM​≤rank(S) for every set SSS.
  5. Lost revenue (proof of Theorem 5, p. 7): in any run under a matroid, with prices in decreasing order and weights qqq satisfying the rank bound, ∑i blockedpiqi≤∑i servedpi\sum_{i \text{ blocked}} p_i q_i \le \sum_{i \text{ served}} p_i∑i blocked​pi​qi​≤∑i served​pi​.
  6. Half of the benchmark (p. 7): under the same conditions, ∑ipiqi≤2Rpσ\sum_i p_i q_i \le 2 \mathcal R^\sigma_{\mathbf p}∑i​pi​qi​≤2Rpσ​.

Significance

The theorem shows that under a matroid constraint the optimal mechanism's advantage over a single round of posted prices is at most a factor of 2, uniformly over all regular distributions. Prices, rather than an auction, then suffice up to a constant, which justifies posted pricing in settings where an auction is impractical. The same argument, with the matroid replaced by an intersection of mmm matroids, gives the paper's Theorems 7 and 8, and the bound underlies the analysis of VCG with reserve prices (Theorem 32). Lemma 2's benchmark ∑ipiMqiM\sum_i p^M_i q^M_i∑i​piM​qiM​ became a standard tool for "ex ante relaxation" arguments.

The results are proved in the paper; none of them has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them requires Myerson's revenue characterization in a multi-agent, dominant-strategy setting with a general feasibility constraint, which Lean's libraries do not have, and a probabilistic analysis of a sequential process over a product measure. Related formalizations exist for narrower models: the single-unit, Bayesian incentive compatible revenue identity MechanismDesign.Auctions.revenue_eq_virtual_surplus (Börgers' textbook, common support) and the i.i.d. multi-unit RevenueManagement.revenue_equivalence. Neither covers per-agent supports, set-system constraints or dominant-strategy truthfulness.

Difficulty

The obvious argument compares the SPM with the hypothetical mechanism that ignores the feasibility constraint, whose revenue is exactly ∑ipiqi\sum_i p_i q_i∑i​pi​qi​. The SPM loses the revenue of agents who would have accepted but are blocked. The difficulty is that blocking is correlated with the values of earlier agents, and the lost revenue must be bounded by revenue actually collected. A naive per-agent charge fails in a general matroid, because one served agent can block many others; the bound has to use the matroid's rank structure together with the decreasing price order.

On the mechanism side, Lemma 2 needs the full Myerson theory: monotonicity of truthful allocations, the payment identity, and an optimization over interim allocation rules with a fixed service probability, where regularity is used.

Formalization scope

All objects live in the namespace CHMSPricing.SpmMatroid. Agents are Fin n. The following conventions are fixed.

  • Distributions. Each FiF_iFi​ is given by a measurable density, strictly positive on a bounded interval [v‾i,v‾i][\underline v_i, \overline v_i][v​i​,vi​] with 0≤v‾i<v‾i0 \le \underline v_i < \overline v_i0≤v​i​<vi​, integrating to 111 there, with no mass outside. There are no point masses, so the randomized variant of S\mathcal SS in §4 does not arise. The prior is the product measure.
  • Regularity. Monotone non-decreasing virtual values on the support (Definition 2). All goals assume regular distributions, as the body's analyses do; the non-regular case (the second paragraph of Lemma 2, Appendix E) uses randomized prices and is out of scope.
  • Truthfulness. Deterministic mechanisms, dominant-strategy incentive compatible with deviations within the support, ex-post individually rational, feasible on the type space, with measurable allocation events and measurable integrable payments. Payments of unserved agents are not forced to zero.
  • Benchmark. The goal is stated for every truthful MMM, with S\mathcal SS built from MMM's own service probabilities; this is stronger than comparing with Myerson's mechanism alone and avoids constructing it.
  • Prices. pi=Fi−1(1−qi)p_i = F_i^{-1}(1 - q_i)pi​=Fi−1​(1−qi​) is passed as an argument with the hypotheses pi∈[v‾i,v‾i]p_i \in [\underline v_i, \overline v_i]pi​∈[v​i​,vi​] and Fi(pi)=1−qiF_i(p_i) = 1 - q_iFi​(pi​)=1−qi​, rather than through a generalized inverse.
  • SPM. Positions are 000-based; the price belongs to the agent; acceptance is pi≤vip_i \le v_ipi​≤vi​; ties in the decreasing price order are arbitrary, and the goal holds for every such order.
  • Proposition 1 additionally assumes the normalization that an agent with value v‾i\underline v_iv​i​ has zero utility, which is how the paper's payments are pinned down.

The goal cannot be trivialized by a free choice of prices: the prices are tied to the mechanism's service probabilities, and the SPM uses the same matroid as the mechanism. Individual rationality is essential, since without it a "truthful" mechanism can extract unbounded revenue.

A complete development needs Myerson's lemma for dominant-strategy single-parameter mechanisms, a quantile/revenue-curve argument under regularity, matroid span and rank facts for the paper's finite set systems, and independence arguments for a sequential process on a product measure. The rank bound and the deterministic lost-revenue inequality are independent of the probabilistic parts and are good first contributions; the Myerson-side lemmas are reusable for the other missions of this series.

Selected references

  • S. Chawla, J. D. Hartline, D. Malec, B. Sivan, Multi-parameter Mechanism Design and Sequential Posted Pricing, arXiv:0907.2435v2, 2010; STOC 2010. https://arxiv.org/abs/0907.2435
  • R. B. Myerson, Optimal Auction Design, Mathematics of Operations Research 6(1):58–73, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.6.1.58
  • J. Bulow, J. Roberts, The Simple Economics of Optimal Auctions, Journal of Political Economy 97(5):1060–1090, 1989. https://doi.org/10.1086/261643
  • R. Kleinberg, S. M. Weinberg, Matroid Prophet Inequalities, STOC 2012. https://arxiv.org/abs/1201.4764
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Operations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

One-Machine Sequencing to Minimize Certain Functions of Job Tardiness I: SPT Order Minimizes Total Tardiness When Each Due Date Plus Processing Time Is at Most the Next SPT Completion TimeResearch Paper

Why total tardiness on one machine

A shop that promises delivery dates is judged by how late its orders are, not by how early. For a single machine processing nnn jobs that are all available at time 000, the total tardiness of a processing order,

T=∑i∈Jmax⁡(0, Ci−di),T=\sum_{i\in J}\max(0,\,C_i-d_i),T=i∈J∑​max(0,Ci​−di​),

charges each job the amount by which its completion time CiC_iCi​ exceeds its due date did_idi​, and nothing for finishing early. It is one of the basic criteria of deterministic scheduling (Conway, Maxwell and Miller, Theory of Scheduling, 1967), and the single-machine problem of minimizing it is the core subproblem of many dispatching and decomposition methods.

Two contrasting rules are classical. Sequencing in order of shortest processing time (SPT) minimizes total lateness ∑i(Ci−di)\sum_i (C_i-d_i)∑i​(Ci​−di​) and total completion time (Smith, 1956), and it minimizes total tardiness when every job is tardy under it. Sequencing by earliest due date (EDD) minimizes total tardiness when at most one job is tardy under it. Between these extremes no simple rule is optimal, and before 1969 the proposed exact methods (Held and Karp, 1962; Lawler, 1964; Elmaghraby, 1968) searched subsets of schedules.

Timeline.

  • 1956: Smith's ratio rule for weighted completion time; SPT for flow time and lateness.
  • 1965: Root notes that SPT is optimal for total tardiness when all due dates are equal.
  • 1969: Emmons (Operations Research 17(4)) proves dominance theorems that fix the relative order of pairs of jobs in some optimal schedule, and derives from them general sufficient conditions for SPT and EDD optimality.
  • 1977: Lawler gives a pseudopolynomial algorithm, built on Emmons's dominance results (Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1).
  • 1990: Du and Leung prove the problem NP-hard (Mathematics of Operations Research 15(3)), so sufficient conditions of Emmons's kind are the most one can expect from a simple rule.

This mission formalizes Emmons's SPT side: the pairwise dominance theorem for a shorter job before a longer one, and its corollary that the SPT schedule is optimal under a condition far weaker than "every job is tardy".

Setting

A finite set JJJ of jobs is processed on one machine. Job iii has a processing time pi≥0p_i\ge 0pi​≥0 and a due date di∈Rd_i\in\mathbb Rdi​∈R. A schedule of JJJ is an ordering of the jobs of JJJ; the machine starts at time 000, never idles, and processes the jobs in that order, so a job's completion time CiC_iCi​ is the sum of the processing times of the jobs up to and including it. Its tardiness is Ti=max⁡(0,Ci−di)T_i=\max(0, C_i-d_i)Ti​=max(0,Ci​−di​), and the schedule's total tardiness is T=∑i∈JTiT=\sum_{i\in J}T_iT=∑i∈J​Ti​. A schedule is optimal if no schedule of JJJ has smaller total tardiness.

Following Emmons, jobs are SPT-indexed: J1,…,JnJ_1,\dots,J_nJ1​,…,Jn​ are numbered so that j<kj<kj<k implies pj<pkp_j<p_kpj​<pk​, or pj=pkp_j=p_kpj​=pk​ and dj≤dkd_j\le d_kdj​≤dk​. The SPT schedule processes J1,J2,…,JnJ_1,J_2,\dots,J_nJ1​,J2​,…,Jn​ in this order.

Emmons's notation j←kj\leftarrow kj←k ("JjJ_jJj​ precedes JkJ_kJk​ in an optimal schedule") means that there exists an optimal schedule having all properties already established and in which JjJ_jJj​ comes before JkJ_kJk​. The set BkB_kBk​ collects the jobs already known to precede JkJ_kJk​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Corollary 1.4 (p. 705)

dj+pj≤∑i=1j+1pi(j=1,…,n−1)⟹the SPT schedule minimizes ∑i∈Jmax⁡(0,Ci−di).d_j+p_j\le\sum_{i=1}^{j+1}p_i\quad(j=1,\dots,n-1)\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\text{the SPT schedule minimizes } \sum_{i\in J}\max(0,C_i-d_i).dj​+pj​≤i=1∑j+1​pi​(j=1,…,n−1)⟹the SPT schedule minimizes i∈J∑​max(0,Ci​−di​).

The condition can be read as dj≤Cj+(pj+1−pj)d_j\le C_j+(p_{j+1}-p_j)dj​≤Cj​+(pj+1​−pj​) with CjC_jCj​ the SPT completion time of JjJ_jJj​, so it allows jobs to be early. It is the paper's sufficient condition for SPT optimality, and the conclusion is optimality against every schedule of JJJ.

Milestones

  1. Interchange claim (proof of Theorem 1, p. 703): in a schedule where all of BBB precede JkJ_kJk​ and JkJ_kJk​ precedes JjJ_jJj​, with j<kj<kj<k and dj≤max⁡(∑Bpi+pk, dk)d_j\le\max(\sum_{B}p_i+p_k,\,d_k)dj​≤max(∑B​pi​+pk​,dk​), interchanging JjJ_jJj​ and JkJ_kJk​ does not increase total tardiness.
  2. Theorem 1 (p. 703): if some optimal schedule has all of BBB before JkJ_kJk​ and dj≤max⁡(∑Bpi+pk, dk)d_j\le\max(\sum_{B}p_i+p_k,\,d_k)dj​≤max(∑B​pi​+pk​,dk​), then some optimal schedule has all of BBB before JkJ_kJk​ and also JjJ_jJj​ before JkJ_kJk​.
  3. Corollary 1.1 (p. 704): if d1≤max⁡(pi,di)d_1\le\max(p_i,d_i)d1​≤max(pi​,di​) for all i>1i>1i>1, then J1J_1J1​ is first in an optimal schedule.
  4. Time re-referencing (p. 705): processing JkJ_kJk​ first leaves the problem on J∖{Jk}J\setminus\{J_k\}J∖{Jk​} with due dates di−pkd_i-p_kdi​−pk​.
  5. First-job reduction (p. 705): JkJ_kJk​ followed by an optimal schedule of that reduced problem is optimal, whenever some optimal schedule starts with JkJ_kJk​.

Two further results are included as supporting statements: Corollary 1.2 (p. 705, JnJ_nJn​ last) and Corollary 2.3 (p. 707, the adjacent-pair rule j←kj\leftarrow kj←k iff dj≤max⁡(W+pk,dk)d_j\le\max(W+p_k,d_k)dj​≤max(W+pk​,dk​) after a waiting time WWW).

Significance

Corollary 1.4 turns an NP-hard problem into a closed-form answer on a recognizable class of instances: one pass over the SPT order checks the condition, and if it holds no search is needed. Theorem 1 is the more general tool. It orders pairs of jobs in an optimal schedule, and together with Emmons's companion theorems it underlies later exact methods for total tardiness, including Lawler's decomposition and the branch-and-bound algorithms that use Emmons's dominance rules for pruning.

The results are proved in the paper. What a formalization adds is a checked account of the step that the paper treats informally: dominance statements are existential ("some optimal schedule has JjJ_jJj​ before JkJ_kJk​"), and the paper argues on p. 702 that such statements can be accumulated. Each statement here makes explicit which previously established properties the new optimal schedule keeps. No machine-checked proof of these results was found on Prove2Me or in Mathlib at the time of drafting.

Difficulty

The obvious argument is a pairwise interchange, but the interchanged jobs are not adjacent. Moving JkJ_kJk​ from before JjJ_jJj​ to JjJ_jJj​'s position shifts every job in between, changes two tardiness terms in different directions, and the comparison depends on where the due dates fall relative to the start of JkJ_kJk​ and the end of JjJ_jJj​. The hypothesis involving ∑Bkpi\sum_{B_k}p_i∑Bk​​pi​ only controls the start time of JkJ_kJk​ through the information that BkB_kBk​ precedes it, so the existence statement must carry that information along.

The goal is not a direct consequence of Theorem 1 applied pairwise: existential conclusions for different pairs need not hold in a common optimal schedule. Optimality of one fixed order requires all the pairwise decisions to be realized simultaneously, and the problem changes (due dates shift) once a job is fixed in place.

Formalization scope

Jobs are elements of a type ι\iotaι with a linear order that plays the role of the paper's index, and the job set is a Finset ι; this lets the reduction remove a job and keep the remaining labels. Schedules and completion times are the published definitions MooreLateJobs.Shared.IsSchedule and MooreLateJobs.Shared.completionTime (duplicate-free lists containing exactly the jobs of JJJ; prefix sums of processing times from time 000). Tardiness, total tardiness, optimality (against every schedule of JJJ), "precedes" (comparison of positions), the SPT indexing convention and the SPT schedule (the jobs sorted by index) are defined in EmmonsTardiness.SPT.Model. Processing times and due dates are real.

Conventions and deviations from the page:

  • Added: processing times are nonnegative, pi≥0p_i\ge0pi​≥0 for i∈Ji\in Ji∈J. They are durations; the proof of Theorem 1 uses that the start time of JkJ_kJk​ is at least ∑Bkpi\sum_{B_k}p_i∑Bk​​pi​, and Corollary 2.3's second direction is false without it.
  • Not imposed: the reduction di<∑Jpid_i<\sum_J p_idi​<∑J​pi​ of p. 703. It is a without-loss-of-generality preprocessing step that no statement needs, so dropping it makes the statements stronger.
  • Kept: the SPT indexing convention of p. 703 is a hypothesis of every statement that refers to job indices.
  • j←kj\leftarrow kj←k: the "properties already established" are the precedences named in hypothesis (1); the broader cumulative reading of p. 702 is not formalized.

A formalization of the goal as "some optimal schedule starts with J1J_1J1​", or of Theorem 1 with an arbitrary set BBB unrelated to optimal schedules, would be a different and weaker (or false) statement; the targets above state optimality of the SPT schedule itself and tie BBB to an optimal schedule.

Needed infrastructure: lemmas on prefix sums of lists, on the effect of a transposition on positions in a duplicate-free list, on removing the head of a schedule, and existence of an optimal schedule among the finitely many permutations of JJJ. These list-scheduling lemmas are reusable for other single-machine results (Moore 1968, and the EDD mission of this series). Proofs of the milestones, alternative arguments, and general interchange lemmas are all welcome.

Selected references

  • H. Emmons, One-Machine Sequencing to Minimize Certain Functions of Job Tardiness, Operations Research 17(4):701–715, 1969. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.17.4.701
  • R. W. Conway, W. L. Maxwell, L. W. Miller, Theory of Scheduling, Addison-Wesley, 1967.
  • W. E. Smith, Various Optimizers for Single-Stage Production, Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 3:59–66, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800030106
  • J. G. Root, Scheduling with Deadlines and Loss Functions on k Parallel Machines, Management Science 11:460–475, 1965. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.11.4.460
  • J. M. Moore, An n Job, One Machine Sequencing Algorithm for Minimizing the Number of Late Jobs, Management Science 15(1):102–109, 1968. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.15.1.102
  • E. L. Lawler, A "Pseudopolynomial" Algorithm for Sequencing Jobs to Minimize Total Tardiness, Annals of Discrete Mathematics 1:331–342, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-5060(08)70742-8
  • J. Du, J. Y.-T. Leung, Minimizing Total Tardiness on One Machine is NP-Hard, Mathematics of Operations Research 15(3):483–495, 1990. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.15.3.483
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AnalysisCalculus of VariationsFunctional Analysis+1·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Variational Principle I: Near Every ε-Minimizer of a Lower Semicontinuous Function Bounded Below on a Complete Metric Space Lies a Strict Minimizer of F + (ε/λ)d(v, ·)Research Paper

Motivation

A function that is bounded below need not attain its infimum: exe^xex on R\mathbb{R}R has infimum 000 and no minimizer. The classical "variational principle" says that at a minimizer uˉ\bar uuˉ of a differentiable functional, F′(uˉ)=0F'(\bar u)=0F′(uˉ)=0. Without compactness there may be no minimizer, and the principle has nothing to say. In 1974 Ivar Ekeland showed that a weaker statement survives in every complete metric space: next to any approximate minimizer lies a point that is the exact, strict minimizer of a slightly perturbed function (Ekeland 1974).

The result is now a standard tool in nonlinear analysis, optimization and the calculus of variations. It yields approximate first-order conditions (∥F′(v)∥∗≤ε\|F'(v)\|_*\le\varepsilon∥F′(v)∥∗​≤ε) without existence of minimizers, approximate Lagrange multiplier rules, and approximate maximum principles in optimal control; Ekeland's survey (Ekeland 1979) collects many of these uses.

Timeline. Bishop and Phelps introduced the partial order on a Banach space times R\mathbb{R}R that underlies the proof, in their study of support functionals of convex sets (Bishop–Phelps, The support functional of a convex set, Proc. Symp. Pure Math. 7, AMS, 1963). Brøndsted and Rockafellar used it in 1965 to obtain subdifferentiability properties of convex functions on Banach spaces (Brøndsted–Rockafellar 1965), and Browder applied it to nonconvex subsets of Banach spaces (Bull. AMS 79, 1973). Ekeland's 1974 article, formalized here, isolates the device as a principle valid in every complete metric space for lower semicontinuous functions with values in R∪{+∞}\mathbb{R}\cup\{+\infty\}R∪{+∞}, and applies it to Gâteaux-differentiable functions, constrained optimization, Plateau's problem, geodesics and optimal control.

Setting

Let (V,d)(V,d)(V,d) be a complete metric space. Let F:V→R∪{+∞}F:V\to\mathbb{R}\cup\{+\infty\}F:V→R∪{+∞} be lower semicontinuous (for every ccc the set {F≤c}\{F\le c\}{F≤c} is closed), not identically +∞+\infty+∞, and bounded from below:

inf⁡F>−∞.(1.1)\inf F > -\infty. \tag{1.1}infF>−∞.(1.1)

For ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, a point u∈Vu\in Vu∈V is an ε\varepsilonε-minimizer if

inf⁡F≤F(u)≤inf⁡F+ε.(1.2)\inf F \le F(u) \le \inf F + \varepsilon. \tag{1.2}infF≤F(u)≤infF+ε.(1.2)

For α>0\alpha>0α>0, the Bishop–Phelps order on V×RV\times\mathbb{R}V×R is

(v1,a1)≺(v2,a2)  ⟺  (a2−a1)+α d(v1,v2)≤0.(1.6)(v_1,a_1)\prec(v_2,a_2)\iff (a_2-a_1)+\alpha\,d(v_1,v_2)\le 0. \tag{1.6}(v1​,a1​)≺(v2​,a2​)⟺(a2​−a1​)+αd(v1​,v2​)≤0.(1.6)

In Lean it is EkelandVP.General.bpLE α p q, read p≺qp\prec qp≺q. The epigraph of FFF is S={(v,a)∣a≥F(v)}⊆V×RS=\{(v,a)\mid a\ge F(v)\}\subseteq V\times\mathbb{R}S={(v,a)∣a≥F(v)}⊆V×R (1.15).

In §2, VVV is a real Banach space with dual V∗V^*V∗, and FFF is Gâteaux-differentiable with derivative F′:V→V∗F':V\to V^*F′:V→V∗ (EkelandVP.General.IsGateauxDiff F F'): at every u0u_0u0​ with F(u0)<+∞F(u_0)<+\inftyF(u0​)<+∞, ddtF(u0+tv)∣t=0=⟨F′(u0),v⟩\frac{d}{dt}F(u_0+tv)|_{t=0}=\langle F'(u_0),v\rangledtd​F(u0​+tv)∣t=0​=⟨F′(u0​),v⟩ for every vvv (2.1).

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1 (p. 324)

For every uuu satisfying (1.2) and every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0 there is v∈Vv\in Vv∈V with

F(v)≤F(u),d(u,v)≤λ,∀w≠v: F(w)>F(v)−ελ d(v,w).(1.3–1.5)F(v)\le F(u),\qquad d(u,v)\le\lambda,\qquad \forall w\ne v:\ F(w)>F(v)-\frac{\varepsilon}{\lambda}\,d(v,w). \tag{1.3–1.5}F(v)≤F(u),d(u,v)≤λ,∀w=v: F(w)>F(v)−λε​d(v,w).(1.3–1.5)

The parameters ε\varepsilonε and λ\lambdaλ are free; the trade-off between closeness to uuu and the size of the perturbation is the content of the theorem.

Milestones (§1)

  1. For α>0\alpha>0α>0, ≺\prec≺ is reflexive, antisymmetric and transitive (p. 325).
  2. For every (v1,a1)(v_1,a_1)(v1​,a1​), the set {(v,a)∣(v1,a1)≺(v,a)}\{(v,a)\mid (v_1,a_1)\prec(v,a)\}{(v,a)∣(v1​,a1​)≺(v,a)} is closed in V×RV\times\mathbb{R}V×R (p. 325).
  3. Lemma 1.2 (p. 325): if S⊆V×RS\subseteq V\times\mathbb{R}S⊆V×R is closed and a≥ma\ge ma≥m on SSS for some mmm (1.7), then every (v1,a1)∈S(v_1,a_1)\in S(v1​,a1​)∈S lies below a ≺\prec≺-maximal element of SSS.

Consequences (§2)

  • Corollary 2.3 (p. 328): for VVV Banach, FFF l.s.c. and Gâteaux-differentiable with −∞<inf⁡F<+∞-\infty<\inf F<+\infty−∞<infF<+∞, and every ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0, there is vεv_\varepsilonvε​ with F(vε)−inf⁡F≤ε2F(v_\varepsilon)-\inf F\le\varepsilon^2F(vε​)−infF≤ε2 and ∥F′(vε)∥∗≤ε\|F'(v_\varepsilon)\|_*\le\varepsilon∥F′(vε​)∥∗​≤ε.
  • Corollary 2.4 (p. 328): if moreover F(v)≥k∥v∥+cF(v)\ge k\|v\|+cF(v)≥k∥v∥+c with k>0k>0k>0, then F′(V)F'(V)F′(V) is dense in kB∗kB^*kB∗.
  • Corollary 2.5 (p. 329): if F(v)≥Φ(∥v∥)F(v)\ge\Phi(\|v\|)F(v)≥Φ(∥v∥) with Φ\PhiΦ continuous and Φ(t)/t→∞\Phi(t)/t\to\inftyΦ(t)/t→∞, then F′(V)F'(V)F′(V) is dense in V∗V^*V∗.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.1 replaces "a minimizer exists" by "a strict minimizer of a Lipschitz perturbation exists nearby", with explicit control of both the distance and the perturbation. With λ=ε\lambda=\sqrt{\varepsilon}λ=ε​ this gives a point that is ε\varepsilonε-optimal, ε\sqrt{\varepsilon}ε​-close to uuu, and ε\sqrt{\varepsilon}ε​-stationary in the metric sense. Corollary 2.3 is the form announced in the paper's abstract: a differentiable function with a finite lower bound has points where FFF is almost minimal and ∥F′∥∗\|F'\|_*∥F′∥∗​ is arbitrarily small. Later sections of the same paper use Theorem 1.1 for approximate Lagrange multiplier rules (§3) and an approximate Pontryagin maximum principle (§7), which are the subjects of missions II and III of this series.

Formalizing it. The theorem is proved; this mission formalizes the paper's own route (the order (1.6), Lemma 1.2, then Theorem 1.1) and its first applications in §2. The pinned Mathlib has no statement of Ekeland's principle, of the Caristi fixed point theorem, or of the Bishop–Phelps order, and the platform has none either. A machine-checked Theorem 1.1 for extended-real-valued functions would be directly reusable by every later mission that needs approximate optimality without compactness.

Difficulty

The obvious argument — take a minimizing sequence and pass to a limit — fails because nothing makes a minimizing sequence converge: VVV is not compact, and a minimizing sequence of exe^xex escapes to −∞-\infty−∞. Completeness only helps for Cauchy sequences, so one must construct a sequence that is Cauchy. The limit must moreover be maximal for the order (1.6), not merely a limit point, and that maximality is what produces the strict inequality (1.5). Lemma 1.2 is where this difficulty sits. In §2, the passage from the metric statement (1.5) to a bound on ∥F′(v)∥∗\|F'(v)\|_*∥F′(v)∥∗​ requires FFF to be finite near vvv along every line, which the Gâteaux hypothesis supplies.

Formalization scope

  • VVV is a MetricSpace with CompleteSpace; d(u,v)d(u,v)d(u,v) is dist u v. V×RV\times\mathbb{R}V×R carries the product topology; only closedness of subsets of it is used.
  • F:V→F:V\toF:V→ EReal. "Bounded from below" (1.1) is ⊥<inf⁡vF(v)\bot<\inf_v F(v)⊥<infv​F(v); it also excludes the value −∞-\infty−∞, which the paper's codomain does not contain. "Not identically +∞+\infty+∞" is ∃v0, F(v0)≠⊤\exists v_0,\ F(v_0)\ne\top∃v0​, F(v0​)=⊤. Lower semicontinuity is Mathlib's LowerSemicontinuous.
  • (1.2) is assumed in the form F(u)≤inf⁡F+εF(u)\le\inf F+\varepsilonF(u)≤infF+ε with ε>0\varepsilon>0ε>0 real (the left half is automatic). λ\lambdaλ is named lam.
  • (1.5) is F(v)−ελd(v,w)<F(w)F(v)-\frac{\varepsilon}{\lambda}d(v,w)<F(w)F(v)−λε​d(v,w)<F(w) for all w≠vw\ne vw=v, strict, with the paper's argument order d(v,w)d(v,w)d(v,w). Since F(v)F(v)F(v) is finite under the hypotheses, the EReal subtraction is ordinary.
  • A trivializing formalization is ruled out: FFF is not real-valued (the value +∞+\infty+∞ is what lets §3 apply the theorem to FFF plus the indicator of a closed set), (1.5) is strict and quantified over all w≠vw\ne vw=v, and the conclusion is not weakened to d(u,v)<∞d(u,v)<\inftyd(u,v)<∞ or ≤\le≤ in (1.5).
  • In §2, VVV is a real NormedSpace with CompleteSpace, F′F'F′ is a function V→(V→LR)V\to(V\to_L\mathbb{R})V→(V→L​R), and Gâteaux differentiability requires t↦F(u0+tv)t\mapsto F(u_0+tv)t↦F(u0​+tv) to be finite near t=0t=0t=0 before taking a real derivative; without this, EReal.toReal (±∞)=0(\pm\infty)=0(±∞)=0 would let an infinite function have a junk derivative. Density of F′(V)F'(V)F′(V) is stated for derivatives taken at points where F<+∞F<+\inftyF<+∞.
  • Theorem 2.2 is not part of this mission: its conclusion (2.4) is printed as the strict ∥v−u∥<λ\|v-u\|<\lambda∥v−u∥<λ, while its one-line proof from Theorem 1.1 gives only ≤λ\le\lambda≤λ. Corollaries 2.3–2.5 do not depend on the strict form.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones (the first two are short; Lemma 1.2 is the core), of Theorem 1.1, and of the §2 corollaries; a reusable Caristi fixed point theorem built on the same order would be a natural addition.

Selected references

  • I. Ekeland, On the Variational Principle, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 47 (1974), 324–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-247X(74)90025-0
  • I. Ekeland, Nonconvex minimization problems, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. (N.S.) 1 (1979), 443–474. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-1979-14595-6
  • E. Bishop, R. R. Phelps, The support functional of a convex set, in Convexity (V. Klee, ed.), Proc. Symp. Pure Math. 7, Amer. Math. Soc., 1963, 27–35. (Reference [4] of Ekeland 1974.)
  • A. Brøndsted, R. T. Rockafellar, On the subdifferentiability of convex functions, Proc. Amer. Math. Soc. 16 (1965), 605–611. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-1965-0178103-8
  • F. E. Browder, Normal solvability for nonlinear mappings into Banach spaces, Bull. Amer. Math. Soc. 79 (1973), 328–350. https://doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9904-1973-13152-9
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Operations ResearchOptimizationProbability+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Dimensioning Large Call Centers I: The Rationalized Staffing Function Is Asymptotically OptimalResearch Paper

Motivation

A call center with NNN agents facing Poisson arrivals at rate λ\lambdaλ and exponential service at rate μ\muμ is the M/M/N (Erlang-C) queue. Choosing NNN trades the cost of agents against the cost of customers waiting, and in practice it is done with the square-root safety-staffing rule N≈R+yRN \approx R + y\sqrt RN≈R+yR​, where R=λ/μR = \lambda/\muR=λ/μ is the offered load. Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman (CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; published in Operations Research 52(1), 2004, doi:10.1287/opre.1030.0081) turned that rule of thumb into an optimization result: for a general convex staffing cost and a general waiting-cost function, they identify the safety factor yyy that makes the rule asymptotically optimal as the arrival rate grows.

Timeline of the asymptotic regime the paper builds on:

  • 1917. Erlang's delay formula π(N,ν)\pi(N,\nu)π(N,ν) for the M/M/N queue.
  • 1981. Halfin and Whitt (Oper. Res. 29(3)) show that with N=R+βRN = R + \beta\sqrt RN=R+βR​ servers the probability of waiting converges to a limit P(β)∈(0,1)P(\beta) \in (0,1)P(β)∈(0,1), the quality-and-efficiency-driven regime.
  • 2000/2004. Borst, Mandelbaum and Reiman classify cost structures into a rationalized, an efficiency-driven and a quality-driven regime, and prove asymptotic optimality of an explicit staffing rule in each.

This mission is the first of a series of four on that paper and covers the rationalized regime (Section 5), where staffing and waiting costs are of the same order.

Setting

The service rate μ>0\mu > 0μ>0 is fixed and the arrival rate λ\lambdaλ grows. A staffing cost FFF, defined on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞), is convex and strictly increasing; it does not depend on λ\lambdaλ. For each λ>0\lambda > 0λ>0 a waiting-cost function DλD_\lambdaDλ​ satisfies Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0)=0Dλ​(0)=0, is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞), and makes

G(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞Dλ(t) e−(Nμ−λ)t dtG(N,\lambda) = (N\mu-\lambda)\int_0^\infty D_\lambda(t)\,e^{-(N\mu-\lambda)t}\,dtG(N,λ)=(Nμ−λ)∫0∞​Dλ​(t)e−(Nμ−λ)tdt

finite for every N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ. With the Erlang-C formula

π(N,ν)=νNN!{(1−νN)∑n=0N−1νnn!+νNN!}−1,\pi(N,\nu) = \frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Big\{\big(1-\tfrac{\nu}{N}\big)\sum_{n=0}^{N-1}\frac{\nu^n}{n!}+\frac{\nu^N}{N!}\Big\}^{-1},π(N,ν)=N!νN​{(1−Nν​)n=0∑N−1​n!νn​+N!νN​}−1,

the expected total cost of staffing N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ agents is C(N,λ)=F(N)+λ π(N,λ/μ) G(N,λ)C(N,\lambda) = F(N) + \lambda\,\pi(N,\lambda/\mu)\,G(N,\lambda)C(N,λ)=F(N)+λπ(N,λ/μ)G(N,λ), and Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​ is any integer N>λ/μN > \lambda/\muN>λ/μ minimizing it (7).

In normalized units Nλ(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μN_\lambda(x) = \lambda/\mu + x\sqrt{\lambda/\mu}Nλ​(x)=λ/μ+xλ/μ​ the paper defines Fλ(x)=F(Nλ(x))−F(λ/μ)F_\lambda(x) = F(N_\lambda(x)) - F(\lambda/\mu)Fλ​(x)=F(Nλ​(x))−F(λ/μ), Gλ(x)=λG(Nλ(x),λ)G_\lambda(x) = \lambda G(N_\lambda(x),\lambda)Gλ​(x)=λG(Nλ​(x),λ), the continuous delay probability πλ(x)=H(Nλ(x),λ/μ)\pi_\lambda(x) = H(N_\lambda(x),\lambda/\mu)πλ​(x)=H(Nλ​(x),λ/μ) with

H(M,α)={α∫0∞e−αt t (1+t)M−1 dt}−1,H(M,\alpha) = \Big\{\alpha\int_0^\infty e^{-\alpha t}\,t\,(1+t)^{M-1}\,dt\Big\}^{-1},H(M,α)={α∫0∞​e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt}−1,

and Cλ(x)=Fλ(x)+πλ(x)Gλ(x)C_\lambda(x) = F_\lambda(x) + \pi_\lambda(x)G_\lambda(x)Cλ​(x)=Fλ​(x)+πλ​(x)Gλ​(x), minimized at xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​ (8). A surrogate C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z)C[z;\hat F,\hat\pi,\hat G] = \hat F(z)+\hat\pi(z)\hat G(z)C[z;F^,π^,G^]=F^(z)+π^(z)G^(z) approximates it. Rounding is measured by

Sλ(x)=min⁡{C(⌊Nλ(x)⌋,λ), C(⌈Nλ(x)⌉,λ)}.(10)S_\lambda(x) = \min\{C(\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor,\lambda),\,C(\lceil N_\lambda(x)\rceil,\lambda)\}. \tag{10}Sλ​(x)=min{C(⌊Nλ​(x)⌋,λ),C(⌈Nλ​(x)⌉,λ)}.(10)

The Halfin–Whitt delay function is P(x)=(1+x/h(−x))−1P(x) = \big(1 + x/h(-x)\big)^{-1}P(x)=(1+x/h(−x))−1, with h=ϕ/(1−Φ)h = \phi/(1-\Phi)h=ϕ/(1−Φ) the standard normal hazard rate (11). Asymptotic equality aλ≈∞bλa_\lambda \stackrel{\infty}{\approx} b_\lambdaaλ​≈∞bλ​ means aλ/bλ→1a_\lambda/b_\lambda \to 1aλ​/bλ​→1 as λ→∞\lambda\to\inftyλ→∞.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 5.1

Assume the rationalized condition (18): for some κ>0\kappa > 0κ>0, Fλ(κ)/Gλ(κ)→γ∈(0,∞)F_\lambda(\kappa)/G_\lambda(\kappa) \to \gamma \in (0,\infty)Fλ​(κ)/Gλ​(κ)→γ∈(0,∞). Let yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​ minimize Fλ(y)+P(y)Gλ(y)F_\lambda(y) + P(y)G_\lambda(y)Fλ​(y)+P(y)Gλ​(y) over y>0y>0y>0 (19). Then

lim⁡λ→∞Sλ(yλ∗)−F(λ/μ)C(Nλ∗,λ)−F(λ/μ)=1.\lim_{\lambda\to\infty}\frac{S_\lambda(y^*_\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)}{C(N^*_\lambda,\lambda) - F(\lambda/\mu)} = 1.λ→∞lim​C(Nλ∗​,λ)−F(λ/μ)Sλ​(yλ∗​)−F(λ/μ)​=1.

The goal fixes no constant and no rate: it asserts only that the excess cost of the explicit rule is asymptotically the optimal excess cost.

Milestones

  • Lemma C.1: GλG_\lambdaGλ​ is strictly convex and strictly decreasing on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).
  • Section 3, p. 12: H(N,ν)=π(N,ν)H(N,\nu) = \pi(N,\nu)H(N,ν)=π(N,ν) at integers N>ν>0N > \nu > 0N>ν>0.
  • Lemma 3.1, Lemma 3.2, Corollary 3.3: the approximation principle. If the surrogate approximates CλC_\lambdaCλ​ at both xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​ and its own minimizer zλ∗z^*_\lambdazλ∗​, then rounding Nλ(zλ∗)N_\lambda(z^*_\lambda)Nλ​(zλ∗​) is asymptotically optimal.
  • Eqs. (13)–(14): FλF_\lambdaFλ​ preserves lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup-separation of ratios.
  • Lemma 4.1 (Halfin & Whitt): for bounded xλx_\lambdaxλ​, πλ(xλ)/P(xλ)→1\pi_\lambda(x_\lambda)/P(x_\lambda) \to 1πλ​(xλ​)/P(xλ​)→1.

Significance

The theorem justifies the square-root staffing rule from first principles for a broad cost class. In Example 5.3 of the paper (linear staffing cost ccc per agent, linear waiting cost aaa per unit time) it gives N∗≈R+y∗(a/c)RN^* \approx R + y^*(a/c)\sqrt RN∗≈R+y∗(a/c)R​, with y∗(r)y^*(r)y∗(r) the minimizer of y+rP(y)/yy + rP(y)/yy+rP(y)/y, a one-dimensional rule computable once for all loads. Corollary 3.3 is reused verbatim by the efficiency-driven and quality-driven theorems of the paper (missions II and III of this series), and Lemma 4.1 is the analytic input of all three.

The result has been proved since 2000; no machine-checked proof of it, or of the Halfin–Whitt limit for the continuous extension πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​, is known to exist. The mission produces a formal proof of the regime theorem together with reusable formal statements of the Erlang-C function, its integral representation, and the Halfin–Whitt limit.

Difficulty

The reduction from discrete to continuous staffing (Lemmas 3.1–3.2) is elementary once unimodality of CλC_\lambdaCλ​ is available, but unimodality rests on convexity of πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​, which the paper cites rather than proves, and on Lemma C.1, which needs differentiation under an improper integral. The central difficulty is Lemma 4.1: the paper derives it from Halfin and Whitt's limit theorem, which is stated for integer server counts, while πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​ is evaluated at non-integer Nλ(xλ)N_\lambda(x_\lambda)Nλ​(xλ​); a proof needs a uniform Laplace-type asymptotic for the integral defining HHH. A further obstacle is bounding xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​: the obvious route through continuity of the optimizer fails because nothing converges, and the paper instead argues by contradiction via (14).

Formalization scope

All objects live in DimCallCenters.Rationalized. The arrival rate is a real lam, and every limit is Filter.atTop on R\mathbb RR with μ\muμ fixed. The queue itself is not modelled; the paper's theorems are statements about the closed-form cost C(N,λ)C(N,\lambda)C(N,λ), and so are these. Committed conventions:

  1. The standing assumptions are a structure WaitModel (μ>0\mu>0μ>0; Dλ(0)=0D_\lambda(0)=0Dλ​(0)=0; DλD_\lambdaDλ​ strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞); t↦Dλ(t)e−θtt\mapsto D_\lambda(t)e^{-\theta t}t↦Dλ​(t)e−θt integrable on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞) for every θ>0\theta>0θ>0, which is the paper's finiteness of GGG). FFF is convex and strictly increasing on (0,∞)(0,\infty)(0,∞).
  2. Staffing levels in C(N,λ)C(N,\lambda)C(N,λ) are natural numbers; GGG and HHH take real NNN.
  3. Argmins (Nλ∗N^*_\lambdaNλ∗​, xλ∗x^*_\lambdaxλ∗​, zλ∗z^*_\lambdazλ∗​, yλ∗y^*_\lambdayλ∗​) are hypotheses that a given function is a minimizer, for every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0; ties are allowed and the theorems hold for every choice.
  4. In SλS_\lambdaSλ​ the floor term is omitted when ⌊Nλ(x)⌋≤λ/μ\lfloor N_\lambda(x)\rfloor \le \lambda/\mu⌊Nλ​(x)⌋≤λ/μ, where CCC is undefined.
  5. lim sup⁡\limsuplimsup and lim inf⁡\liminfliminf relations are written with ∃ᶠ/∀ᶠ, not Filter.limsup on R\mathbb RR.
  6. Added hypothesis. The goal assumes G(N,λ)→∞G(N,\lambda)\to\inftyG(N,λ)→∞ as N↓λ/μN\downarrow\lambda/\muN↓λ/μ. The paper asserts this limit on p. 12, but it does not follow from its assumptions (it fails for bounded DλD_\lambdaDλ​); it is equivalent to DλD_\lambdaDλ​ being unbounded and is what makes the continuous optimum exist.

The hypotheses are met by linear staffing and waiting costs (F(N)=cNF(N)=cNF(N)=cN, Dλ(t)=atD_\lambda(t)=atDλ​(t)=at), for which (18) holds with γ=cκ2/a\gamma = c\kappa^2/aγ=cκ2/a, so the goal is not vacuous. It is not trivialized by junk values either: the ratio's denominator is positive at every λ>0\lambda>0λ>0, and SλS_\lambdaSλ​ never evaluates CCC at an unstable level.

Needed infrastructure: Laplace asymptotics for ∫0∞e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt\int_0^\infty e^{-\alpha t}t(1+t)^{M-1}dt∫0∞​e−αtt(1+t)M−1dt, differentiation under the integral sign for GGG, and convexity of πλ\pi_\lambdaπλ​. All of these are reusable for missions II–IV. Proofs of the milestones in any order are welcome, as are proofs of the convexity facts the paper cites from its references [9], [10].

Selected references

  • S. Borst, A. Mandelbaum, M. I. Reiman, Dimensioning Large Call Centers, CWI Report PNA-R0015, 2000; Operations Research 52(1):17–34, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0081
  • S. Halfin, W. Whitt, Heavy-Traffic Limits for Queues with Many Exponential Servers, Operations Research 29(3):567–588, 1981. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.29.3.567
  • A. K. Erlang, Solution of some problems in the theory of probabilities of significance in automatic telephone exchanges, Elektroteknikeren 13, 1917.
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Operations ResearchProbabilityStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Fundamentals of Queueing Theory IX: Kingman's Upper Bound on the G/G/1 Queue WaitTextbook

Motivation

The single-server queue with general independent interarrival and service times, the G/G/1 queue, is the basic model of a congested resource: a machine, a link, a checkout. For Markovian arrivals or services the mean wait has a closed form (the Pollaczek–Khintchine formula for M/G/1, the geometric law for G/M/1). For general distributions it has none, and the mean wait depends on the whole distributions of the interarrival and service times, not only on their moments. Capacity planning still needs numbers. Bounds that use only the first two moments are therefore the practical tool. They say how bad congestion can be for any queue with a given arrival rate, service rate and variabilities, and they become exact as the traffic intensity approaches one.

This mission formalizes Chapter 7, §7.1 of Gross, Shortle, Thompson and Harris, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory (4th ed., Wiley 2008, DOI 10.1002/9781118625651), together with the heavy-traffic Theorem 7.1 of §7.2.3.

Timeline. Lindley (Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc., 1952) derived the recursion for successive waiting times and characterized the stationary law. Kingman (Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc., 1961, 1962) proved the heavy-traffic exponential limit. In "Some inequalities for the queue GI/G/1" (Biometrika, 1962) he proved the two-moment upper bound. Marshall (1968) derived further moment relations and bounds (Operations Research, 1968). Marchal (Operations Research, 1978) gave the lower bound (7.14).

Setting

A G/G/1 queue is specified by two probability laws on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞): the law AAA of an interarrival time TTT and the law BBB of a service time SSS. Both have finite second moments, and

E[T]=1λ,E[S]=1μ,σA2=Var[T],σB2=Var[S],ρ=λμ.E[T] = \frac1\lambda,\quad E[S] = \frac1\mu,\quad \sigma_A^2 = \mathrm{Var}[T],\quad \sigma_B^2 = \mathrm{Var}[S],\quad \rho = \frac{\lambda}{\mu}.E[T]=λ1​,E[S]=μ1​,σA2​=Var[T],σB2​=Var[S],ρ=μλ​.

The pairs (S(n),T(n))(S^{(n)}, T^{(n)})(S(n),T(n)) are independent and identically distributed, and S(n)S^{(n)}S(n) is independent of T(n)T^{(n)}T(n). Customers are served first come, first served. The line delay Wq(n)W_q^{(n)}Wq(n)​ of the nnnth customer obeys Lindley's recursion

Wq(n+1)=max⁡(0, Wq(n)+U(n)),U(n)=S(n)−T(n),(7.1)W_q^{(n+1)} = \max\bigl(0,\ W_q^{(n)} + U^{(n)}\bigr), \qquad U^{(n)} = S^{(n)} - T^{(n)}, \tag{7.1}Wq(n+1)​=max(0, Wq(n)​+U(n)),U(n)=S(n)−T(n),(7.1)

and Wq(n)W_q^{(n)}Wq(n)​ is independent of (S(n),T(n))(S^{(n)}, T^{(n)})(S(n),T(n)). The idle gap X(n)=−min⁡(0,Wq(n)+U(n))X^{(n)} = -\min(0, W_q^{(n)} + U^{(n)})X(n)=−min(0,Wq(n)​+U(n)) is the time between the nnnth departure and the next start of service.

The queue is stationary when the law ν\nuν of Wq(n)W_q^{(n)}Wq(n)​ does not depend on nnn, that is, when one step of (7.1) maps ν\nuν to itself. The mean stationary line delay is Wq=E[Wq(n)]=∫w dν(w)W_q = E[W_q^{(n)}] = \int w\,d\nu(w)Wq​=E[Wq(n)​]=∫wdν(w). In the Lean development these objects are IsGG1Input A B lam mu, lindley, idleX, IsStationaryWaitLaw A B ν and meanWait ν, in the namespace QueueingFundamentals.Bounds.

Formalization targets

Goal: Kingman's upper bound (7.13)

For every stationary G/G/1 queue with ρ<1\rho < 1ρ<1, WqW_qWq​ is finite and

Wq≤λ(σA2+σB2)2(1−ρ).W_q \le \frac{\lambda(\sigma_A^2 + \sigma_B^2)}{2(1-\rho)}.Wq​≤2(1−ρ)λ(σA2​+σB2​)​.

Milestones

  • the idle-gap identity E[X]=−E[U]=1/λ−1/μE[X] = -E[U] = 1/\lambda - 1/\muE[X]=−E[U]=1/λ−1/μ (7.4), and the mean-wait formula (7.7)
Wq=E[X2]−E[U2]2E[U];W_q = \frac{E[X^2] - E[U^2]}{2E[U]};Wq​=2E[U]E[X2]−E[U2]​;
  • the variance of the interdeparture time D=S(n+1)+X(n)D = S^{(n+1)} + X^{(n)}D=S(n+1)+X(n) (7.12): Var[D]=2σB2+σA2−2Wq(1/λ−1/μ)\mathrm{Var}[D] = 2\sigma_B^2 + \sigma_A^2 - 2W_q(1/\lambda - 1/\mu)Var[D]=2σB2​+σA2​−2Wq​(1/λ−1/μ);
  • Marchal's lower bound (7.14), Wq≥(λ2σB2+ρ(ρ−2))/(2λ(1−ρ))W_q \ge (\lambda^2\sigma_B^2 + \rho(\rho-2))/(2\lambda(1-\rho))Wq​≥(λ2σB2​+ρ(ρ−2))/(2λ(1−ρ));
  • the distributional lower bound Wq≥r0W_q \ge r_0Wq​≥r0​, with r0r_0r0​ the unique nonnegative root of f(z)=z−∫−z∞[1−U(t)] dtf(z) = z - \int_{-z}^\infty [1 - U(t)]\,dtf(z)=z−∫−z∞​[1−U(t)]dt and U(t)U(t)U(t) the CDF of S−TS - TS−T ((7.15), (7.16));
  • the two-sided estimate (7.17), max⁡(0,r0,λ2σB2+ρ(ρ−2)2λ(1−ρ))≤Wq≤λ(σA2+σB2)2(1−ρ)\max\bigl(0, r_0, \tfrac{\lambda^2\sigma_B^2 + \rho(\rho-2)}{2\lambda(1-\rho)}\bigr) \le W_q \le \tfrac{\lambda(\sigma_A^2+\sigma_B^2)}{2(1-\rho)}max(0,r0​,2λ(1−ρ)λ2σB2​+ρ(ρ−2)​)≤Wq​≤2(1−ρ)λ(σA2​+σB2​)​;
  • Theorem 7.1 (heavy traffic): for a sequence of G/G/1 queues with ρj→1\rho_j \to 1ρj​→1, αj=−E[Sj−Tj]\alpha_j = -E[S_j - T_j]αj​=−E[Sj​−Tj​] and βj2=Var[Sj−Tj]\beta_j^2 = \mathrm{Var}[S_j - T_j]βj2​=Var[Sj​−Tj​], under convergence of the input laws, Var[S−T]>0\mathrm{Var}[S - T] > 0Var[S−T]>0 and uniformly bounded (2+δ)(2+\delta)(2+δ)-moments,
2αjβj2 Wq,j→dExp(1).\frac{2\alpha_j}{\beta_j^2}\,W_{q,j} \xrightarrow{d} \mathrm{Exp}(1).βj2​2αj​​Wq,j​d​Exp(1).

The goal is (7.13) rather than the stronger (7.17) because it depends only on the first two moments of the input.

Significance

Kingman's bound is the most widely used performance estimate for single-server queues. It needs no distributional form, only two means and two variances. It yields the "Kingman formula" approximation used across manufacturing and service operations, and it is asymptotically exact as ρ→1\rho \to 1ρ→1 (Theorem 7.1). The departure variance (7.12) drives the decomposition approximations for networks of §7.3. The heavy-traffic theorem is the entry point to diffusion approximations of queues.

All results here are proved in the literature (Theorem 7.1 is stated in the book without proof). This mission produces the first machine-checked versions. As far as a search of the platform shows, none of these statements, and no stationary Lindley recursion, has been formalized. The substrate it needs is reusable for any mission on G/G/1, G/G/c or random walks: stationary laws of a recursion on distributions, moment identities for max⁡(0,⋅)\max(0,\cdot)max(0,⋅), and convergence in distribution.

Difficulty

The book's derivation squares (7.3) and takes expectations, using E[(Wq(n+1))2]=E[(Wq(n))2]E[(W_q^{(n+1)})^2] = E[(W_q^{(n)})^2]E[(Wq(n+1)​)2]=E[(Wq(n)​)2]. That step is valid only if the stationary wait has a finite second moment. It is not assumed here and fails in general: with finite second moments of SSS and TTT the stationary wait has a finite mean, but its second moment is finite only if E[S3]<∞E[S^3] < \inftyE[S3]<∞. So the moment identity (7.7) cannot be obtained by cancelling second moments. A truncation or limiting argument is needed, and even the finiteness of WqW_qWq​ has to be proved rather than assumed. The lower bound Wq≥r0W_q \ge r_0Wq​≥r0​ further needs a Jensen argument for the conditional mean of one Lindley step. Theorem 7.1 needs a uniform-integrability argument across a sequence of queues.

Formalization scope

Conventions committed to in Lean:

  • laws, not random variables: AAA, BBB and the stationary law ν\nuν are Measure ℝ; independence of Wq(n),S(n),T(n)W_q^{(n)}, S^{(n)}, T^{(n)}Wq(n)​,S(n),T(n) (and S(n+1)S^{(n+1)}S(n+1) for DDD) is the product measure;
  • the input laws are probability measures on [0,∞)[0,\infty)[0,∞) with finite second moments (MemLp id 2), E[T]=1/λE[T] = 1/\lambdaE[T]=1/λ, E[S]=1/μE[S] = 1/\muE[S]=1/μ, λ,μ>0\lambda, \mu > 0λ,μ>0, ρ=λ/μ<1\rho = \lambda/\mu < 1ρ=λ/μ<1;
  • stationarity is invariance of the whole law ν\nuν under one step of (7.1), not equality of means;
  • WqW_qWq​, the variances (Mathlib variance) and f1f_1f1​ are Lebesgue integrals. Every theorem therefore asserts, as part of its conclusion, that ν\nuν has a finite mean, and none assumes a finite second moment of ν\nuν;
  • U(t)U(t)U(t) is Mathlib's cdf of the law of S−TS - TS−T;
  • convergence in distribution is convergence of ∫g\int g∫g for all bounded continuous ggg, and Exp(1)\mathrm{Exp}(1)Exp(1) is expMeasure 1.

Closed forms carried by the statements: (7.4), (7.7), (7.12), (7.13), (7.14) and (7.17) exactly as printed, and the scaling 2αj/βj22\alpha_j/\beta_j^22αj​/βj2​ of Theorem 7.1.

Stating (7.13) with WqW_qWq​, E[X2]E[X^2]E[X2] or the idle probability as free real numbers constrained by (7.7) would reduce it to algebra. Here WqW_qWq​ is always the mean of a stationary law of the queue.

Not formalized: (7.5) and (7.8), which need the idle-period law III and the arrival-point probability q0q_0q0​ as separate objects, and the multiserver bounds of §7.1.3. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are reusable lemmas on stationary laws of Lindley's recursion (existence, uniqueness, and finiteness of the mean under E[S2]<∞E[S^2] < \inftyE[S2]<∞).

Selected references

  • D. Gross, J. F. Shortle, J. M. Thompson, C. M. Harris, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, 4th ed., Wiley, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118625651
  • D. V. Lindley, The theory of queues with a single server, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 48 (1952)
  • J. F. C. Kingman, The single server queue in heavy traffic, Math. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Soc. 57 (1961)
  • J. F. C. Kingman, Some inequalities for the queue GI/G/1, Biometrika 49 (1962)
  • K. T. Marshall, Some inequalities in queuing, Operations Research 16 (1968)
  • W. G. Marchal, Some simpler bounds on the mean queuing time, Operations Research 26 (1978)
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Multicut Algorithm for Two-Stage Stochastic Linear Programs 2: Multicut for Simple Recourse Stops Within J·m2 + 1 IterationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage stochastic linear programs model decisions taken before uncertainty is resolved (first stage) and corrected afterwards at a cost (second stage, the recourse). The standard solution method for problems with finitely many scenarios is the L-shaped method of Van Slyke and Wets (1969), an outer linearization in the style of Benders decomposition: a master program approximates the expected recourse function by cutting planes, one cut per iteration. Birge and Louveaux (1988) proposed the multicut variant, which approximates the recourse function of each realization separately and can add several cuts per iteration, and compared the two methods by worst-case counts of major iterations.

The paper's §5 treats the special case of simple recourse, where the second stage only penalizes shortage and surplus of each component of the first-stage output against a random target. Simple recourse arises in production planning, inventory and capacity models, and is the case in which the recourse function separates into one-dimensional pieces. There the paper derives an explicit LP (25) equivalent to the problem, a dedicated multicut algorithm for it, and the bound of Jm2+1Jm_2+1Jm2​+1 iterations quoted below. This mission formalizes that section.

Setting

First-stage data are c∈Rn1c\in\mathbb R^{n_1}c∈Rn1​, A∈Rm1×n1A\in\mathbb R^{m_1\times n_1}A∈Rm1​×n1​, b∈Rm1b\in\mathbb R^{m_1}b∈Rm1​, and the first-stage feasible set is K1={x∣Ax=b, x≥0}K_1=\{x\mid Ax=b,\ x\ge0\}K1​={x∣Ax=b, x≥0}. A deterministic technology matrix T∈Rm2×n1T\in\mathbb R^{m_2\times n_1}T∈Rm2​×n1​, with rows TiT_iTi​, maps xxx to the tender χ=Tx∈Rm2\chi=Tx\in\mathbb R^{m_2}χ=Tx∈Rm2​. Problem (3) of the paper is

min⁡ z(x)=cx+Ψ(Tx)s.t. x∈K1.\min\ z(x)=cx+\Psi(Tx)\quad\text{s.t. } x\in K_1 .min z(x)=cx+Ψ(Tx)s.t. x∈K1​.

For each row i=1,…,m2i=1,\dots,m_2i=1,…,m2​ the random vector ξi=(qi+,qi−,hi)\xi_i=(q_i^+,q_i^-,h_i)ξi​=(qi+​,qi−​,hi​) takes JJJ values ξij=(qij+,qij−,hij)\xi_{ij}=(q^+_{ij},q^-_{ij},h_{ij})ξij​=(qij+​,qij−​,hij​) with probabilities pijp_{ij}pij​. The simple recourse cost (20) of row iii is the optimal value of a one-row LP,

ψi(χi,ξij)=min⁡{qij+y++qij−y−∣y+−y−=hij−χi, y+,y−≥0},\psi_i(\chi_i,\xi_{ij})=\min\{q^+_{ij}y^+ + q^-_{ij}y^- \mid y^+-y^-=h_{ij}-\chi_i,\ y^+,y^-\ge0\},ψi​(χi​,ξij​)=min{qij+​y++qij−​y−∣y+−y−=hij​−χi​, y+,y−≥0},

and by separability (19) the expected recourse function is Ψ(χ)=∑iΨi(χi)\Psi(\chi)=\sum_i\Psi_i(\chi_i)Ψ(χ)=∑i​Ψi​(χi​) with Ψi(χi)=∑jpijψi(χi,ξij)\Psi_i(\chi_i)=\sum_j p_{ij}\psi_i(\chi_i,\xi_{ij})Ψi​(χi​)=∑j​pij​ψi​(χi​,ξij​). Write qij=qij++qij−q_{ij}=q^+_{ij}+q^-_{ij}qij​=qij+​+qij−​.

The multicut algorithm for simple recourse problems (p. 389) keeps a set III of identified pairs l=(i,j)l=(i,j)l=(i,j), initially empty. Step 1 solves the master program (26),

min⁡ cx+∑i,jpijqij−(Tix)+∑l∈Iuls.t. Ax=b, x≥0, ul≥el−Elx, ul≥0 (l∈I),\min\ cx+\sum_{i,j}p_{ij}q^-_{ij}(T_ix)+\sum_{l\in I}u_l\quad\text{s.t. } Ax=b,\ x\ge0,\ u_l\ge e_l-E_lx,\ u_l\ge0\ (l\in I),min cx+i,j∑​pij​qij−​(Ti​x)+l∈I∑​ul​s.t. Ax=b, x≥0, ul​≥el​−El​x, ul​≥0 (l∈I),

with El=pijqijTiE_l=p_{ij}q_{ij}T_iEl​=pij​qij​Ti​ and el=pijqijhije_l=p_{ij}q_{ij}h_{ij}el​=pij​qij​hij​. Step 2 adds to III every pair for which the constraint 0≥pijqij(hij−Tixν)0\ge p_{ij}q_{ij}(h_{ij}-T_ix^\nu)0≥pij​qij​(hij​−Ti​xν) (27) is violated at the master's solution xνx^\nuxν, and returns to Step 1; when no pair is added the algorithm stops.

Formalization targets

Goal: the Jm2+1Jm_2+1Jm2​+1 bound, with correctness

The paper states (p. 389): "The initial problem (26) involves m1m_1m1​ constraints and n1n_1n1​ variables. For this problem, the worst-case situation is when at each iteration, only one constraint (27) is violated in Step 2. Then, the maximal number of iterations is Jm2+1Jm_2+1Jm2​+1." The goal asserts, for every run of the algorithm (any optimal solution of (26) may be used at each Step 1):

ν-th solve of Step 1 takes place ⟹ ν≤Jm2+1,\nu\text{-th solve of Step 1 takes place}\ \Longrightarrow\ \nu\le Jm_2+1,ν-th solve of Step 1 takes place ⟹ ν≤Jm2​+1,

and, when the algorithm stops at xνx^\nuxν, xν∈K1x^\nu\in K_1xν∈K1​ and cxν+Ψ(Txν)≤cx+Ψ(Tx)cx^\nu+\Psi(Tx^\nu)\le cx+\Psi(Tx)cxν+Ψ(Txν)≤cx+Ψ(Tx) for all x∈K1x\in K_1x∈K1​.

Milestones

  1. (22)–(23): for q++q−≥0q^++q^-\ge0q++q−≥0 the LP (20) attains its minimum max⁡{q−(χ−h),q+(h−χ)}\max\{q^-(\chi-h),q^+(h-\chi)\}max{q−(χ−h),q+(h−χ)}, so each θij\theta_{ij}θij​ has only two cuts.
  2. (24)–(25): the simple recourse problem is equivalent to the LP (25): same optimal xxx, and the value of (25) at xxx with the best slacks is z(x)z(x)z(x).
  3. Relaxation and stopping: (26) is a relaxation of (25), and if no unidentified pair violates (27) at an optimum of (26), that optimum (extended by zero slacks) is optimal for (25).
  4. Facets: each Ψi\Psi_iΨi​ is a maximum of J+1J+1J+1 affine functions, so Ψ\PsiΨ is a maximum of at most (J+1)m2(J+1)^{m_2}(J+1)m2​ affine functions.

Significance

The bound is linear in m2m_2m2​ and JJJ, while the L-shaped method may need as many iterations as Ψ\PsiΨ has facets, up to (J+1)m2(J+1)^{m_2}(J+1)m2​ (milestone 4). This is the paper's clearest instance of the multicut method's worst-case advantage, and the equivalence (25) shows that simple recourse problems are LPs of size linear in m2Jm_2Jm2​J, a fact used throughout the later literature on simple and integrated recourse.

The results are proved in the paper, briefly. To our knowledge none has a machine-checked proof. Formalizing them produces a checked reduction of simple recourse to an explicit LP, a checked correctness proof of a constraint-generation algorithm with an explicit iteration bound, and the piece count of a sum of one-dimensional convex piecewise linear functions.

Difficulty

The counting argument is short once the algorithm is pinned down; the difficulty lies in the rest. Correctness at stopping requires relating three optimization problems (3), (25) and (26) whose objectives differ by a constant and by slack variables that are only present for identified pairs, and doing so for an arbitrary optimal solution of the master. The step from (20) to (22)–(23) requires solving an LP in closed form, as an infimum that must first be shown finite. The facet count requires showing that a sum of JJJ convex functions, each with one breakpoint, is a maximum of exactly J+1J+1J+1 affine functions, which is not a consequence of convexity alone.

Formalization scope

All vectors are Fin n → ℝ, matrices Matrix (Fin m) (Fin n) ℝ, realizations are indexed by Fin J, and pairs (i,j)(i,j)(i,j) by Fin m2 × Fin J. The second-stage value ψ\psiψ is the EReal infimum of the LP (20), not its closed form; expectations are finite sums weighted by pij≥0p_{ij}\ge0pij​≥0 with ∑jpij=1\sum_jp_{ij}=1∑j​pij​=1.

Readings pinned down, each recorded in the item statements:

  • qij≥0q_{ij}\ge0qij​≥0. The paper never states it, but without it (20) is unbounded below and (25) is not equivalent to (3). It is a field of the model.
  • x≥0x\ge0x≥0 belongs to (3) and is omitted in the displays of (25) and (26); it is kept in both.
  • Step 2 ranges over unidentified pairs. The paper writes "for each iii and jjj"; read literally, an identified pair whose ulu_lul​ already covers it could be re-added forever. The paper's remark that (27) "identifies any constraints in (25) that are not met" fixes the reading. The state of the algorithm is the set of identified pairs; the order of identification, and so the index ttt, is immaterial.
  • Stopping rule. It is implicit in the paper: stop when (27) is violated for no pair.
  • Counting. The paper writes "the maximal number of iterations is Jm2+1Jm_2+1Jm2​+1"; we count solves of Step 1, the stopping solve included, which is what its argument counts.
  • Constant. The objective of (26) omits the constant −∑pijqij−hij-\sum p_{ij}q^-_{ij}h_{ij}−∑pij​qij−​hij​ of (25), as printed.
  • Facets. "Ψi\Psi_iΨi​ contains J+1J+1J+1 facets" is read as "is a maximum of J+1J+1J+1 (not necessarily distinct) affine functions".

A formalization in which the master step could fire without a violated, unidentified pair, or in which the algorithm's optimal solutions were fixed in advance, would make the bound either false or empty; the definitions exclude both. The goal includes optimality at stopping so that it is not only a statement about a set growing inside a finite set.

Needed infrastructure: elementary LP feasibility and optimality, finite sums in EReal, and piecewise linear convex functions on R\mathbb RR. Contributions of any of the milestones, in any order, are welcome; milestone 1 is the natural first step.

Selected references

  • J.R. Birge and F.V. Louveaux, A multicut algorithm for two-stage stochastic linear programs, European Journal of Operational Research 34 (1988) 384–392. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(88)90159-2
  • R.M. Van Slyke and R. Wets, L-shaped linear programs with applications to optimal control and stochastic programming, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 17 (1969) 638–663. https://doi.org/10.1137/0117061
  • J.R. Birge and F.V. Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-0237-4
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The Price of Anarchy of Finite Congestion Games IV: For Symmetric Games the Maximum Social Cost Price of Anarchy Is at Most 5/2Research Paper

Motivation

The price of anarchy measures how much a system of selfish agents loses compared with a centrally optimized one: it is the worst ratio, over all Nash equilibria, between the social cost of the equilibrium and the optimal social cost. Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou introduced it in 1999 (Worst-case equilibria, STACS 1999), and bounding it for routing and congestion games became a central topic of algorithmic game theory. Congestion games model routing in networks, load balancing on machines and any setting where agents choose sets of shared resources whose cost grows with their usage.

Christodoulou and Koutsoupias (The price of anarchy of finite congestion games, STOC 2005) determined the pure price of anarchy of finite (atomic, unweighted) congestion games with linear latencies for two social costs — the sum of the players' costs and the maximum cost of a player — and for asymmetric and symmetric games. Awerbuch, Azar and Epstein obtained the 5/25/25/2 bound for the sum independently in the same proceedings (The price of routing unsplittable flow, STOC 2005). This mission is the fourth of a series that formalizes the paper: the symmetric games with the maximum social cost (Sect. 3.4). For asymmetric games the maximum social cost has price of anarchy Θ(N)\Theta(\sqrt N)Θ(N​) (mission III); symmetry brings it down to a constant.

Setting

A congestion game has a finite set of players N={1,…,n}N=\{1,\dots,n\}N={1,…,n}, a finite set EEE of facilities, for each player iii a collection Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ of pure strategies (each a subset of EEE), and for each facility eee a latency function fe:N→Rf_e:\mathbb N\to\mathbb Rfe​:N→R. A pure strategy profile A=(A1,…,An)A=(A_1,\dots,A_n)A=(A1​,…,An​) picks Ai∈ΣiA_i\in\Sigma_iAi​∈Σi​ for every player. The load ne(A)n_e(A)ne​(A) is the number of players whose strategy contains eee, and the cost of player iii is

ci(A)=∑e∈Aife(ne(A)).c_i(A)=\sum_{e\in A_i} f_e\big(n_e(A)\big).ci​(A)=e∈Ai​∑​fe​(ne​(A)).

A profile AAA is a pure Nash equilibrium if no player can lower its cost by changing only its own strategy: ci(A)≤ci(A−i,S)c_i(A)\le c_i(A_{-i},S)ci​(A)≤ci​(A−i​,S) for every iii and every S∈ΣiS\in\Sigma_iS∈Σi​, where (A−i,S)(A_{-i},S)(A−i​,S) replaces AiA_iAi​ by SSS.

The maximum social cost is MAX(A)=max⁡ici(A)\mathrm{MAX}(A)=\max_{i} c_i(A)MAX(A)=maxi​ci​(A) and the sum social cost is SUM(A)=∑ici(A)\mathrm{SUM}(A)=\sum_i c_i(A)SUM(A)=∑i​ci​(A). Latencies are linear when fe(k)=aek+bef_e(k)=a_e k+b_efe​(k)=ae​k+be​ with ae,be≥0a_e,b_e\ge 0ae​,be​≥0. The game is symmetric when all players share one strategy set, Σi=Σ\Sigma_i=\SigmaΣi​=Σ. The pure price of anarchy for the maximum social cost is

PA=sup⁡A NashMAX(A)min⁡PMAX(P).\mathrm{PA}=\sup_{A\ \text{Nash}}\frac{\mathrm{MAX}(A)}{\min_{P}\mathrm{MAX}(P)}.PA=A Nashsup​minP​MAX(P)MAX(A)​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorems 7 and 8

For every symmetric linear congestion game with at least one player, every pure Nash equilibrium AAA and every pure strategy profile PPP,

MAX(A)≤52 MAX(P),\mathrm{MAX}(A)\le\tfrac52\,\mathrm{MAX}(P),MAX(A)≤25​MAX(P),

and for every N≥3N\ge3N≥3 there is a symmetric linear congestion game with NNN players, a pure Nash equilibrium AAA and a profile PPP that minimizes the maximum social cost, with MAX(P)>0\mathrm{MAX}(P)>0MAX(P)>0 and

MAX(A)=5N+12N+2 MAX(P).\mathrm{MAX}(A)=\frac{5N+1}{2N+2}\,\mathrm{MAX}(P).MAX(A)=2N+25N+1​MAX(P).

The second part shows that the constant 5/25/25/2 of the first is tight as N→∞N\to\inftyN→∞.

Milestones

  1. Theorem 7, proof (first display). In a symmetric linear game, a Nash equilibrium cost is bounded by the cost of every strategy PjP_jPj​ evaluated at loads ne(A)+1n_e(A)+1ne​(A)+1: ci(A)≤∑e∈Pjfe(ne(A)+1)c_i(A)\le\sum_{e\in P_j}f_e(n_e(A)+1)ci​(A)≤∑e∈Pj​​fe​(ne​(A)+1).
  2. Theorem 7, proof (second display). Summed over jjj: N⋅ci(A)≤∑ene(P)fe(ne(A)+1)N\cdot c_i(A)\le\sum_e n_e(P)f_e(n_e(A)+1)N⋅ci​(A)≤∑e​ne​(P)fe​(ne​(A)+1).
  3. Lemma 1. β(α+1)≤13α2+53β2\beta(\alpha+1)\le\frac13\alpha^2+\frac53\beta^2β(α+1)≤31​α2+35​β2 for nonnegative integers α,β\alpha,\betaα,β.
  4. Theorem 7, proof (Lemma 1 step). ∑ene(P)fe(ne(A)+1)≤13SUM(A)+53SUM(P)\sum_e n_e(P)f_e(n_e(A)+1)\le\frac13\mathrm{SUM}(A)+\frac53\mathrm{SUM}(P)∑e​ne​(P)fe​(ne​(A)+1)≤31​SUM(A)+35​SUM(P).
  5. Theorem 1. For linear congestion games, SUM(A)≤52SUM(P)\mathrm{SUM}(A)\le\frac52\mathrm{SUM}(P)SUM(A)≤25​SUM(P) at every pure Nash equilibrium AAA.
  6. Theorem 7 and Theorem 8 as separate statements.

Significance

The result says that in symmetric congestion games with linear costs no player at an equilibrium is ever more than 5/25/25/2 times worse off than the worst-off player under the best allocation, regardless of the number of players. This contrasts with the asymmetric case, where the ratio grows like N\sqrt NN​ (Theorems 5 and 6 of the paper), and it fills the symmetric–maximum entry of the paper's Table 1. Together with the sum bounds it completes the picture of pure equilibria under linear latencies that later work on smoothness and robust price of anarchy (Roughgarden, Intrinsic robustness of the price of anarchy, STOC 2009) generalized.

The results are proved in the paper, which only displays the identity-latency case and states that the arguments extend to affine latencies. No machine-checked version of any of the paper's bounds is known to exist; the mission produces a formal proof of the affine statement, a checked construction for the lower bound (the paper verifies its Nash condition only partly), and a congestion-game layer shared with the rest of the series.

Difficulty

The obvious attempt bounds the worst player's cost by its deviation to its own optimal strategy only, as in the proof for the sum; that gives one inequality per player and loses the factor NNN needed to compare with MAX(P)\mathrm{MAX}(P)MAX(P). Without symmetry the factor cannot be recovered at all (Theorem 6 of the paper). For the lower bound, the difficulty is that the construction must be a Nash equilibrium against all strategies in the common set — including the other players' equilibrium strategies and the isolated strategy of the maximum-cost player — while the paper only writes out the deviation to the optimal strategies; its parameters are left as the solution of a linear equation, which must be chosen integral for every N≥3N\ge3N≥3.

Formalization scope

Players form a finite type (Fin N in the lower bound) and facilities a finite type; profiles are maps from players to Finsets of facilities, with feasibility Ai∈ΣiA_i\in\Sigma_iAi​∈Σi​ as a separate predicate IsProfile. Latencies are real-valued functions on natural-number loads; "linear" means affine with nonnegative coefficients. MAX is the maximum over a nonempty player set. Upper bounds are stated for every Nash equilibrium and every feasible profile, never dividing by the optimum. The lower bound asserts that PPP minimizes MAX over all profiles and that MAX(P)>0\mathrm{MAX}(P)>0MAX(P)>0: without positivity the equality would be satisfied by a game with all costs 000, and without symmetry or the full common strategy set the instance would not be the paper's. The lower bound gives PA≥5N+12N+2\mathrm{PA}\ge\frac{5N+1}{2N+2}PA≥2N+25N+1​ for the instance, which is what the paper's proof shows.

The development needs sums over facilities exchanged with sums over players (∑j∑e∈Pjg(e)=∑ene(P)g(e)\sum_j\sum_{e\in P_j}g(e)=\sum_e n_e(P)g(e)∑j​∑e∈Pj​​g(e)=∑e​ne​(P)g(e)), monotonicity of affine latencies, and an explicit finite instance. The congestion-game definitions are shared with the other missions of the series and will be merged with them; Lemma 1 and Theorem 1 are also milestones of mission I. Proofs of any milestone, and alternative constructions for Theorem 8, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Christodoulou and E. Koutsoupias, The price of anarchy of finite congestion games, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
  • B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar and A. Epstein, The price of routing unsplittable flow, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060599
  • E. Koutsoupias and C. Papadimitriou, Worst-case equilibria, STACS 1999, LNCS 1563. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A class of games possessing pure-strategy Nash equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic robustness of the price of anarchy, Proc. 41st ACM STOC, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1145/1536414.1536430
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The Price of Anarchy of Finite Congestion Games I: The Pure Price of Anarchy of the Average Social Cost Is 5/2Research Paper

Motivation

When many independent users share a resource whose cost grows with use (links of a network, servers, machines), each user chooses for itself, and the outcome is a Nash equilibrium rather than a socially optimal allocation. The price of anarchy, introduced by Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou (STACS 1999), measures the cost of this decentralisation: the worst ratio between the social cost of an equilibrium and the optimal social cost. It has become a standard yardstick in algorithmic game theory, network routing and the design of distributed protocols.

Christodoulou and Koutsoupias (STOC 2005) determined the price of anarchy of finite congestion games with linear latencies, the atomic, unweighted counterpart of selfish routing. This mission formalizes the central entry of their table: pure equilibria, general (asymmetric) strategy sets, and the average social cost.

Timeline:

  • 1973. Rosenthal defines congestion games and shows that they always have pure Nash equilibria (IJGT 2).
  • 1999. Koutsoupias and Papadimitriou define the price of anarchy, for load balancing on parallel links (STACS 1999).
  • 2002. Roughgarden and Tardos prove that the price of anarchy of non-atomic selfish routing with linear latencies is 4/34/34/3 (J. ACM 49).
  • 2005. Christodoulou and Koutsoupias prove that for finite (atomic) congestion games with linear latencies the pure price of anarchy of the average social cost is exactly 5/25/25/2; independently, Awerbuch, Azar and Epstein obtain 2.52.52.5 for unweighted and (3+5)/2≈2.618(3+\sqrt5)/2\approx2.618(3+5​)/2≈2.618 for weighted games (STOC 2005).
  • 2009. Roughgarden shows that this type of bound extends to mixed, correlated and coarse correlated equilibria (STOC 2009).

Setting

A congestion game has a finite set NNN of players, a finite set EEE of facilities, for every player iii a set Σi⊆2E\Sigma_i\subseteq 2^EΣi​⊆2E of pure strategies (each a set of facilities), and for every facility eee a latency function fef_efe​ giving the cost of eee to each of its users as a function of how many users it has. A pure strategy profile A=(A1,…,An)A=(A_1,\dots,A_n)A=(A1​,…,An​) picks Ai∈ΣiA_i\in\Sigma_iAi​∈Σi​ for each player. The load ne(A)n_e(A)ne​(A) is the number of players iii with e∈Aie\in A_ie∈Ai​, and player iii pays

ci(A)=∑e∈Aife(ne(A)).c_i(A)=\sum_{e\in A_i}f_e\bigl(n_e(A)\bigr).ci​(A)=e∈Ai​∑​fe​(ne​(A)).

The profile AAA is a pure Nash equilibrium if no player can lower its cost by switching alone: ci(A)≤ci(A−i,S)c_i(A)\le c_i(A_{-i},S)ci​(A)≤ci​(A−i​,S) for all iii and all S∈ΣiS\in\Sigma_iS∈Σi​, where (A−i,S)(A_{-i},S)(A−i​,S) replaces AiA_iAi​ by SSS. The social cost is SUM(A)=∑i∈Nci(A)\mathrm{SUM}(A)=\sum_{i\in N}c_i(A)SUM(A)=∑i∈N​ci​(A), which is ∣N∣|N|∣N∣ times the average cost of a player. Latencies are linear: fe(k)=aek+bef_e(k)=a_ek+b_efe​(k)=ae​k+be​ with ae,be≥0a_e,b_e\ge0ae​,be​≥0. The game is asymmetric in the sense that each player has its own strategy set (symmetric games, where all Σi\Sigma_iΣi​ coincide, are a special case).

The pure price of anarchy of the average social cost is

PA=sup⁡A NashSUM(A)opt,opt=min⁡PSUM(P),PA=\sup_{A\text{ Nash}}\frac{\mathrm{SUM}(A)}{\mathrm{opt}},\qquad \mathrm{opt}=\min_{P}\mathrm{SUM}(P),PA=A Nashsup​optSUM(A)​,opt=Pmin​SUM(P),

the minimum taken over pure strategy profiles. In Lean these objects are CongestionGame, load, cost, IsProfile, IsPureNash, sumCost and IsLinear in the namespace CongestionPoA.AsymSum.

Formalization targets

Goal: the pure price of anarchy is exactly 5/2

The goal theorem pure_poa_sum_eq_five_halves is the conjunction of Theorems 1 and 2 of the paper:

for every linear game, Nash A and profile P:SUM(A)≤52 SUM(P),\text{for every linear game, Nash } A \text{ and profile } P:\quad \mathrm{SUM}(A)\le\tfrac52\,\mathrm{SUM}(P),for every linear game, Nash A and profile P:SUM(A)≤25​SUM(P), for every N≥3 there are a linear game with N players, Nash A and profile P:SUM(A)=52 SUM(P).\text{for every } N\ge3 \text{ there are a linear game with } N \text{ players, Nash } A \text{ and profile } P:\quad \mathrm{SUM}(A)=\tfrac52\,\mathrm{SUM}(P).for every N≥3 there are a linear game with N players, Nash A and profile P:SUM(A)=25​SUM(P).

The first part is the upper bound; the second shows that it is attained for every number of players from three on.

Milestones

  1. Lemma 1: β(α+1)≤13α2+53β2\beta(\alpha+1)\le\frac13\alpha^2+\frac53\beta^2β(α+1)≤31​α2+35​β2 for nonnegative integers α,β\alpha,\betaα,β.
  2. Deviation inequality (proof of Theorem 1): at a Nash equilibrium AAA, ci(A)≤ci(A−i,Pi)≤∑e∈Pife(ne(A)+1)c_i(A)\le c_i(A_{-i},P_i)\le\sum_{e\in P_i}f_e(n_e(A)+1)ci​(A)≤ci​(A−i​,Pi​)≤∑e∈Pi​​fe​(ne​(A)+1).
  3. Summing over players (proof of Theorem 1): SUM(A)≤∑e∈Ene(P) fe(ne(A)+1)\mathrm{SUM}(A)\le\sum_{e\in E}n_e(P)\,f_e(n_e(A)+1)SUM(A)≤∑e∈E​ne​(P)fe​(ne​(A)+1).
  4. Theorem 1: the upper bound SUM(A)≤52SUM(P)\mathrm{SUM}(A)\le\frac52\mathrm{SUM}(P)SUM(A)≤25​SUM(P).
  5. Theorem 2: the matching instances for every N≥3N\ge3N≥3.

Significance

The value 5/25/25/2 is the benchmark for atomic congestion with affine costs. It is the reference point for the later results of the paper (the symmetric case (5N−2)/(2N+1)(5N-2)/(2N+1)(5N−2)/(2N+1), the maximum social cost Θ(N)\Theta(\sqrt N)Θ(N​), mixed equilibria (3+5)/2(3+\sqrt5)/2(3+5​)/2) and for a large literature on coordination mechanisms, taxes and the price of stability, which compare their guarantees against it. The bound is also the standard example of what later became the smoothness framework, through which the same constant governs mixed and coarse correlated equilibria and hence no-regret learning outcomes.

Both theorems are proved in the paper; nothing here is open. The proofs for affine latencies, however, are only indicated: the paper displays the identity case fe(k)=kf_e(k)=kfe​(k)=k and states that the arguments extend. The mission states the affine case and asks for complete machine-checked proofs, including the lower-bound construction, which the paper describes and declares "not hard to verify". No machine-checked proof of these results is on the platform.

Difficulty

The Nash conditions give one inequality per player, each mixing the equilibrium loads ne(A)n_e(A)ne​(A) with the strategies PiP_iPi​ of the comparison profile. Bounding the loads crudely, for instance by the number of players, gives a ratio that grows with NNN; the constant 5/25/25/2 requires comparing the cross term ∑ene(P) ne(A)\sum_e n_e(P)\,n_e(A)∑e​ne​(P)ne​(A) with both social costs simultaneously and with the right weights. The integrality of the loads matters at that point: the natural pointwise inequality is false for real arguments, so a proof that treats loads as real numbers cannot reach 5/25/25/2.

For the lower bound, a Nash equilibrium must be verified against every unilateral deviation of every player, for all N≥3N\ge3N≥3 at once, in a construction with cyclic indices. The case N=2N=2N=2 is genuinely different (the paper states that its price of anarchy is 222), so the argument has to use N≥3N\ge3N≥3.

Formalization scope

Players and facilities are finite types; a profile is a map from players to finite sets of facilities, and feasibility (Ai∈ΣiA_i\in\Sigma_iAi​∈Σi​) is a separate predicate. Latencies are real-valued functions of the natural-number load, and "linear" means affine with nonnegative coefficients. The upper bound is stated multiplicatively, for every Nash AAA and every feasible PPP, which is equivalent to PA≤5/2PA\le5/2PA≤5/2 and avoids dividing by opt\mathrm{opt}opt. The lower bound quantifies over players Fin N, N≥3N\ge3N≥3, and existentially over a finite facility type, a linear game, a Nash equilibrium and an optimal feasible profile of positive social cost. The positivity rules out the trivializing witness: in the all-zero latency game every profile is a Nash equilibrium and 0=52⋅00=\frac52\cdot00=25​⋅0. The Nash condition is the paper's cost form; it agrees with the payoff-form AGT.IsPureNash of agt_games for payoffs −ci-c_i−ci​.

Trivializing formalizations are ruled out: the comparison profile PPP must be feasible (otherwise SUM(P)\mathrm{SUM}(P)SUM(P) could be 000 by letting players use no facility), the upper bound covers all affine latencies rather than only fe(k)=kf_e(k)=kfe​(k)=k, and the lower-bound instance must have linear latencies with nonnegative coefficients.

A complete development needs finite double counting (regrouping ∑i∑e∈Pi\sum_i\sum_{e\in P_i}∑i​∑e∈Pi​​ by facilities), monotonicity of affine latencies, and a decidable or explicit check of the lower-bound game. The congestion-game layer is reused by the other missions of this series. Proofs of individual milestones, and alternative proofs of the upper bound, are welcome.

Selected references

  • G. Christodoulou and E. Koutsoupias, The Price of Anarchy of Finite Congestion Games, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060600
  • B. Awerbuch, Y. Azar and A. Epstein, The Price of Routing Unsplittable Flow, Proc. 37th ACM STOC, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1145/1060590.1060599
  • E. Koutsoupias and C. Papadimitriou, Worst-case Equilibria, STACS 1999, LNCS 1563. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-49116-3_38
  • R. W. Rosenthal, A Class of Games Possessing Pure-Strategy Nash Equilibria, International Journal of Game Theory 2, 1973. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01737559
  • T. Roughgarden and É. Tardos, How Bad Is Selfish Routing?, Journal of the ACM 49(2), 2002. https://doi.org/10.1145/506147.506153
  • T. Roughgarden, Intrinsic Robustness of the Price of Anarchy, Proc. 41st ACM STOC, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1145/1536414.1536485
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The Dantzig Selector: Statistical Estimation When p Is Much Larger than n 1: ℓ2 Error Bound for Sparse Parameters under the Uniform Uncertainty PrincipleResearch Paper

Motivation

In many statistical applications the number of unknown parameters ppp is far larger than the number of observations nnn: gene-expression studies with tens of samples and thousands of genes, imaging problems with fewer measurements than pixels, and nonparametric curve estimation from finitely many noisy samples. Least squares is useless in this regime, since the system Xβ=yX\beta=yXβ=y is underdetermined. If the parameter is sparse (only a few of its entries are nonzero), estimation becomes possible, and the question is how accurate a computationally tractable estimator can be.

Candès and Tao (arXiv:math/0506081; Ann. Statist. 35(6), 2007, doi:10.1214/009053606000001523) introduced the Dantzig selector, an estimator computed by a linear program, and proved that its squared error is within a factor of order log⁡p\log plogp of the error of an oracle that knows where the nonzero entries are. The paper, with its discussion in the same issue, is one of the founding results of high-dimensional sparse regression, alongside the Lasso analysis of Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (arXiv:0801.1095).

Timeline. Candès and Tao (2005, arXiv:math/0502327) showed that ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ minimization recovers a sparse vector exactly from noiseless data when the restricted isometry constants of the design satisfy δS+θS,S+θS,2S<1\delta_S+\theta_{S,S}+\theta_{S,2S}<1δS​+θS,S​+θS,2S​<1. The Dantzig selector paper (first posted 2005, published 2007) carried this to Gaussian noise, with the ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ error bound formalized here (Theorem 1.1) and an oracle inequality (Theorem 1.2). Bickel, Ritov and Tsybakov (2009) replaced the restricted isometry hypothesis by weaker restricted eigenvalue conditions and showed that the Lasso and the Dantzig selector behave alike.

Setting

Observe y∈Rny\in\mathbb R^ny∈Rn from the linear model

y=Xβ+z,y=X\beta+z ,y=Xβ+z,

where X∈Rn×pX\in\mathbb R^{n\times p}X∈Rn×p is a deterministic design matrix with columns X1,…,XpX_1,\dots,X_pX1​,…,Xp​, each of Euclidean norm ∥Xj∥ℓ2=1\|X_j\|_{\ell_2}=1∥Xj​∥ℓ2​​=1; β∈Rp\beta\in\mathbb R^pβ∈Rp is an unknown deterministic parameter; and z=(z1,…,zn)z=(z_1,\dots,z_n)z=(z1​,…,zn​) is a vector of independent N(0,σ2)N(0,\sigma^2)N(0,σ2) random variables with σ>0\sigma>0σ>0. The vector β\betaβ is SSS-sparse if at most SSS of its entries are nonzero.

For T⊆{1,…,p}T\subseteq\{1,\dots,p\}T⊆{1,…,p} let XTX_TXT​ be the submatrix of the columns indexed by TTT. The restricted isometry constant δS\delta_SδS​ is the smallest δ≥0\delta\ge0δ≥0 with

(1−δ)∥c∥ℓ22≤∥XTc∥ℓ22≤(1+δ)∥c∥ℓ22(1-\delta)\|c\|_{\ell_2}^2\le\|X_Tc\|_{\ell_2}^2\le(1+\delta)\|c\|_{\ell_2}^2(1−δ)∥c∥ℓ2​2​≤∥XT​c∥ℓ2​2​≤(1+δ)∥c∥ℓ2​2​

for all ∣T∣≤S|T|\le S∣T∣≤S and all coefficient vectors ccc; the restricted orthogonality constant θS,S′\theta_{S,S'}θS,S′​ (for S+S′≤pS+S'\le pS+S′≤p) is the smallest θ≥0\theta\ge0θ≥0 with ∣⟨XTc,XT′c′⟩∣≤θ∥c∥ℓ2∥c′∥ℓ2|\langle X_Tc,X_{T'}c'\rangle|\le\theta\|c\|_{\ell_2}\|c'\|_{\ell_2}∣⟨XT​c,XT′​c′⟩∣≤θ∥c∥ℓ2​​∥c′∥ℓ2​​ for all disjoint T,T′T,T'T,T′ with ∣T∣≤S|T|\le S∣T∣≤S, ∣T′∣≤S′|T'|\le S'∣T′∣≤S′.

Given a tuning parameter λp>0\lambda_p>0λp​>0, the Dantzig selector β^\hat\betaβ^​ is any solution of

min⁡β~∈Rp∥β~∥ℓ1subject to∥X∗(y−Xβ~)∥ℓ∞=max⁡1≤j≤p∣⟨y−Xβ~,Xj⟩∣≤λp⋅σ.\min_{\tilde\beta\in\mathbb R^p}\|\tilde\beta\|_{\ell_1}\quad\text{subject to}\quad\|X^*(y-X\tilde\beta)\|_{\ell_\infty}=\max_{1\le j\le p}|\langle y-X\tilde\beta,X_j\rangle|\le\lambda_p\cdot\sigma .β~​∈Rpmin​∥β~​∥ℓ1​​subject to∥X∗(y−Xβ~​)∥ℓ∞​​=1≤j≤pmax​∣⟨y−Xβ~​,Xj​⟩∣≤λp​⋅σ.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 1.1

Let S≥1S\ge1S≥1, 3S≤p3S\le p3S≤p, β\betaβ SSS-sparse, and δ2S+θS,2S<1\delta_{2S}+\theta_{S,2S}<1δ2S​+θS,2S​<1. For every a≥0a\ge0a≥0, with λp=2(1+a)log⁡p\lambda_p=\sqrt{2(1+a)\log p}λp​=2(1+a)logp​, with probability exceeding 1−(πlog⁡p⋅pa)−11-(\sqrt{\pi\log p}\cdot p^a)^{-1}1−(πlogp​⋅pa)−1 the program has a solution and every solution satisfies

∥β^−β∥ℓ22≤C12⋅λp2⋅S⋅σ2,C1=41−δ2S−θS,2S.\|\hat\beta-\beta\|_{\ell_2}^2\le C_1^2\cdot\lambda_p^2\cdot S\cdot\sigma^2,\qquad C_1=\frac{4}{1-\delta_{2S}-\theta_{S,2S}} .∥β^​−β∥ℓ2​2​≤C12​⋅λp2​⋅S⋅σ2,C1​=1−δ2S​−θS,2S​4​.

For a=0a=0a=0 this is ∥β^−β∥ℓ22≤C12⋅(2log⁡p)⋅S⋅σ2\|\hat\beta-\beta\|_{\ell_2}^2\le C_1^2\cdot(2\log p)\cdot S\cdot\sigma^2∥β^​−β∥ℓ2​2​≤C12​⋅(2logp)⋅S⋅σ2, display (1.10) of the paper. The constant is the one the paper's proof establishes (see Formalization scope).

Milestones

  1. The cone constraint (3.2): if ∥β+h∥ℓ1≤∥β∥ℓ1\|\beta+h\|_{\ell_1}\le\|\beta\|_{\ell_1}∥β+h∥ℓ1​​≤∥β∥ℓ1​​ and β\betaβ vanishes off T0T_0T0​, then ∥hT0c∥ℓ1≤∥hT0∥ℓ1\|h_{T_0^c}\|_{\ell_1}\le\|h_{T_0}\|_{\ell_1}∥hT0c​​∥ℓ1​​≤∥hT0​​∥ℓ1​​.
  2. The tube constraint (3.3): with unit-normed columns, if ∣⟨z,Xj⟩∣≤λp|\langle z,X_j\rangle|\le\lambda_p∣⟨z,Xj​⟩∣≤λp​ for all jjj and β^\hat\betaβ^​ is feasible, then ∥X∗X(β^−β)∥ℓ∞≤2λp\|X^*X(\hat\beta-\beta)\|_{\ell_\infty}\le2\lambda_p∥X∗X(β^​−β)∥ℓ∞​​≤2λp​.
  3. Lemma 3.1 (under the section’s unit-column assumption): an ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bound on hhh over T0∪T1T_0\cup T_1T0​∪T1​ (T1T_1T1​ the SSS largest entries of hhh off T0T_0T0​) in terms of ∥XT01TXh∥ℓ2\|X_{T_{01}}^TXh\|_{\ell_2}∥XT01​T​Xh∥ℓ2​​ and ∥h∥ℓ1(T0c)\|h\|_{\ell_1(T_0^c)}∥h∥ℓ1​(T0c​)​, and ∥h∥ℓ22≤∥h∥ℓ2(T01)2+S−1∥h∥ℓ1(T0c)2\|h\|_{\ell_2}^2\le\|h\|_{\ell_2(T_{01})}^2+S^{-1}\|h\|_{\ell_1(T_0^c)}^2∥h∥ℓ2​2​≤∥h∥ℓ2​(T01​)2​+S−1∥h∥ℓ1​(T0c​)2​.
  4. The deterministic core: with σ=1\sigma=1σ=1, on the event ∣⟨z,Xj⟩∣≤λp|\langle z,X_j\rangle|\le\lambda_p∣⟨z,Xj​⟩∣≤λp​ for all jjj, every Dantzig selector satisfies ∥β^−β∥ℓ22≤C12λp2S\|\hat\beta-\beta\|_{\ell_2}^2\le C_1^2\lambda_p^2S∥β^​−β∥ℓ2​2​≤C12​λp2​S.
  5. The Gaussian tail bound: for standard normal zzz and Zj=⟨z,Xj⟩Z_j=\langle z,X_j\rangleZj​=⟨z,Xj​⟩, P(sup⁡j∣Zj∣>u)≤2p φ(u)/u\mathbb P(\sup_j|Z_j|>u)\le2p\,\varphi(u)/uP(supj​∣Zj​∣>u)≤2pφ(u)/u with φ(u)=(2π)−1/2e−u2/2\varphi(u)=(2\pi)^{-1/2}e^{-u^2/2}φ(u)=(2π)−1/2e−u2/2.

Significance

The result. Theorem 1.1 shows that an estimator computable by linear programming reaches, up to the factor 2log⁡p2\log p2logp and the constant C12C_1^2C12​, the squared error Sσ2S\sigma^2Sσ2 that least squares would attain if the support of β\betaβ were known in advance, even when p≫np\gg np≫n. The factor log⁡p\log plogp is the price of not knowing the support; the paper argues (p. 5) that, apart from this factor, (1.10) is unimprovable in general. The bound is non-asymptotic, with an explicit constant and an explicit failure probability, and it holds for every SSS-sparse β\betaβ simultaneously in the sense that the good event (the noise being nearly orthogonal to every column) does not depend on β\betaβ. Its deterministic part, Lemma 3.1, is reused verbatim in the proof of the paper's oracle inequality (Theorem 1.2) and became a standard tool in compressed sensing.

Formalizing it. The result is proved, and to our knowledge no machine-checked proof exists. A formalization produces a checked version of the cone-and-tube argument behind most ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​-recovery guarantees, a Lean statement of the restricted isometry machinery for noisy data, and a checked Gaussian maximal inequality usable for other high-dimensional estimators. It also settles the exact constant: the paper prints C1=4/(1−δS−θS,2S)C_1=4/(1-\delta_S-\theta_{S,2S})C1​=4/(1−δS​−θS,2S​), while its proof gives δ2S\delta_{2S}δ2S​ in place of δS\delta_SδS​.

Difficulty

Lemma 3.1 is the main obstacle. The obvious approach bounds ∥h∥ℓ2\|h\|_{\ell_2}∥h∥ℓ2​​ directly through restricted isometry, and it fails because the error hhh is not sparse: it spreads over all ppp coordinates, and restricted isometry controls XXX only on vectors with at most 2S2S2S nonzero entries. The two constraints (3.2) and (3.3) only say that hhh is concentrated in ℓ1\ell_1ℓ1​ on the SSS coordinates of T0T_0T0​ and that X∗XhX^*XhX∗Xh is small coordinatewise, and turning that into an ℓ2\ell_2ℓ2​ bound on all of hhh is where the work lies. In Lean this requires bookkeeping that is routine on paper: ordering the coordinates of hhh off T0T_0T0​ by magnitude, with ties and a possibly incomplete last group of coordinates, and working with the span of a selected set of columns. On the probabilistic side, the tail bound needs the law of ⟨z,Xj⟩\langle z,X_j\rangle⟨z,Xj​⟩ (a weighted sum of independent Gaussians), a sharp Gaussian tail estimate of Mills-ratio type, and a union over ppp events. A cruder sub-Gaussian bound 2e−u2/22e^{-u^2/2}2e−u2/2 would not give the stated failure probability.

Formalization scope

Indices are Fin n and Fin p; vectors are functions into ℝ. The norms, the column XjX_jXj​ and the constants δS\delta_SδS​, θS,S′\theta_{S,S'}θS,S′​ are the published definitions CandesTao_Decoding_Norms and CandesTao_Decoding_RestrictedIsometry (the smallest admissible constants, via sInf), from the formalization of Candès and Tao's Decoding by Linear Programming. The noise is a family z : Fin n → Ω → ℝ on a probability space, mutually independent (iIndepFun), each coordinate with law gaussianReal 0 σ². The ℓ∞\ell_\inftyℓ∞​ constraint is coordinatewise. A Dantzig selector is any minimizer; uniqueness is not assumed. Section 3 works with σ=1\sigma=1σ=1; the goal is stated for general σ>0\sigma>0σ>0.

Committed conventions and corrections:

  • Corrected constant. Theorem 1.1 is printed with C1=4/(1−δS−θS,2S)C_1=4/(1-\delta_S-\theta_{S,2S})C1​=4/(1−δS​−θS,2S​), but the proof (pp. 18–19) applies Lemma 3.1, whose δ\deltaδ is δ2S\delta_{2S}δ2S​. Since δS≤δ2S\delta_S\le\delta_{2S}δS​≤δ2S​, the printed constant is stronger than what is proved. The goal and the deterministic core are stated with C1=4/(1−δ2S−θS,2S)C_1=4/(1-\delta_{2S}-\theta_{S,2S})C1​=4/(1−δ2S​−θS,2S​).
  • Domain. 1≤S1\le S1≤S and 3S≤p3S\le p3S≤p, because θS,2S\theta_{S,2S}θS,2S​ is defined only for S+2S≤pS+2S\le pS+2S≤p. This forces p≥3p\ge3p≥3 and log⁡p>0\log p>0logp>0.
  • Failure event. The probability bounded is that of the set where no Dantzig selector exists or some Dantzig selector violates the bound. A version that only constrains existing solutions, or that assumes the feasible set is nonempty, would be weaker. The bound is strict, as in the paper's "exceeding", and is on the outer measure, so no measurability of the event is assumed.
  • Standing assumptions are binders: unit-normed columns, independent Gaussian noise, deterministic XXX and β\betaβ.

A trivializing formalization is excluded: the hypothesis δ2S+θS,2S<1\delta_{2S}+\theta_{S,2S}<1δ2S​+θS,2S​<1 is on the actual least constants of XXX, not on free parameters, and it is satisfiable (for instance by X=IpX=I_pX=Ip​, where both constants vanish).

Needed infrastructure: sums of independent real Gaussians (Mathlib has gaussianReal and its convolution), a Mills-ratio tail bound, a sorting-based block decomposition of a Finset, and orthogonal projection onto the span of finitely many columns. The block decomposition and the tail bound are reusable beyond this mission. Proofs of any milestone are welcome, as are alternative proofs of Lemma 3.1.

Selected references

  • E. Candès and T. Tao, The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n, Ann. Statist. 35(6) (2007), 2313–2351. arXiv:math/0506081, doi:10.1214/009053606000001523
  • E. Candès and T. Tao, Decoding by linear programming, IEEE Trans. Inform. Theory 51(12) (2005), 4203–4215. arXiv:math/0502327
  • P. Bickel, Y. Ritov and A. Tsybakov, Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector, Ann. Statist. 37(4) (2009), 1705–1732. arXiv:0801.1095
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Machine LearningMarkov ChainOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction XII: The Policy Gradient TheoremTextbook

Motivation

Policy gradient methods learn a parameterized policy π(a∣s,θ)\pi(a \mid s, \theta)π(a∣s,θ) directly, by stochastic gradient ascent on a scalar performance measure J(θ)J(\theta)J(θ), instead of deriving the policy from learned action values. They are how reinforcement learning handles continuous action spaces, stochastic optimal policies and prior knowledge built into the policy's form, and they underlie REINFORCE (Williams, 1992) and the actor–critic family. Every such method needs an estimate of ∇J(θ)\nabla J(\theta)∇J(θ). The difficulty is that JJJ depends on θ\thetaθ in two ways: through the action choices in each state, and through the distribution of states those choices produce. The second effect depends on the unknown environment dynamics.

The policy gradient theorem (Sutton, McAllester, Singh and Mansour, 2000; Marbach and Tsitsiklis, 2001) gives ∇J(θ)\nabla J(\theta)∇J(θ) as an expectation over the on-policy state distribution that involves no derivative of that distribution. Chapter 13 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., 2018) states it as Eq. (13.5), proves it in a box for the episodic case (p. 325) and in a second box for the continuing case (pp. 334–335), and builds REINFORCE, REINFORCE with baseline and actor–critic methods on it. This mission formalizes that chapter's theorem and the identities around it, in the book's own model.

Setting

A finite episodic MDP has a finite set S\mathcal SS of nonterminal states, a terminal state, a finite action set A\mathcal AA, a finite reward set R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a): for each nonterminal sss and action aaa, a probability distribution over next state s′∈S+=S∪{terminal}s' \in \mathcal S^+ = \mathcal S \cup \{\text{terminal}\}s′∈S+=S∪{terminal} and reward rrr. The terminal state is absorbing and pays nothing. Write p(s′∣s,a)=∑rp(s′,r∣s,a)p(s' \mid s, a) = \sum_r p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′∣s,a)=∑r​p(s′,r∣s,a) and r(s,a)r(s, a)r(s,a) for the expected reward.

A differentiable policy parameterization assigns to every θ∈Rd′\theta \in \mathbb R^{d'}θ∈Rd′ and state sss a distribution π(⋅∣s,θ)\pi(\cdot \mid s, \theta)π(⋅∣s,θ) over actions, with θ↦π(a∣s,θ)\theta \mapsto \pi(a \mid s, \theta)θ↦π(a∣s,θ) differentiable. Under πθ\pi_\thetaπθ​ the nonterminal states form a substochastic chain with matrix Pθ(s,s′)=∑aπ(a∣s,θ)p(s′∣s,a)P_\theta(s, s') = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s, \theta) p(s' \mid s, a)Pθ​(s,s′)=∑a​π(a∣s,θ)p(s′∣s,a); Pr⁡(s→x,k,π)=Pθk(s,x)\Pr(s \to x, k, \pi) = P_\theta^k(s, x)Pr(s→x,k,π)=Pθk​(s,x). Episodes terminate when ∑kPθk(s,s′)<∞\sum_{k} P_\theta^k(s, s') < \infty∑k​Pθk​(s,s′)<∞ for all s,s′s, s's,s′.

There is no discounting (γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1, p. 324). The state value vπ(s)=∑k≥0(Pθkrθ)(s)v_{\pi}(s) = \sum_{k \ge 0} (P_\theta^k r_\theta)(s)vπ​(s)=∑k≥0​(Pθk​rθ​)(s) is the expected total reward from sss, with rθ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s,θ)r(s,a)r_\theta(s) = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s,\theta) r(s,a)rθ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s,θ)r(s,a); the action value qπ(s,a)q_\pi(s,a)qπ​(s,a) is the expected total reward after taking aaa in sss. The episode starts in a fixed state s0s_0s0​, and the performance is J(θ)=vπθ(s0)J(\theta) = v_{\pi_\theta}(s_0)J(θ)=vπθ​​(s0​) (13.4). The expected number of visits to sss in an episode is η(s)=∑k≥0Pr⁡(s0→s,k,π)\eta(s) = \sum_{k \ge 0} \Pr(s_0 \to s, k, \pi)η(s)=∑k≥0​Pr(s0​→s,k,π), and the on-policy distribution is μ(s)=η(s)/∑s′η(s′)\mu(s) = \eta(s) / \sum_{s'} \eta(s')μ(s)=η(s)/∑s′​η(s′) (9.3).

In the continuing case there is no terminal state, J(θ)=r(π)J(\theta) = r(\pi)J(θ)=r(π) is the average reward per step (13.15), μ\muμ is the steady-state distribution, and vπv_\pivπ​, qπq_\piqπ​ are differential values, defined from the return ∑k(Rt+k+1−r(π))\sum_k (R_{t+k+1} - r(\pi))∑k​(Rt+k+1​−r(π)) (13.17).

Formalization targets

Goal: the policy gradient theorem, episodic case (13.5)

If episodes terminate under πθ0\pi_{\theta_0}πθ0​​, then JJJ is differentiable at θ0\theta_0θ0​ and

∇J(θ0)=∑sη(s)∑aqπ(s,a) ∇π(a∣s,θ0)=(∑s′η(s′))∑sμ(s)∑aqπ(s,a) ∇π(a∣s,θ0),\nabla J(\theta_0) = \sum_s \eta(s) \sum_a q_\pi(s,a)\, \nabla \pi(a \mid s, \theta_0) = \Big(\sum_{s'} \eta(s')\Big) \sum_s \mu(s) \sum_a q_\pi(s,a)\, \nabla \pi(a \mid s, \theta_0),∇J(θ0​)=s∑​η(s)a∑​qπ​(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ0​)=(s′∑​η(s′))s∑​μ(s)a∑​qπ​(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ0​),

with ∑s′η(s′)≥1\sum_{s'} \eta(s') \ge 1∑s′​η(s′)≥1. The book writes ∇J(θ)∝∑sμ(s)∑aqπ(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ)\nabla J(\theta) \propto \sum_s \mu(s) \sum_a q_\pi(s,a) \nabla \pi(a \mid s,\theta)∇J(θ)∝∑s​μ(s)∑a​qπ​(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ) and names the constant, the average length of an episode, in words (p. 326). The goal states it.

Milestones

  1. Exercises 3.18–3.19 with γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1: vπ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)qπ(s,a)v_\pi(s) = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s) q_\pi(s,a)vπ​(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)qπ​(s,a) and qπ(s,a)=∑s′,rp(s′,r∣s,a)(r+vπ(s′))q_\pi(s,a) = \sum_{s',r} p(s',r\mid s,a)(r + v_\pi(s'))qπ​(s,a)=∑s′,r​p(s′,r∣s,a)(r+vπ​(s′)).
  2. The recursion ∇vπ(s)=∑a[∇π(a∣s)qπ(s,a)+π(a∣s)∑s′p(s′∣s,a)∇vπ(s′)]\nabla v_\pi(s) = \sum_a [\nabla\pi(a\mid s) q_\pi(s,a) + \pi(a\mid s) \sum_{s'} p(s'\mid s,a) \nabla v_\pi(s')]∇vπ​(s)=∑a​[∇π(a∣s)qπ​(s,a)+π(a∣s)∑s′​p(s′∣s,a)∇vπ​(s′)], including the differentiability of vπv_\pivπ​.
  3. The unrolled gradient ∇vπ(s)=∑x∑k=0∞Pr⁡(s→x,k,π)∑a∇π(a∣x)qπ(x,a)\nabla v_\pi(s) = \sum_{x} \sum_{k=0}^\infty \Pr(s \to x, k, \pi) \sum_a \nabla\pi(a\mid x) q_\pi(x,a)∇vπ​(s)=∑x​∑k=0∞​Pr(s→x,k,π)∑a​∇π(a∣x)qπ​(x,a) for every sss.
  4. The theorem with a baseline (13.10): ∑ab(s)∇π(a∣s,θ)=0\sum_a b(s) \nabla \pi(a\mid s,\theta) = 0∑a​b(s)∇π(a∣s,θ)=0, hence qπq_\piqπ​ may be replaced by qπ−bq_\pi - bqπ​−b.
  5. The log form behind REINFORCE: where π(⋅∣s,θ)>0\pi(\cdot\mid s,\theta) > 0π(⋅∣s,θ)>0, ∑aqπ(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ)=∑aπ(a∣s,θ)qπ(s,a)∇ln⁡π(a∣s,θ)\sum_a q_\pi(s,a) \nabla\pi(a\mid s,\theta) = \sum_a \pi(a\mid s,\theta) q_\pi(s,a) \nabla \ln \pi(a\mid s,\theta)∑a​qπ​(s,a)∇π(a∣s,θ)=∑a​π(a∣s,θ)qπ​(s,a)∇lnπ(a∣s,θ), and hence ∇J(θ)=(∑s′η(s′))∑sμ(s)∑aπ(a∣s,θ)qπ(s,a)∇ln⁡π(a∣s,θ)\nabla J(\theta) = (\sum_{s'}\eta(s')) \sum_s \mu(s) \sum_a \pi(a\mid s,\theta) q_\pi(s,a) \nabla \ln \pi(a\mid s,\theta)∇J(θ)=(∑s′​η(s′))∑s​μ(s)∑a​π(a∣s,θ)qπ​(s,a)∇lnπ(a∣s,θ), the exact form of ∇J∝Eπ[qπ(St,At)∇π(At∣St,θ)/π(At∣St,θ)]\nabla J \propto \mathbb E_\pi[q_\pi(S_t,A_t) \nabla\pi(A_t\mid S_t,\theta)/\pi(A_t\mid S_t,\theta)]∇J∝Eπ​[qπ​(St​,At​)∇π(At​∣St​,θ)/π(At​∣St​,θ)].
  6. Exercise 13.3, (13.9): for the linear soft-max, ∇ln⁡π(a∣s,θ)=x(s,a)−∑bπ(b∣s,θ)x(s,b)\nabla \ln \pi(a\mid s,\theta) = x(s,a) - \sum_b \pi(b\mid s,\theta) x(s,b)∇lnπ(a∣s,θ)=x(s,a)−∑b​π(b∣s,θ)x(s,b).
  7. Exercise 13.4: the eligibility vectors of the Gaussian policy (13.19)–(13.20).
  8. The continuing case: under ergodicity, ∇r(πθ)=∑sμ(s)∑a∇π(a∣s,θ)qπ(s,a)\nabla r(\pi_\theta) = \sum_s \mu(s) \sum_a \nabla\pi(a\mid s,\theta) q_\pi(s,a)∇r(πθ​)=∑s​μ(s)∑a​∇π(a∣s,θ)qπ​(s,a) with differential qπq_\piqπ​.

Significance

The theorem turns ∇J\nabla J∇J into a quantity that can be sampled by following the policy: weighting states by μ\muμ is what visiting them under π\piπ does, and the log form makes the action sum an expectation over At∼πA_t \sim \piAt​∼π. REINFORCE (13.8), REINFORCE with baseline (13.11) and one-step and eligibility-trace actor–critic methods all rest on it, and so does their claim that the expected update is in the direction of the performance gradient (p. 329). The baseline identity is why a learned state value can reduce variance without introducing bias.

The results are proved, in the book and in the literature. What this mission adds is a machine-checked version in the book's model: random episode lengths with γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1, vector parameters θ∈Rd′\theta \in \mathbb R^{d'}θ∈Rd′, four-argument dynamics, and values defined from expected returns. The platform already has a proved finite-horizon policy gradient theorem (policy_gradient_finite_horizon, with a baseline and log-form companion) for a fixed horizon TTT, a scalar parameter θ∈R\theta \in \mathbb Rθ∈R and an expected-reward kernel; it does not cover the book's statement. The mission also makes explicit two points the text leaves informal: that episodes terminate, and what exact constant hides behind "∝\propto∝".

Difficulty

The book's proof is a formal manipulation: differentiate the Bellman equation, substitute it into itself, and "unroll" infinitely often. Two steps are not justified on the page. First, it presupposes that ∇vπ(s)\nabla v_\pi(s)∇vπ​(s) exists; with γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1 the value is an infinite series whose convergence depends on θ\thetaθ through termination, so differentiability of vπv_\pivπ​ at θ0\theta_0θ0​ has to be established, and termination is assumed only at θ0\theta_0θ0​. Second, "repeated unrolling" is a limit: after nnn unrollings a remainder ∑xPθn(s,x)∇vπ(x)\sum_x P_\theta^{n}(s,x) \nabla v_\pi(x)∑x​Pθn​(s,x)∇vπ​(x) is left over, and it vanishes only because Pθn→0P_\theta^n \to 0Pθn​→0. Differentiating the series for vπv_\pivπ​ term by term is not an alternative shortcut without a uniform bound on the derivatives of PθkP_\theta^kPθk​.

In the continuing case the corresponding obstacle is the differentiability of the steady-state distribution and of the differential values, which the book's proof uses without comment; here they are part of what is to be proved, from ergodicity at θ0\theta_0θ0​ alone.

Formalization scope

  • Model. S+\mathcal S^+S+ is Option S, with none the single terminal state (several terminal states can be merged, all having value 0). One action type for all states. θ\thetaθ lives in EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin d), and ∇\nabla∇ is Mathlib's gradient; conclusions are HasGradientAt, so differentiability is asserted, not assumed.
  • Values from returns. vπv_\pivπ​, qπq_\piqπ​, η\etaη are series in powers of PθP_\thetaPθ​; Bellman equations are theorems (milestone 1). The continuing-case average reward and steady-state distribution are the limits of (13.15), and the differential values are the series of (13.17).
  • Implicit hypotheses made explicit. Termination under πθ0\pi_{\theta_0}πθ0​​ is a hypothesis of every episodic result that involves values; the continuing case assumes the book's ergodicity (the limit of Pr⁡{St=s′}\Pr\{S_t = s'\}Pr{St​=s′} exists and does not depend on S0S_0S0​) at θ0\theta_0θ0​. The positivity of π(a∣s,θ0)\pi(a \mid s,\theta_0)π(a∣s,θ0​) is assumed where a logarithm is differentiated.
  • "∝". The episodic goal states the exact equality with the constant ∑s′η(s′)\sum_{s'} \eta(s')∑s′​η(s′) and proves it is at least 1. A formalization of the form "∃c, ∇J=c⋅…\exists c,\ \nabla J = c \cdot \ldots∃c, ∇J=c⋅…" is ruled out: it holds with c=0c = 0c=0 and loses the book's constant.
  • Fixed start state. s0s_0s0​ is a fixed state, as in the book (p. 324); no start distribution.
  • Not included. Convergence of REINFORCE or actor–critic under stochastic-approximation conditions (p. 329) rests on unstated conditions and is not an item. The baseline is a deterministic function of the state, not the random variable the book also allows.

Reusable infrastructure: the episodic value layer (substochastic chains, expected visits, termination) is needed by any undiscounted episodic RL result; the soft-max and Gaussian eligibility computations are needed by every policy-gradient algorithm. Proofs of any milestone, and general lemmas on the differentiability of values and stationary distributions of parameterized finite Markov chains, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 13. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • R. S. Sutton, D. McAllester, S. Singh and Y. Mansour, Policy Gradient Methods for Reinforcement Learning with Function Approximation, NeurIPS 12, 2000. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/1999/hash/464d828b85b0bed98e80ade0a5c43b0f-Abstract.html
  • P. Marbach and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Simulation-Based Optimization of Markov Reward Processes, IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 46(2), 2001. https://doi.org/10.1109/9.905687
  • R. J. Williams, Simple Statistical Gradient-Following Algorithms for Connectionist Reinforcement Learning, Machine Learning 8, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992696
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchOptimization·Captain: mikedeng1

A Multicut Algorithm for Two-Stage Stochastic Linear Programs 1: Worst-Case Bound on Multicut Major IterationsResearch Paper

Motivation

Two-stage stochastic linear programs with recourse are a standard model for planning under uncertainty: a first-stage decision xxx is taken before a random outcome ξ\xiξ is observed, and a second-stage (recourse) decision yyy corrects for it afterwards at a cost. When ξ\xiξ has finitely many realizations, the problem is a large but structured linear program, and the classical way to solve it is the L-shaped method of Van Slyke and Wets (1969), a Benders-type outer linearization of the expected recourse cost.

Birge and Louveaux (1988) proposed the multicut L-shaped algorithm: instead of one cut on the expected recourse function per iteration, it adds one cut per realization. They compared the two methods by worst-case counts of major iterations (the operations between two returns to the master problem), and showed that the multicut count grows linearly in the number KKK of realizations, while their bound for the single-cut method grows like Km2K^{m_2}Km2​. The multicut idea is now part of every textbook treatment of decomposition for stochastic programming (Birge and Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, Ch. 5) and of most production implementations of Benders decomposition.

Setting

The data are a matrix A∈Rm1×n1A\in\mathbb R^{m_1\times n_1}A∈Rm1​×n1​, vectors bbb, ccc, a fixed recourse matrix W∈Rm2×n2W\in\mathbb R^{m_2\times n_2}W∈Rm2​×n2​, and KKK realizations k=1,…,Kk=1,\dots,Kk=1,…,K, each with a cost qk∈Rn2q_k\in\mathbb R^{n_2}qk​∈Rn2​, a right-hand side hk∈Rm2h_k\in\mathbb R^{m_2}hk​∈Rm2​, a technology matrix Tk∈Rm2×n1T_k\in\mathbb R^{m_2\times n_1}Tk​∈Rm2​×n1​ and a probability pkp_kpk​. Row vectors are written without transposes, as in the paper. The second-stage value of realization kkk is

Qk(x)=min⁡{ qky∣Wy=hk−Tkx, y≥0 }∈R∪{±∞},Q_k(x)=\min\{\,q_k y\mid Wy=h_k-T_kx,\ y\ge 0\,\}\in\mathbb R\cup\{\pm\infty\},Qk​(x)=min{qk​y∣Wy=hk​−Tk​x, y≥0}∈R∪{±∞},

the expected recourse is Ω(x)=∑kpkQk(x)\Omega(x)=\sum_k p_kQ_k(x)Ω(x)=∑k​pk​Qk​(x), and the deterministic equivalent (2) minimizes cx+Ω(x)cx+\Omega(x)cx+Ω(x) over K1∩K2K_1\cap K_2K1​∩K2​, where K1={x∣Ax=b, x≥0}K_1=\{x\mid Ax=b,\ x\ge 0\}K1​={x∣Ax=b, x≥0} and K2K_2K2​ is the set of xxx for which every second-stage problem is feasible.

The multicut algorithm keeps feasibility cuts (Dl,dl)(D_l,d_l)(Dl​,dl​) and, for each kkk, optimality cuts (El(k),el(k))(E_{l(k)},e_{l(k)})(El(k)​,el(k)​). Step 1 solves the master

min⁡ cx+∑kθks.t. Ax=b, x≥0, Dlx≥dl, El(k)x+θk≥el(k),\min\ cx+\sum_{k}\theta_k\quad\text{s.t. } Ax=b,\ x\ge0,\ D_lx\ge d_l,\ E_{l(k)}x+\theta_k\ge e_{l(k)},min cx+k∑​θk​s.t. Ax=b, x≥0, Dl​x≥dl​, El(k)​x+θk​≥el(k)​,

ignoring θk\theta_kθk​ when scenario kkk has no cut. Step 2 tests feasibility of each scenario at the master solution xνx^\nuxν and, at the first infeasible one, adds a feasibility cut (σTk,σhk)(\sigma T_k,\sigma h_k)(σTk​,σhk​) from the simplex multiplier σ\sigmaσ of a phase-one LP. Step 3 solves each second-stage problem at xνx^\nuxν with simplex multiplier πk\pi_kπk​; for every kkk with θk<pkπk(hk−Tkxν)\theta_k<p_k\pi_k(h_k-T_kx^\nu)θk​<pk​πk​(hk​−Tk​xν) (condition (14)) it adds the optimality cut (pkπkTk, pkπkhk)(p_k\pi_kT_k,\ p_k\pi_kh_k)(pk​πk​Tk​, pk​πk​hk​). If no kkk satisfies (14) the algorithm stops.

The cut set Ck\mathcal C_kCk​ is the finite set of all optimality cuts that Step 3 can produce for scenario kkk: the cuts of simplex-optimal bases of the scenario-kkk problem at points of K1K_1K1​.

Formalization targets

Goal: the iteration bound (17)

The paper states (Theorem, p. 388):

Let b be the slope number of the second stage of (2). Then, the maximum number of iterations for the multicut algorithm is 1 + K(b^{m₂} − 1) (17) while the maximum number of iterations for the L-shaped algorithm is [1 + K(b − 1)]^{m₂} (18) where K is the number of the different realizations of ξ.

The goal is (17) with the number of facets replaced by the number of distinct cuts: if ∣Ck∣≤M|\mathcal C_k|\le M∣Ck​∣≤M for every kkk and M≥1M\ge1M≥1, then in every run of the algorithm, for every choice of optimal master solutions and optimal bases,

#{returns to Step 1 from Step 3} ≤ 1+K(M−1).\#\{\text{returns to Step 1 from Step 3}\}\ \le\ 1+K(M-1).#{returns to Step 1 from Step 3} ≤ 1+K(M−1).

Milestones

  1. The feasibility cuts determine K2K_2K2​ (a point lies in K2K_2K2​ exactly when it satisfies every feasibility cut, §2, p. 385), and each optimality cut is an affine minorant of pkQkp_kQ_kpk​Qk​ touching it where it was generated (the multicut algorithm outer-linearizes each QkQ_kQk​, p. 387).
  2. Aggregating one cut per scenario gives a valid L-shaped cut, and z(multi)≥z(L-shaped)z(\text{multi})\ge z(\text{L-shaped})z(multi)≥z(L-shaped) (proof of the Proposition, p. 387).
  3. When (14) holds for no kkk, xνx^\nuxν is optimal for (2) (stopping rule, p. 387).
  4. The first return from Step 3 records one cut for each scenario, and every return records at least one cut not recorded before (proof of the Theorem, p. 388).

Significance

The bound explains why the multicut method needs few major iterations: the information sent to the master grows additively over scenarios, while the facets of Ω\OmegaΩ are combinations of facets of the QkQ_kQk​ and their number can grow multiplicatively. The paper itself notes the trade-off this creates against master size (m1+Km_1+Km1​+K rows instead of m1+1m_1+1m1​+1), which is the basis of later work on partial aggregation of cuts.

The mission produces a formal model of the multicut algorithm as a transition system over all admissible choices, valid-cut lemmas for both cut types with dual feasibility made explicit, the correctness of the stopping rule, and the counting argument. These results are proved on paper but, to our knowledge, no machine-checked version of the multicut L-shaped algorithm or its iteration bound exists. The model is reusable for other results on Benders-type methods for stochastic programs.

Difficulty

The counting argument is short once the right invariants are in place; the difficulty is the invariants. A cut recorded earlier must still be satisfied by the current master solution, while the cut added for a scenario satisfying (14) is violated by it, so the new cut differs from every recorded one. This uses that every recorded cut comes from a basis whose multiplier is dual feasible: a basis that merely attains the optimal value under degeneracy can produce a cut that is not valid. The stopping rule needs strong duality at the final bases and weak duality at all earlier ones, together with extended-real bookkeeping of QkQ_kQk​ on points where a scenario is infeasible.

Formalization scope

The model is the published StochasticProg_Recourse_Instance (QkQ_kQk​ in EReal, +∞+\infty+∞ when infeasible) with simplex bases and multipliers from StochasticProg_LShaped_Bases. Vectors are Fin n → ℝ, scenarios Fin K. A simplex-optimal basis is defined locally: invertible basic submatrix, nonnegative basic solution, and dual-feasible multiplier (πW≤qk\pi W\le q_kπW≤qk​; for the phase-one LP, σW≤0\sigma W\le 0σW≤0 and ∣σi∣≤1|\sigma_i|\le 1∣σi​∣≤1). The algorithm is an inductive step relation on states (feasibility cuts, per-scenario cut lists, return counter); a run is any finite sequence of steps from the empty state. Master optima are attained optimal solutions, not infima.

Pinned-down readings:

  • The paper writes the bound with bm2b^{m_2}bm2​, from its slope number bbb, and asserts without derivation that each QkQ_kQk​ has at most bm2b^{m_2}bm2​ facets. We state the bound for any MMM bounding the number of distinct cuts of each scenario, which is what the paper's proof counts. The L-shaped bound (18) is not stated.
  • "Iterations" are returns to Step 1 from Step 3. The final, stopping solve is not counted, consistent with Appendix A (four facets of Ω\OmegaΩ, five L-shaped solves; two multicut returns), and Step-2 (feasibility) returns are not counted, as in the paper's bound.
  • Positive probabilities pk>0p_k>0pk​>0 are assumed where K2K_2K2​ or optimality appears (the paper's realizations form the support of ξ\xiξ).
  • A scenario with no optimality cut has θk\theta_kθk​ omitted from the objective and always satisfies (14).

The transition relation allows every choice the paper allows; a relation that fixed, say, a particular basis or a particular master solution would prove a bound for fewer runs, and one that required the cut set to be smaller than the paper's would make the bound easy. Neither is done here.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, a sorry-free proof of the goal from them, and a worked check that the definitions admit the run of Appendix A.

Selected references

  • J. R. Birge and F. V. Louveaux, A multicut algorithm for two-stage stochastic linear programs, European Journal of Operational Research 34 (1988) 384–392. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(88)90159-2
  • R. M. Van Slyke and R. J.-B. Wets, L-shaped linear programs with applications to optimal control and stochastic programming, SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics 17 (1969) 638–663. https://doi.org/10.1137/0117061
  • J. F. Benders, Partitioning procedures for solving mixed-variables programming problems, Numerische Mathematik 4 (1962) 238–252. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01386316
  • J. R. Birge and F. Louveaux, Introduction to Stochastic Programming, 2nd ed., Springer, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-0237-4
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Operations ResearchTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Power of Randomization in On-Line Algorithms 4: Restarting a Bounded-Cost Algorithm Is (1+ε)α-Competitive in Games of Finite DiameterResearch Paper

Motivation

Competitive analysis compares an online algorithm, which must answer each request before seeing the next, with the optimal off-line solution of the same request sequence. Ben-David, Borodin, Karp, Tardos and Wigderson (Algorithmica 11, 1994) set up a general framework, request-answer games, in which paging, the KKK-server problem and metrical task systems are all instances, and used it to compare the power of randomized algorithms against several kinds of adversaries.

One of their results (Theorem 2.1) says that if a randomized algorithm is α\alphaα-competitive against every adaptive off-line adversary, then some deterministic algorithm is already α\alphaα-competitive. The argument is a game-theoretic existence proof: it says nothing about how to compute the deterministic algorithm. Section 4 of the paper, "A Constructive Version of Theorem 2.1", answers the natural follow-up question for a large class of games: under monotonicity, locality and a finite diameter, a deterministic algorithm that loses only a factor 1+ϵ1+\epsilon1+ϵ can be assembled from a finite object.

Setting

A request-answer game FFF has a request set RRR, a finite answer set AAA, and cost functions fn:Rn×An→Rf_n : R^n \times A^n \to \mathbb{R}fn​:Rn×An→R, n≥0n \ge 0n≥0; f0f_0f0​ is the cost of the empty play. The off-line optimum of a request sequence rrr of length nnn is c(r)=min⁡a∈Anfn(r,a)c(r) = \min_{a \in A^n} f_n(r, a)c(r)=mina∈An​fn​(r,a). A deterministic online algorithm GGG answers the iii-th request by a function gi(r1,…,ri)g_i(r_1, \dots, r_i)gi​(r1​,…,ri​) of the requests so far; its cost on rrr is cG(r)=fn(r,G(r))c_G(r) = f_n(r, G(r))cG​(r)=fn​(r,G(r)). It is α\alphaα-competitive if cG(r)≤α(c(r))c_G(r) \le \alpha(c(r))cG​(r)≤α(c(r)) for every rrr.

The game is monotone if fn+1(rt,ab)≥fn(r,a)f_{n+1}(rt, ab) \ge f_n(r, a)fn+1​(rt,ab)≥fn​(r,a) always, and local if for every h>0h > 0h>0 only finitely many request sequences have c(r)≤hc(r) \le hc(r)≤h. The discrepancy of two request-answer sequences is

δ((r,a),(r′,a′))=f(rr′,aa′)−f(r,a)−f(r′,a′),\delta((r,a),(r',a')) = f(rr', aa') - f(r,a) - f(r',a'),δ((r,a),(r′,a′))=f(rr′,aa′)−f(r,a)−f(r′,a′),

and the diameter D(F)D(F)D(F) is the supremum of ∣δ∣|\delta|∣δ∣ over all pairs.

For a real HHH, the set RHR_HRH​ consists of the request sequences all of whose proper prefixes have off-line optimum at most HHH. Given a deterministic algorithm AHA_HAH​, the restart algorithm simulates AHA_HAH​ and, as soon as the request sequence leaves RHR_HRH​, starts over as if it had received no previous requests. This cuts every request sequence into segments r=r(1) r(2)⋯r(t)r = r(1)\, r(2) \cdots r(t)r=r(1)r(2)⋯r(t), each a longest prefix in RHR_HRH​ of what remains.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 4.1 through its construction

Let FFF be monotone and local, with finite nonempty RRR and AAA, f0≥0f_0 \ge 0f0​≥0, and diameter at most DDD. Let α(x)=d x\alpha(x) = d\,xα(x)=dx with d≥1d \ge 1d≥1, ϵ>0\epsilon > 0ϵ>0, and

H=(2+ϵ)Dϵ.H = \frac{(2+\epsilon) D}{\epsilon}.H=ϵ(2+ϵ)D​.

Then RHR_HRH​ is finite; the restart algorithm depends on AHA_HAH​ only through its values on RHR_HRH​; and for every AHA_HAH​ with cAH(r)≤α(c(r))c_{A_H}(r) \le \alpha(c(r))cAH​​(r)≤α(c(r)) on RHR_HRH​,

cRestart(r)≤(1+ϵ) α(c(r))for all request sequences r.c_{\mathrm{Restart}}(r) \le (1+\epsilon)\,\alpha(c(r)) \qquad \text{for all request sequences } r.cRestart​(r)≤(1+ϵ)α(c(r))for all request sequences r.

Milestones (proof of Theorem 4.1, pp. 17–18)

  1. RHR_HRH​ is finite.
  2. The restart rule produces the greedy decomposition into longest prefixes in RHR_HRH​.
  3. The restart algorithm answers AH(r(1)),AH(r(2)),…,AH(r(t))A_H(r(1)), A_H(r(2)), \dots, A_H(r(t))AH​(r(1)),AH​(r(2)),…,AH​(r(t)).
  4. c(r(i))≥Hc(r(i)) \ge Hc(r(i))≥H for i=1,…,t−1i = 1, \dots, t-1i=1,…,t−1.
  5. c(r)≥c(r(1))+∑i=2t(c(r(i))−D(F))c(r) \ge c(r(1)) + \sum_{i=2}^{t} (c(r(i)) - D(F))c(r)≥c(r(1))+∑i=2t​(c(r(i))−D(F)).
  6. cRestart(r)≤α(c(1))+∑i=2t(α(c(i))+D(F))c_{\mathrm{Restart}}(r) \le \alpha(c(1)) + \sum_{i=2}^{t} (\alpha(c(i)) + D(F))cRestart​(r)≤α(c(1))+∑i=2t​(α(c(i))+D(F)).

Significance

Theorem 2.1 shows that, against adaptive off-line adversaries, randomization gives no advantage, but only as an existence statement. Theorem 4.1 turns it into a recipe: a deterministic algorithm need only be good on the finite set RHR_HRH​, which can be prepared in advance, and restarting extends it to all inputs at a loss of 1+ϵ1+\epsilon1+ϵ. The paper illustrates this with KKK-server problems on finite graphs, where AHA_HAH​ is a finite table and each step of the resulting algorithm costs one dynamic-programming evaluation of an off-line optimum.

The restart construction is of independent use: it is a general way to turn a guarantee on bounded-cost inputs into a guarantee on all inputs when the cost is nearly additive over concatenation.

To our knowledge neither the abstract request-answer game model nor this theorem has a machine-checked proof. The mission produces a formal model of request-answer games with the monotonicity, locality and diameter conditions, the restart algorithm as an explicit definition, and the full chain of inequalities of the proof.

Difficulty

The individual inequalities are elementary; the work lies in the bookkeeping of the construction. The algorithm is defined online, one request at a time, while the analysis is phrased through the decomposition of the whole sequence. Relating the two requires showing that the online rule produces exactly the decomposition into longest prefixes in RHR_HRH​, and that the answers produced on each segment are those of AHA_HAH​ run from scratch, so that the cost of the whole play can be compared with the costs on the segments. The constants must close exactly: with H=(2+ϵ)D/ϵH = (2+\epsilon)D/\epsilonH=(2+ϵ)D/ϵ the additive losses at the t−1t-1t−1 cuts, on both the algorithm's side and the optimum's side, must be absorbed by the factor 1+ϵ1+\epsilon1+ϵ, and they do so only for ratios d≥1d \ge 1d≥1.

A tempting shortcut is to conclude Theorem 4.1 from Theorem 2.1 directly: a deterministic α\alphaα-competitive algorithm is trivially (1+ϵ)α(1+\epsilon)\alpha(1+ϵ)α-competitive when costs are nonnegative. This proves the sentence of the theorem without its point, and is ruled out below.

Formalization scope

  • Request and answer sequences are Lean Lists, oldest first; fn(r,a)f_n(r,a)fn​(r,a) is F.cost r a with r.length = a.length. Costs are real-valued (the paper allows +∞+\infty+∞; real costs are a special case).
  • The answer set is a Fintype and nonempty; in the goal the request set is a Fintype and nonempty.
  • A deterministic algorithm is one function List R → A. Competitiveness of a deterministic algorithm against adaptive off-line adversaries is stated as competitiveness on every request sequence, which is equivalent for deterministic algorithms (p. 8).
  • Finite diameter is a real bound DDD with ∣δ∣≤D|\delta| \le D∣δ∣≤D for all pairs, and every statement holds for every such DDD, in particular D=D(F)D = D(F)D=D(F); no real supremum is taken.
  • f0≥0f_0 \ge 0f0​≥0 is assumed in the goal; with monotonicity it makes every cost nonnegative. It holds in the paper's examples.
  • α(x)=d x\alpha(x) = d\,xα(x)=dx with d≥1d \ge 1d≥1 in the goal; the cost bound for the restart algorithm (milestone 6) holds for an arbitrary α\alphaα.
  • HHH is fixed to the paper's value (2+ϵ)D/ϵ(2+\epsilon)D/\epsilon(2+ϵ)D/ϵ.
  • The restart algorithm is a definition (a left fold over the requests), not a hypothesis. The paper's assumption of a randomized algorithm competitive against adaptive off-line adversaries is used only, through Theorem 2.1, to obtain AHA_HAH​; the goal quantifies over every AHA_HAH​ that is α\alphaα-competitive on RHR_HRH​. "Computable" has no precise meaning for real costs; its content is the finiteness of RHR_HRH​ together with the fact that the restart algorithm reads AHA_HAH​ only on RHR_HRH​. A formalization that proves only the existence of a deterministic (1+ϵ)α(1+\epsilon)\alpha(1+ϵ)α-competitive algorithm, without the construction, does not meet the goal.
  • Milestones 5 and 6 are stated for nonempty request sequences, so that t≥1t \ge 1t≥1; milestone 5 is stated for every decomposition into consecutive pieces.

Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and a connection to the other missions of this series, where the randomized model and Theorem 2.1 are formalized.

Selected references

  • S. Ben-David, A. Borodin, R. Karp, G. Tardos, A. Wigderson, On the power of randomization in on-line algorithms, Algorithmica 11 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01294260
  • M. Chrobak, H. Karloff, T. Payne, S. Vishwanathan, New results on server problems, SIAM Journal on Discrete Mathematics 4 (1991), 172–181. https://doi.org/10.1137/0404017
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Operations ResearchProbabilityTheoretical Computer Science·Captain: mikedeng1

On the Power of Randomization in On-Line Algorithms 3: An Augmented Potential Function Yields an Explicit Deterministic α∘β-Competitive AlgorithmResearch Paper

Motivation

Competitive analysis measures an online algorithm, which must answer each request before seeing the next, against the best off-line answer to the whole request sequence. Randomized online algorithms are often much better than deterministic ones against an oblivious adversary, who fixes the requests in advance; the paging problem is the standard example. Against an adaptive adversary, who sees the algorithm's answers before choosing the next request, the advantage can disappear.

Ben-David, Borodin, Karp, Tardos and Wigderson (Algorithmica 11, 1994; preliminary version STOC 1990) made this precise in an abstract framework of request-answer games. Their Corollary 2.1 says: if a game has a randomized algorithm that is α\alphaα-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries and one that is β\betaβ-competitive against oblivious adversaries, then it has a deterministic α∘β\alpha\circ\betaα∘β-competitive algorithm. That proof is non-constructive: it goes through a game-theoretic determinacy argument. Section 3 of the paper gives a constructive version. Most competitive analyses of randomized algorithms against adaptive adversaries are carried out with a potential function, in the style of Manasse, McGeoch and Sleator (J. Algorithms 11, 1990). The paper shows that such a potential function, together with any oblivious-competitive algorithm HHH, determines an explicit deterministic algorithm MMM, answer by answer. This mission formalizes that construction and its guarantee.

Setting

A request-answer game has a request set RRR, a finite answer set AAA and cost functions fn:Rn×An→Rf_n : R^n \times A^n \to \mathbb Rfn​:Rn×An→R. The off-line optimum of r∈Rnr \in R^nr∈Rn is c(r)=min⁡a∈Anfn(r,a)c(r) = \min_{a \in A^n} f_n(r, a)c(r)=mina∈An​fn​(r,a). A deterministic online algorithm MMM is a sequence of maps mi:Ri→Am_i : R^i \to Ami​:Ri→A; on r=(r1,…,rn)r = (r_1,\dots,r_n)r=(r1​,…,rn​) it answers M(r)=(m1(r1),m2(r1,r2),…,mn(r))M(r) = (m_1(r_1), m_2(r_1,r_2), \dots, m_n(r))M(r)=(m1​(r1​),m2​(r1​,r2​),…,mn​(r)), at cost cM(r)=fn(r,M(r))c_M(r) = f_n(r, M(r))cM​(r)=fn​(r,M(r)). It is α\alphaα-competitive if cM(r)≤α(c(r))c_M(r) \le \alpha(c(r))cM​(r)≤α(c(r)) for all rrr. Throughout, α\alphaα and β\betaβ are affine maps R→R\mathbb R \to \mathbb RR→R (the paper's "linear functions").

A randomized online algorithm HHH is a probability distribution over deterministic algorithms HyH_yHy​; it is β\betaβ-competitive against any oblivious adversary if Ey[fn(r,Hy(r))]≤β(c(r))\mathbb E_y[f_n(r, H_y(r))] \le \beta(c(r))Ey​[fn​(r,Hy​(r))]≤β(c(r)) for all rrr. The algorithm GGG analysed by the potential function is described by its next-answer laws gn+1(rrn+1,a)g_{n+1}(r r_{n+1}, a)gn+1​(rrn+1​,a) on AAA, given the requests so far, the new request and its own past answers. An adaptive on-line adversary SSS chooses each request from the algorithm's past answers and answers it itself, before the algorithm does, for at most dQd_QdQ​ rounds; a configuration after nnn rounds is (r,a,b)∈Rn×An×An(r, a, b) \in R^n \times A^n \times A^n(r,a,b)∈Rn×An×An: requests, algorithm's answers, adversary's answers.

An augmented potential function for α\alphaα and GGG (Definition 3.1) is a family Φn:Rn×An×An→R\Phi_n : R^n \times A^n \times A^n \to \mathbb RΦn​:Rn×An×An→R with (1) Φ0=0\Phi_0 = 0Φ0​=0; (2) Φn(r,a,b)≤α(fn(r,b))−fn(r,a)\Phi_n(r,a,b) \le \alpha(f_n(r,b)) - f_n(r,a)Φn​(r,a,b)≤α(fn​(r,b))−fn​(r,a) for every configuration; (3) Ean+1∼gn+1(rrn+1,a)[Φn+1(rrn+1,aan+1,bbn+1)]≥Φn(r,a,b)\mathbb E_{a_{n+1} \sim g_{n+1}(r r_{n+1}, a)}[\Phi_{n+1}(r r_{n+1}, a a_{n+1}, b b_{n+1})] \ge \Phi_n(r,a,b)Ean+1​∼gn+1​(rrn+1​,a)​[Φn+1​(rrn+1​,aan+1​,bbn+1​)]≥Φn​(r,a,b) for every configuration, every rn+1∈Rr_{n+1} \in Rrn+1​∈R and every bn+1∈Ab_{n+1} \in Abn+1​∈A.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 3.1 (p. 15)

Let Φ\PhiΦ be an augmented potential function for α\alphaα and GGG, and HHH a β\betaβ-competitive algorithm against oblivious adversaries. Say that MMM obeys the potential rule if for every r∈Rnr \in R^nr∈Rn and r′=rtr' = rtr′=rt,

Ey[Φn+1(r′,M(r) mn+1(r′),Hy(r′))] ≥ Ey[Φn(r,M(r),Hy(r))].\mathbb E_y\big[\Phi_{n+1}(r', M(r)\,m_{n+1}(r'), H_y(r'))\big] \ \ge\ \mathbb E_y\big[\Phi_n(r, M(r), H_y(r))\big].Ey​[Φn+1​(r′,M(r)mn+1​(r′),Hy​(r′))] ≥ Ey​[Φn​(r,M(r),Hy​(r))].

Then such an MMM exists, and every such MMM satisfies

cM(r)≤α(β(c(r)))for all r.c_M(r) \le \alpha\big(\beta(c(r))\big) \quad \text{for all } r .cM​(r)≤α(β(c(r)))for all r.

Both parts are part of the goal: the rule can be followed, and following it guarantees α∘β\alpha\circ\betaα∘β-competitiveness.

Milestones

  1. In every play of GGG against an adaptive on-line adversary, the expected final potential is nonnegative (proof of Lemma 3.1).
  2. Lemma 3.1, "if" direction: an augmented potential function for α\alphaα and GGG makes GGG α\alphaα-competitive against any adaptive on-line adversary, E[cG(S)]≤E[α(cS(G))]\mathbb E[c_G(S)] \le \mathbb E[\alpha(c_S(G))]E[cG​(S)]≤E[α(cS​(G))].
  3. For every rrr, ttt and every a∈Ana \in A^na∈An, some a′∈Aa' \in Aa′∈A satisfies Ey[Φn+1(rt,aa′,Hy(rt))]≥Ey[Φn(r,a,Hy(r))]\mathbb E_y[\Phi_{n+1}(rt, aa', H_y(rt))] \ge \mathbb E_y[\Phi_n(r, a, H_y(r))]Ey​[Φn+1​(rt,aa′,Hy​(rt))]≥Ey​[Φn​(r,a,Hy​(r))].
  4. If MMM obeys the rule, Ey[Φn(r,M(r),Hy(r))]≥0\mathbb E_y[\Phi_n(r, M(r), H_y(r))] \ge 0Ey​[Φn​(r,M(r),Hy​(r))]≥0 for every rrr.
  5. If MMM obeys the rule, fn(r,M(r))≤Ey[α(fn(r,Hy(r)))]f_n(r, M(r)) \le \mathbb E_y[\alpha(f_n(r, H_y(r)))]fn​(r,M(r))≤Ey​[α(fn​(r,Hy​(r)))] for every rrr: MMM is α\alphaα-competitive against the randomized adaptive adversary that serves its requests with HHH.

Significance

The theorem turns two separate analyses into one deterministic algorithm with an explicit description. The potential function certifies GGG against the strongest on-line adversary; the oblivious algorithm HHH need not be related to GGG, and the paper remarks that HHH may be GGG itself. The next answer of MMM is computable whenever the expected potential under HHH is (Corollary 3.1, stated informally in the paper), and the paper notes that for the potential functions used in the KKK-server literature this expectation is computable in time polynomial in the number of nodes and KKK. Read in this light, a potential-function proof for a randomized algorithm doubles as a deterministic algorithm.

The result is proved in the paper. As far as is known, neither this theorem nor the abstract framework of request-answer games with adaptive adversaries has a machine-checked formalization. The mission produces that framework and a checked derandomization principle that applies to every request-answer game with real costs, not to one problem.

Difficulty

The obvious argument for the existence of mn+1(r′)m_{n+1}(r')mn+1​(r′) averages property (3) of Φ\PhiΦ; the work is in seeing which configuration to apply it to. The rule compares MMM's configuration against HyH_yHy​'s answers, not against an adversary playing GGG, and the paper argues through an auxiliary on-line adversary that asks r′r'r′ and serves it with HyH_yHy​. Making this rigorous requires interchanging the expectation over HHH's coins with the finite expectation over GGG's next answer, and checking that the needed expectations are finite.

The second difficulty is the two kinds of randomness. GGG enters only through its next-answer laws, while HHH must be a single distribution over deterministic algorithms: the rule evaluates Hy(r)H_y(r)Hy​(r) and Hy(r′)H_y(r')Hy​(r′) with the same coins yyy. Replacing HHH by a behavioural description breaks the coupling between consecutive rounds.

Formalization scope

Requests and answers are Lean lists, oldest first, and fn(r,a)f_n(r,a)fn​(r,a) is F.cost r a on lists of common length; values on lists of different lengths are never used. Costs are real: the paper allows fn=+∞f_n = +\inftyfn​=+∞, so every statement here is about the real-valued games. The answer type is finite and nonempty, so the minimum c(r)c(r)c(r) exists. Affine maps are written α(x)=cx+d\alpha(x) = c x + dα(x)=cx+d. The goal additionally assumes α\alphaα nondecreasing: the last step of the paper's proof applies α\alphaα to an inequality, which needs it, and the paper's examples are positive ratios. In Lemma 3.1 and milestone 5 linearity of α\alphaα is kept as the paper's standing convention, although with α\alphaα inside the expectation the argument does not use it.

GGG is a map from (requests, own answers) to a probability mass function on AAA (behavioural form); its play against an adaptive on-line adversary is a probability mass function on final configurations, with finite support, and its expectations are finite sums. HHH is a probability measure on a coin space with a deterministic algorithm per coin, each answer measurable in the coins; expectations over HHH are Bochner integrals of functions with finitely many values. α\alphaα stays inside expectations, as in the paper's definition of competitiveness against adaptive adversaries. Adversaries stop by returning none and have a uniform depth bound.

The goal cannot be satisfied vacuously: it states the existence of an algorithm obeying the rule alongside the guarantee for every such algorithm, and Definition 3.1 is required at every configuration, not only at reachable ones.

Not formalized: the "only if" direction of Lemma 3.1, which the paper only sketches, and Corollary 3.1, whose notion of computability the paper leaves unspecified. The definitions of request-answer games, online algorithms, adversaries and competitiveness are reusable for the other missions of this paper and for any problem-specific competitive analysis. Contributions welcome: proofs of the milestones, and a lemma relating the mixed and behavioural forms of a randomized algorithm.

Selected references

  • S. Ben-David, A. Borodin, R. Karp, G. Tardos, A. Wigderson, On the power of randomization in on-line algorithms, Algorithmica 11 (1994), 2–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01294260
  • M. Manasse, L. McGeoch, D. Sleator, Competitive algorithms for server problems, Journal of Algorithms 11 (1990), 208–230. https://doi.org/10.1016/0196-6774(90)90003-W
  • D. Sleator, R. Tarjan, Amortized efficiency of list update and paging rules, Communications of the ACM 28 (1985), 202–208. https://doi.org/10.1145/2786.2793
  • A. Borodin, R. El-Yaniv, Online Computation and Competitive Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 1998. ISBN 0-521-56392-5
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Linear OptimizationOperations ResearchStochastic Systems·Captain: mikedeng1

Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance II: An O(n²) Extended Formulation of the Multiclass M/M/1 Performance PolymatroidResearch Paper

Motivation

A single server shared by several classes of customers is the basic model of scheduling under uncertainty: jobs of different types arrive at random, need random amounts of work, and a scheduler decides at every moment which type to serve. A classical way to optimize such a system, the achievable region approach, describes the set of all performance vectors that some scheduling policy can attain, and optimizes a linear cost over that set with linear programming. For the multiclass M/M/1 queue under preemptive, work-conserving scheduling, this set is a polyhedron described by conservation laws (Coffman and Mitrani, 1980; Gelenbe and Mitrani, 1980; Shanthikumar and Yao, 1992): it is the base of a polymatroid, its vertices are the performance vectors of the n!n!n! strict priority rules, and minimizing a linear cost over it is solved greedily, which recovers the cμc\mucμ rule.

That description uses one inequality for every nonempty set of classes, 2n−12^n-12n−1 constraints in all. Bertsimas, Paschalidis and Tsitsiklis (working paper 1992, Annals of Applied Probability 1994) derived performance bounds for general multiclass networks from quadratic potential functions. Specialized to one station, their nonparametric method produces a different polyhedron, in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) variables with O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) constraints, and they show that its projection is exactly the conservation-law polyhedron (Theorem 8.4). The paper remarks that this confirms, for this polymatroid, the belief that problems solvable in polynomial time admit polynomial-size formulations.

Setting

There are nnn customer classes E={1,…,n}E=\{1,\dots,n\}E={1,…,n}. Class iii has arrival rate λi>0\lambda_i>0λi​>0 and service rate μi>0\mu_i>0μi​>0; its traffic intensity is ρi=λi/μi\rho_i=\lambda_i/\mu_iρi​=λi​/μi​, and the queue is stable: ∑i∈Eρi<1\sum_{i\in E}\rho_i<1∑i∈E​ρi​<1. For S⊆ES\subseteq ES⊆E define

b(S)=∑i∈Sρi/μi1−∑i∈Sρi,b(∅)=0.b(S)=\frac{\sum_{i\in S}\rho_i/\mu_i}{1-\sum_{i\in S}\rho_i},\qquad b(\emptyset)=0 .b(S)=1−∑i∈S​ρi​∑i∈S​ρi​/μi​​,b(∅)=0.

In the queue, nin_ini​ is the steady-state mean number of class iii customers and ni/μin_i/\mu_ini​/μi​ their mean remaining work; b(S)b(S)b(S) is the mean work of the classes in SSS when those classes have preemptive priority over the rest.

The performance polymatroid P1 (Theorem 8.3) is the set of (ni)∈R+n(n_i)\in\mathbb R_+^n(ni​)∈R+n​ with

∑i∈Sniμi≥b(S)(S⊂E),∑i∈Eniμi=b(E).\sum_{i\in S}\frac{n_i}{\mu_i}\ge b(S)\quad (S\subset E),\qquad \sum_{i\in E}\frac{n_i}{\mu_i}=b(E).i∈S∑​μi​ni​​≥b(S)(S⊂E),i∈E∑​μi​ni​​=b(E).

For a permutation π=(π1,…,πn)\pi=(\pi_1,\dots,\pi_n)π=(π1​,…,πn​) of EEE, the vector v(π)v(\pi)v(π) is the solution of the triangular system ∑j=1kxπj/μπj=b({π1,…,πk})\sum_{j=1}^{k}x_{\pi_j}/\mu_{\pi_j}=b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_k\})∑j=1k​xπj​​/μπj​​=b({π1​,…,πk​}), k=1,…,nk=1,\dots,nk=1,…,n (Eq. (58) with fiS=1/μif_i^S=1/\mu_ifiS​=1/μi​).

The extended formulation P2 (Theorem 8.4) is the set of nonnegative (ni)i∈E(n_i)_{i\in E}(ni​)i∈E​ and (Iij)i,j∈E(I_{ij})_{i,j\in E}(Iij​)i,j∈E​ satisfying

μiIii−λini=λi,μiIij+μjIji−λjni−λinj=0 (i≠j),∑i∈EIij=nj.\mu_iI_{ii}-\lambda_in_i=\lambda_i,\qquad \mu_iI_{ij}+\mu_jI_{ji}-\lambda_jn_i-\lambda_in_j=0\ (i\neq j),\qquad \sum_{i\in E}I_{ij}=n_j .μi​Iii​−λi​ni​=λi​,μi​Iij​+μj​Iji​−λj​ni​−λi​nj​=0 (i=j),i∈E∑​Iij​=nj​.

In the queue, IijI_{ij}Iij​ is the steady-state mean of the number of class jjj customers on the event that the server is busy with class iii. The projection P2′\mathrm{P2}'P2′ of P2 is the set of (ni)(n_i)(ni​) for which some (Iij)(I_{ij})(Iij​) makes ((ni),(Iij))((n_i),(I_{ij}))((ni​),(Iij​)) a point of P2.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem 8.4

P2′=P1.\mathrm{P2}'=\mathrm{P1}.P2′=P1.

Both inclusions are part of the goal. The statement fixes no constants and holds for every nnn, every positive rate vector and every stable load.

Milestones

  1. §8.2, proof of Theorem 8.3. The extreme points of P1 are exactly the vectors v(π)v(\pi)v(π), and P1 is their convex hull:
ext⁡P1={v(π)},P1=conv⁡{v(π)}.\operatorname{ext}\mathrm{P1}=\{v(\pi)\},\qquad \mathrm{P1}=\operatorname{conv}\{v(\pi)\}.extP1={v(π)},P1=conv{v(π)}.
  1. §8.2, proof of Theorem 8.4. The easy inclusion, which the paper obtains from its Theorem 4.4:
P2′⊆P1.\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}.P2′⊆P1.

Significance

The result. Theorem 8.4 replaces 2n−12^n-12n−1 constraints by O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) constraints in O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) variables without changing the projected set. Any linear program over the M/M/1 performance region, including problems with side constraints where the greedy cμc\mucμ rule no longer applies, can then be solved with a polynomial-size LP. It also identifies the paper's nonparametric method as exact at a single station: the method loses nothing there, which is the baseline against which its gaps in networks are measured.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, but the reverse inclusion P1⊆P2′\mathrm{P1}\subseteq\mathrm{P2}'P1⊆P2′ is argued through achievability: every point of P1 is the performance of some (randomized) policy, and every policy's performance satisfies the equations of P2. That argument rests on stochastic objects (invariant distributions under arbitrary policies, and time-0 randomizations over priority rules) that the paper does not define precisely. The paper points to a purely combinatorial derivation in Paschalidis' thesis, which we have not seen. A machine-checked proof of the polyhedral identity is therefore new content: it supplies the deterministic argument the paper delegates. The polymatroid structure of P1 (Milestone 1) is classical for supermodular set functions; this mission requires it for this specific bbb. We know of no formalization of either result.

Difficulty

The inclusion P2′⊆P1\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}P2′⊆P1 only combines the equations of P2 with nonnegativity. The reverse inclusion is the hard half: for each point of P1 one must exhibit a nonnegative matrix (Iij)(I_{ij})(Iij​) satisfying n2n^2n2 linear equations, and the inequalities of P1 say nothing directly about the off-diagonal entries IijI_{ij}Iij​. The paper's own argument does not help here, since it produces III as a steady-state expectation under a scheduling policy, an object defined through a Markov chain and given in no closed form. The sign constraints Iij≥0I_{ij}\ge0Iij​≥0 are where the 2n−12^n-12n−1 inequalities of P1 are encoded, and a proof has to explain how O(n2)O(n^2)O(n2) sign conditions on auxiliary variables carry exactly the information of exponentially many inequalities in the original ones.

Formalization scope

Classes are Fin n; rates are real functions lam mu : Fin n → ℝ with 0 < lam i, 0 < mu i and ∑ i, lam i / mu i < 1. The paper's nin_ini​ is written x i, because n is the number of classes. A point of P2 is a pair (x, I) with I i j =Iij=I_{ij}=Iij​, including the diagonal entries. P1 is the platform definition AllocationIndices.achievablePolytope with the matrix AiS=1/μiA^S_i=1/\mu_iAiS​=1/μi​: inequality for every S≠ES\neq ES=E, equality at S=ES=ES=E, nonnegativity. The paper writes NNN for the class set EEE in (65) and (71); every such sum runs over all classes. The constraints (64)–(65) bound ni/μin_i/\mu_ini​/μi​, not nin_ini​. v(π)v(\pi)v(π) is given by its closed form, v(π)πk=μπk(b({π1,…,πk})−b({π1,…,πk−1}))v(\pi)_{\pi_k}=\mu_{\pi_k}\bigl(b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_k\})-b(\{\pi_1,\dots,\pi_{k-1}\})\bigr)v(π)πk​​=μπk​​(b({π1​,…,πk​})−b({π1​,…,πk−1​})), which solves (58). The standing hypothesis λi>0\lambda_i>0λi​>0 is presupposed by the model (Poisson arrivals at rate λi\lambda_iλi​); the load condition is the paper's stability condition and keeps every denominator of bbb positive.

No statement involves a policy, a Markov chain or an expectation; the queueing meaning above is motivation only. In particular, neither "P1 is the achievable region" nor "the performance vector of each priority rule is achievable" is formalized. The goal is the full set identity: stating only P2′⊆P1\mathrm{P2}'\subseteq\mathrm{P1}P2′⊆P1, or assuming P1=conv⁡{v(π)}\mathrm{P1}=\operatorname{conv}\{v(\pi)\}P1=conv{v(π)} as a hypothesis of the goal, would not be Theorem 8.4.

A complete development needs: supermodularity of bbb under the load condition; the greedy (Edmonds) description of base polytopes of supermodular functions, which is reusable well beyond this mission; and a nonnegative solution of the P2 system at each v(π)v(\pi)v(π). Contributions of any of these as separate lemmas are welcome.

Selected references

  • D. Bertsimas, I. Ch. Paschalidis, J. N. Tsitsiklis, Optimization of Multiclass Queueing Networks: Polyhedral and Nonlinear Characterizations of Achievable Performance, MIT Sloan School WP #3509-92-MSA, 1992; Annals of Applied Probability 4(1):43–75, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoap/1177005200
  • E. G. Coffman, I. Mitrani, A characterization of waiting time performance realizable by single-server queues, Operations Research 28(3):810–821, 1980. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.28.3.810
  • J. G. Shanthikumar, D. D. Yao, Multiclass queueing systems: polymatroidal structure and optimal scheduling control, Operations Research 40(S2):S293–S299, 1992. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.40.3.S293
  • D. Bertsimas, J. Niño-Mora, Conservation laws, extended polymatroids and multiarmed bandit problems; a polyhedral approach to indexable systems, Mathematics of Operations Research 21(2):257–306, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.21.2.257
  • J. Edmonds, Submodular functions, matroids, and certain polyhedra, in Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications, Gordon and Breach, 1970, pp. 69–87.
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CombinatoricsOperations ResearchOptimization+1·Captain: mikedeng1

A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization 3: Fractional Double Greedy on the Multilinear Extension Achieves 1/2 of the OptimumResearch Paper

Motivation

Unconstrained submodular maximization (USM) asks for a subset SSS of a finite ground set N\mathcal NN maximizing a nonnegative submodular function fff. It contains Max-Cut, Max-DiCut and maximum facility location as special cases, and it is the basic subproblem of many constrained submodular maximization algorithms. Because fff is given only through a value oracle, the question is how close to the optimum a polynomial number of queries can get.

Timeline of the approximation ratio for USM in the value oracle model:

  • Feige, Mirrokni and Vondrák (FOCS 2007; SIAM J. Comput. 2011) showed that a uniformly random set achieves 1/41/41/4, local search achieves 1/31/31/3 and 2/52/52/5, and that no algorithm making polynomially many queries achieves 1/2+ε1/2 + \varepsilon1/2+ε for any fixed ε>0\varepsilon > 0ε>0.
  • Oveis Gharan and Vondrák (SODA 2011) reached 0.410.410.41 by simulated annealing; Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (ICALP 2011) reached 0.420.420.42.
  • Buchbinder, Feldman, Naor and Schwartz (FOCS 2012) closed the gap with the double greedy algorithms: a deterministic 1/31/31/3-approximation and a randomized 1/21/21/2-approximation, both linear in the number of oracle calls. Their Appendix A gives a third, fractional variant, which is the subject of this mission.

This is the third mission on the FOCS 2012 paper; the first two treat the deterministic and the randomized double greedy on sets.

Setting

Let N\mathcal NN be a finite ground set with nnn elements and f:2N→R≥0f : 2^{\mathcal N} \to \mathbb R_{\ge 0}f:2N→R≥0​. The function fff is submodular if

f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B)for all A,B⊆N.f(A) + f(B) \ge f(A \cup B) + f(A \cap B) \qquad \text{for all } A, B \subseteq \mathcal N .f(A)+f(B)≥f(A∪B)+f(A∩B)for all A,B⊆N.

Write f(OPT)=max⁡S⊆Nf(S)f(OPT) = \max_{S \subseteq \mathcal N} f(S)f(OPT)=maxS⊆N​f(S) and let OPTOPTOPT be a maximizing set.

The multilinear extension of fff is the function on vectors x∈[0,1]Nx \in [0,1]^{\mathcal N}x∈[0,1]N

F(x)=∑S⊆Nf(S)∏u∈Sxu∏u∉S(1−xu)=E[f(R(x))],F(x) = \sum_{S \subseteq \mathcal N} f(S) \prod_{u \in S} x_u \prod_{u \notin S} (1 - x_u) = \mathbb E\bigl[f(R(x))\bigr],F(x)=S⊆N∑​f(S)u∈S∏​xu​u∈/S∏​(1−xu​)=E[f(R(x))],

where the random set R(x)R(x)R(x) contains each element uuu independently with probability xux_uxu​. A set is identified with its characteristic vector, so FFF agrees with fff on {0,1}N\{0,1\}^{\mathcal N}{0,1}N, and {u}\{u\}{u} also denotes the unit vector at uuu. For vectors, x∨yx \vee yx∨y and x∧yx \wedge yx∧y are the coordinate-wise maximum and minimum.

Algorithm 4 (MultilinearUSM). Fix an arbitrary order u1,…,unu_1, \dots, u_nu1​,…,un​ of N\mathcal NN and start from x0=∅x_0 = \emptysetx0​=∅ and y0=Ny_0 = \mathcal Ny0​=N (the vectors 0\mathbf 00 and 1\mathbf 11). In iteration i=1,…,ni = 1, \dots, ni=1,…,n compute

ai=F(xi−1+{ui})−F(xi−1),bi=F(yi−1−{ui})−F(yi−1),a_i = F(x_{i-1} + \{u_i\}) - F(x_{i-1}), \qquad b_i = F(y_{i-1} - \{u_i\}) - F(y_{i-1}),ai​=F(xi−1​+{ui​})−F(xi−1​),bi​=F(yi−1​−{ui​})−F(yi−1​),

set ai′=max⁡{ai,0}a_i' = \max\{a_i, 0\}ai′​=max{ai​,0}, bi′=max⁡{bi,0}b_i' = \max\{b_i, 0\}bi′​=max{bi​,0}, and update

xi=xi−1+ai′ai′+bi′{ui},yi=yi−1−bi′ai′+bi′{ui},x_i = x_{i-1} + \frac{a_i'}{a_i' + b_i'} \{u_i\}, \qquad y_i = y_{i-1} - \frac{b_i'}{a_i' + b_i'} \{u_i\},xi​=xi−1​+ai′​+bi′​ai′​​{ui​},yi​=yi−1​−ai′​+bi′​bi′​​{ui​},

with the convention that the two fractions are 111 and 000 when ai′=bi′=0a_i' = b_i' = 0ai′​=bi′​=0. The output is the random set R(xn)R(x_n)R(xn​). Every choice before the output is deterministic; the algorithm queries FFF at four points per element.

For the analysis, OPTi=(OPT∨xi)∧yiOPT_i = (OPT \vee x_i) \wedge y_iOPTi​=(OPT∨xi​)∧yi​.

Formalization targets

Goal: Theorem A.1, oracle-access clause

For every nonnegative submodular fff and every order of the ground set,

xn=ynandf(OPT)≤2 F(xn)=2 E[f(R(xn))].x_n = y_n \qquad\text{and}\qquad f(OPT) \le 2\,F(x_n) = 2\,\mathbb E\bigl[f(R(x_n))\bigr].xn​=yn​andf(OPT)≤2F(xn​)=2E[f(R(xn​))].

Milestones, in the order the proof uses them

  1. ai+bi≥0a_i + b_i \ge 0ai​+bi​≥0 at every iteration (proof of Lemma A.2; the page cites Lemma II.1).
  2. Endpoints: OPT0=OPTOPT_0 = OPTOPT0​=OPT with F(OPT)=f(OPT)F(OPT) = f(OPT)F(OPT)=f(OPT), and OPTn=xn=ynOPT_n = x_n = y_nOPTn​=xn​=yn​.
  3. (4) and (5): if ai≥0a_i \ge 0ai​≥0 and bi>0b_i > 0bi​>0, then F(xi)−F(xi−1)=ai2/(ai+bi)F(x_i) - F(x_{i-1}) = a_i^2/(a_i+b_i)F(xi​)−F(xi−1​)=ai2​/(ai​+bi​) and F(yi)−F(yi−1)=bi2/(ai+bi)F(y_i) - F(y_{i-1}) = b_i^2/(a_i+b_i)F(yi​)−F(yi−1​)=bi2​/(ai​+bi​).
  4. (6): in the same case, F(OPTi−1)−F(OPTi)≤aibi/(ai+bi)F(OPT_{i-1}) - F(OPT_i) \le a_i b_i/(a_i + b_i)F(OPTi−1​)−F(OPTi​)≤ai​bi​/(ai​+bi​), whether or not ui∈OPTu_i \in OPTui​∈OPT.
  5. Lemma A.2: for every 1≤i≤n1 \le i \le n1≤i≤n,
F(OPTi−1)−F(OPTi)≤12[F(xi)−F(xi−1)+F(yi)−F(yi−1)].F(OPT_{i-1}) - F(OPT_i) \le \tfrac12\bigl[F(x_i) - F(x_{i-1}) + F(y_i) - F(y_{i-1})\bigr].F(OPTi−1​)−F(OPTi​)≤21​[F(xi​)−F(xi−1​)+F(yi​)−F(yi−1​)].
  1. Telescoped display: F(OPT0)−F(OPTn)≤12[F(xn)−F(x0)]+12[F(yn)−F(y0)]≤12(F(xn)+F(yn))F(OPT_0) - F(OPT_n) \le \tfrac12[F(x_n) - F(x_0)] + \tfrac12[F(y_n) - F(y_0)] \le \tfrac12(F(x_n) + F(y_n))F(OPT0​)−F(OPTn​)≤21​[F(xn​)−F(x0​)]+21​[F(yn​)−F(y0​)]≤21​(F(xn​)+F(yn​)).

Significance

The result. Theorem A.1 shows that the double greedy analysis survives a change of domain: the factor 1/21/21/2 is obtained by a procedure that never flips a coin until the end, and whose state is a pair of fractional points. The ratio matches the Feige–Mirrokni–Vondrák hardness bound, so it cannot be improved in the value oracle model. Its output is a fractional point together with an independent rounding, which separates the optimization from the rounding step.

Formalizing it. The result is proved on paper; no machine-checked proof of a double greedy guarantee is known. A complete development yields reusable facts about the multilinear extension of a submodular function on a finite type: FFF is affine in each coordinate, its coordinate increments are antitone in the other coordinates on [0,1]N[0,1]^{\mathcal N}[0,1]N, and FFF restricted to characteristic vectors is fff. These are the standard tools of every continuous-relaxation argument for submodular maximization.

Difficulty

The proof on the page is short, but it relies on two facts it does not prove. First, the page justifies ai+bi≥0a_i + b_i \ge 0ai​+bi​≥0 "by Lemma II.1", which is a statement about sets; for vectors it requires that the increment of FFF along a coordinate decreases as the other coordinates increase, a property of the multilinear extension of a submodular function that must be derived from the sum defining FFF. Second, inequality (6) is written out only for ui∉OPTu_i \notin OPTui​∈/OPT, and Case 2 of Lemma A.2 is omitted as analogous; the formal statements cover all cases. The main technical work is the bookkeeping of the run: that each coordinate is touched once, that xi−1(ui)=0x_{i-1}(u_i) = 0xi−1​(ui​)=0 and yi−1(ui)=1y_{i-1}(u_i) = 1yi−1​(ui​)=1 when it is touched, that xi≤OPTi≤yix_i \le OPT_i \le y_ixi​≤OPTi​≤yi​, and that every state stays in [0,1]N[0,1]^{\mathcal N}[0,1]N, where the antitonicity applies.

Formalization scope

  • The ground set is a Fintype XXX with decidable equality; sets are Finset X; fff is real-valued, with nonnegativity a hypothesis ∀ S, 0 ≤ f S wherever the page uses it (the goal and the telescoped display). Submodularity is the published NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.Submodular, the lattice form f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T)f(S \cup T) + f(S \cap T) \le f(S) + f(T)f(S∪T)+f(S∩T)≤f(S)+f(T); f(OPT)f(OPT)f(OPT) is the published NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.OPT; FFF is the published NonmonotoneSubmod.Shared.F, the sum above, defined for every x:X→Rx : X \to \mathbb Rx:X→R.
  • The order u1,…,unu_1, \dots, u_nu1​,…,un​ is a duplicate-free list containing every element; uiu_iui​ is the entry at index i−1i-1i−1, and nnn is the list's length. The state after iii iterations is obtained by folding one step over the first iii entries from (0,1)(\mathbf 0, \mathbf 1)(0,1). Statements hold for every such order.
  • The footnote's convention ai′/(ai′+bi′)=1a_i'/(a_i'+b_i') = 1ai′​/(ai′​+bi′​)=1, bi′/(ai′+bi′)=0b_i'/(a_i'+b_i') = 0bi′​/(ai′​+bi′​)=0 when ai′=bi′=0a_i' = b_i' = 0ai′​=bi′​=0 is an explicit case split; with Lean's 0/0=00/0 = 00/0=0 it would otherwise be reversed and the run would no longer end with xn=ynx_n = y_nxn​=yn​.
  • Corrected slips of the page: lines 3–4 of Algorithm 4 assign ai′,bi′a_i', b_i'ai′​,bi′​ but define ai,bia_i, b_iai​,bi​; "f:N→R+f : \mathcal N \to \mathbb R^+f:N→R+" means f:2N→R+f : 2^{\mathcal N} \to \mathbb R^+f:2N→R+; "F(x)≜E[R(x)]F(x) \triangleq \mathbb E[R(x)]F(x)≜E[R(x)]" means E[f(R(x))]\mathbb E[f(R(x))]E[f(R(x))]; "NSM" in Theorem A.1 means USM. The main text's one-line definition of submodularity, read literally, forces monotonicity; the footnote's lattice form is used.
  • Not formalized: the sampling clause of Theorem A.1 (ratio (1/2)−o(1)(1/2) - o(1)(1/2)−o(1) without oracle access to FFF, whose proof the paper refers to Calinescu, Chekuri, Pál and Vondrák) and the running time. The guarantee is stated for the algorithm as printed, so the trivial existence of a 1/21/21/2-approximation by exhaustive search does not satisfy it. A statement in which xnx_nxn​ is an arbitrary point, or the state any process with xi≤yix_i \le y_ixi​≤yi​, would not be this theorem.
  • Contributions welcome: the multilinear-extension facts above as general lemmas, the run invariants, and proofs of the milestones in any order.

Selected references

  • N. Buchbinder, M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, A Tight Linear Time (1/2)-Approximation for Unconstrained Submodular Maximization, FOCS 2012, 649–658. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2012.73 (journal version: SIAM J. Comput. 44(5), 2015, https://doi.org/10.1137/130929205; its numbering differs and is not used here).
  • U. Feige, V. S. Mirrokni, J. Vondrák, Maximizing Non-monotone Submodular Functions, SIAM J. Comput. 40(4), 2011, 1133–1153. https://doi.org/10.1137/090779346
  • S. Oveis Gharan, J. Vondrák, Submodular Maximization by Simulated Annealing, SODA 2011, 1098–1117. https://doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611973082.83
  • M. Feldman, J. Naor, R. Schwartz, Nonmonotone Submodular Maximization via a Structural Continuous Greedy Algorithm, ICALP 2011, 342–353. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-22006-7_29
  • G. Calinescu, C. Chekuri, M. Pál, J. Vondrák, Maximizing a Monotone Submodular Function Subject to a Matroid Constraint, SIAM J. Comput. 40(6), 2011, 1740–1766. https://doi.org/10.1137/080733991
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On the Power of Randomization in On-Line Algorithms 1: α-Competitiveness Against Adaptive On-Line and β Against Oblivious Adversaries Give a Deterministic α∘β-Competitive AlgorithmResearch Paper

Why randomization matters in online algorithms

An online algorithm must answer each request before it sees the next one. Its performance is compared with an optimum that may choose all its answers after seeing the complete request string. Randomization can improve an online algorithm's guarantee when the request string is fixed in advance. The comparison changes when an adversary chooses later requests after seeing the algorithm's earlier answers. Ben-David, Borodin, Karp, Tardos and Wigderson studied these choices of adversary in a common request-answer model and proved a general relation between their competitive guarantees (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript §§2–3).

The paper distinguishes three adversaries. An oblivious adversary fixes the request string before the algorithm's random choices affect any answer. An adaptive off-line adversary chooses the next request from previous answers but serves the resulting request string optimally after the play. An adaptive on-line adversary also chooses its own answer as each request arrives. The ability to react to answers makes the latter two adversaries materially different from the oblivious one for randomized algorithms (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript pp. 7–9).

Request-answer games and competitive cost

A request-answer game has a request set RRR, a finite nonempty answer set AAA, and a real cost fn(r,a)f_n(r,a)fn​(r,a) for a request string r∈Rnr\in R^nr∈Rn and an answer string a∈Ana\in A^na∈An. The off-line optimum for rrr is c(r)=min⁡a∈Anfn(r,a)c(r)=\min_{a\in A^n}f_n(r,a)c(r)=mina∈An​fn​(r,a). A deterministic online algorithm DDD returns its iiith answer from the first iii requests alone; it has no access to the rest of rrr or to the eventual stopping time. Its cost on rrr is cD(r)=fn(r,D(r))c_D(r)=f_n(r,D(r))cD​(r)=fn​(r,D(r)).

A randomized online algorithm is a distribution over deterministic online algorithms. With coins ω\omegaω, write GωG_\omegaGω​ for the resulting deterministic algorithm. For a fixed request string rrr, GGG is β\betaβ-competitive against oblivious adversaries when Eω[cGω(r)]≤β(c(r))\mathbb E_\omega[c_{G_\omega}(r)]\leq\beta(c(r))Eω​[cGω​​(r)]≤β(c(r)). The paper calls a transformation “linear” when it has the affine form x↦ux+vx\mapsto ux+vx↦ux+v (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript p. 7).

An adaptive off-line adversary QQQ has a rule from prior answer strings to either the next request or a stop signal, together with a common finite upper bound on play length. Let r(Gω,Q)r(G_\omega,Q)r(Gω​,Q) denote its request string and cQ(Gω)=c(r(Gω,Q))c_Q(G_\omega)=c(r(G_\omega,Q))cQ​(Gω​)=c(r(Gω​,Q)). Its competitiveness condition places the transformation inside the expectation: Eω[cGω(Q)]≤Eω[α(cQ(Gω))]\mathbb E_\omega[c_{G_\omega}(Q)]\leq\mathbb E_\omega[\alpha(c_Q(G_\omega))]Eω​[cGω​​(Q)]≤Eω​[α(cQ​(Gω​))]. An adaptive on-line adversary SSS has the same request rule and an additional answer rule; its own cost is cS(Gω)c_S(G_\omega)cS​(Gω​), and the corresponding condition uses Eω[α(cS(Gω))]\mathbb E_\omega[\alpha(c_S(G_\omega))]Eω​[α(cS​(Gω​))] on the right (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript pp. 8–9).

Formalization targets

Randomization against adaptive off-line adversaries

The first target is Theorem 2.1: if some randomized algorithm is α\alphaα-competitive against every adaptive off-line adversary, a deterministic algorithm has that same guarantee on every request string:

∃G  ∀Q,E[cG(Q)]≤E[α(cQ(G))]⟹∃D  ∀r,cD(r)≤α(c(r)).\exists G\;\forall Q,\quad \mathbb E[c_G(Q)]\leq\mathbb E[\alpha(c_Q(G))]\quad\Longrightarrow\quad\exists D\;\forall r,\quad c_D(r)\leq\alpha(c(r)).∃G∀Q,E[cG​(Q)]≤E[α(cQ​(G))]⟹∃D∀r,cD​(r)≤α(c(r)).

Composition of two guarantees

Theorem 2.2 takes an α\alphaα guarantee for GGG against adaptive on-line adversaries and a β\betaβ guarantee for another randomized algorithm against oblivious adversaries. It concludes that GGG has the composed guarantee against adaptive off-line adversaries:

E[cG(Q)]≤E[(α∘β)(cQ(G))]for every Q.\mathbb E[c_G(Q)]\leq\mathbb E[(\alpha\circ\beta)(c_Q(G))]\qquad\text{for every }Q.E[cG​(Q)]≤E[(α∘β)(cQ​(G))]for every Q.

The mission goal is Corollary 2.1, the deterministic consequence of these two results:

∃D  ∀r,cD(r)≤(α∘β)(c(r)).\exists D\;\forall r,\qquad c_D(r)\leq(\alpha\circ\beta)(c(r)).∃D∀r,cD​(r)≤(α∘β)(c(r)).

The milestones follow the paper's two theorems and the stated claims in their proofs, including the finite-horizon winning-position formulation and the adversary that simulates a fixed online algorithm (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript pp. 9–13).

What the result supplies

The corollary turns the existence of two randomized guarantees under different information rules into the existence of a deterministic online strategy with an explicit composed cost transformation. It is an existence result: it does not say that the deterministic strategy can be computed efficiently from the randomized algorithms. The paper itself notes that such a construction is unavailable in full generality and then examines settings where constructive versions are possible (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript p. 13).

The mathematical results were proved in the 1994 paper; this mission asks for machine-checked Lean proofs of the abstract model, the intermediate claims, and Corollary 2.1. The local draft currently contains compiled statements with proof placeholders, so it does not yet provide checked proofs. A completed development would make the adversary distinctions and the exact placement of expectations available for reuse in later online-algorithm formalizations.

Why the proof is difficult

The apparent shortcut is to treat an adaptive request sequence as fixed and apply a guarantee against oblivious adversaries directly. That loses the dependence of later requests on the algorithm's earlier answers. For Theorem 2.1, a winning request strategy must have one finite horizon that works for every answer path; separate finite horizons for each branch do not suffice when the answer set is infinite. For Theorem 2.2, the simulated adversary must make its own answers before the algorithm answers the current request, while still matching a fixed online benchmark along every resulting play. The expectation inequalities must remain valid when the request string itself depends on the algorithm's coins (Ben-David et al., 1994, manuscript pp. 9–11).

Formalization scope

Lean represents requests and answers as oldest-first lists. List index zero is request one in the paper. The general game is a separate definition; the algorithm, adversary, and competitiveness definitions build on it. An off-line adversary's rule returns Option R, where none is the stop signal, and has a uniform finite depth bound. A randomized algorithm consists of a coin probability space and a deterministic prefix algorithm for each coin; its answer events are measurable. Finiteness of AAA and bounded play depth make the cost of each fixed adversarial play take finitely many values, so its real expectation is an ordinary integrable expectation.

The formal game uses real-valued costs, a deliberate restriction of the paper's R∪{∞}\mathbb R\cup\{\infty\}R∪{∞} costs. The answer set is finite and nonempty, while the request set may be infinite. The transformations α\alphaα and β\betaβ are affine. Theorem 2.2 and the goal assume α\alphaα is monotone: the paper applies α\alphaα to an inequality in its proof, and its competitive-ratio examples have positive slope. Theorem 2.1 does not need this added assumption. The two randomized algorithms may have different coin spaces, each an arbitrary Lean type at the declaration's universe level. The off-line and on-line adaptive comparisons retain α\alphaα inside the expectation.

The target ranges over every equal-length request and answer play generated by these rules, including an adversary that stops without a request. It does not allow the deterministic algorithm to see future requests or choose a different policy for each adversary. Reusable contributions include the game interface, bounded adaptive plays, measurable randomized algorithms, and finite-horizon winning positions. The statements of all three principal results, their intervening claims, and proofs of those statements are within scope.

Selected references

  • S. Ben-David, A. Borodin, R. Karp, G. Tardos and A. Wigderson, On the Power of Randomization in On-Line Algorithms, Algorithmica 11, 1994. DOI: 10.1007/BF01294260. The local source is the authors' 20-page manuscript; citations above use its page numbers.
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On the Power of Randomization in On-Line Algorithms 2: The Bound α∘β Against Adaptive Off-Line Adversaries Is TightResearch Paper

Motivation

An on-line algorithm must answer each request as it arrives, without knowing the requests to come; paging, caching, the kkk-server problem and metrical task systems are standard examples. Its quality is measured by competitive analysis: its cost is compared with the cost of an optimal off-line solution that knows the whole request sequence. For randomized on-line algorithms the comparison depends on how much the adversary producing the requests is allowed to see. Ben-David, Borodin, Karp, Tardos and Wigderson (Algorithmica 11, 1994; conference version STOC 1990) introduced the three standard adversaries — oblivious, adaptive on-line and adaptive off-line — and related the competitive ratios achievable against each.

Their Theorem 2.2 (manuscript p. 10) shows that if a randomized algorithm is α\alphaα-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries and some randomized algorithm is β\betaβ-competitive against oblivious adversaries, then the first algorithm is αβ\alpha\betaαβ-competitive against adaptive off-line adversaries. This mission formalizes the paper's claim (manuscript p. 11) that this product bound cannot be improved in general, together with the explicit construction on pp. 12–13 that proves it.

Setting

A request-answer game consists of a request set RRR, a finite answer set AAA, and cost functions fn:Rn×An→Rf_n : R^n \times A^n \to \mathbb Rfn​:Rn×An→R. For a request sequence r‾∈Rn\underline r \in R^nr​∈Rn, the off-line optimum is c(r‾)=min⁡a‾∈Anfn(r‾,a‾)c(\underline r) = \min_{\underline a \in A^n} f_n(\underline r, \underline a)c(r​)=mina​∈An​fn​(r​,a​). A deterministic on-line algorithm GGG answers the iii-th request with ai=gi(r1,…,ri)a_i = g_i(r_1, \dots, r_i)ai​=gi​(r1​,…,ri​); a randomized one is a probability distribution over deterministic algorithms GxG_xGx​, xxx being the coin tosses.

An adaptive off-line adversary QQQ chooses each request ri+1=qi(a1,…,ai)r_{i+1} = q_i(a_1, \dots, a_i)ri+1​=qi​(a1​,…,ai​) from the answers given so far, stops after at most dQd_QdQ​ requests, and pays the off-line optimum cQ(G)=c(r‾)c_Q(G) = c(\underline r)cQ​(G)=c(r​) of the requests it made; the algorithm pays cG(Q)=fn(r‾,a‾)c_G(Q) = f_n(\underline r, \underline a)cG​(Q)=fn​(r​,a​). An adaptive on-line adversary SSS must in addition answer each request itself, before the algorithm does, with bi+1=pi(a1,…,ai)b_{i+1} = p_i(a_1, \dots, a_i)bi+1​=pi​(a1​,…,ai​), and pays cS(G)=fn(r‾,b‾)c_S(G) = f_n(\underline r, \underline b)cS​(G)=fn​(r​,b​). An oblivious adversary fixes r‾\underline rr​ in advance and pays c(r‾)c(\underline r)c(r​). A randomized GGG is α\alphaα-competitive against oblivious adversaries if Ex[cGx(r‾)]≤α c(r‾)\mathbb E_x[c_{G_x}(\underline r)] \le \alpha\, c(\underline r)Ex​[cGx​​(r​)]≤αc(r​) for all r‾\underline rr​, and against adaptive on-line adversaries if Ex[cGx(S)]≤Ex[α cS(Gx)]\mathbb E_x[c_{G_x}(S)] \le \mathbb E_x[\alpha\, c_S(G_x)]Ex​[cGx​​(S)]≤Ex​[αcS​(Gx​)] for all SSS.

The construction uses the mates game: R=AR = AR=A is a set of 2t2t2t elements split into ttt pairs of mates, and for n≥2n \ge 2n≥2 the cost depends only on the first answer a1a_1a1​ and the second request r2r_2r2​: it is 111 if a1=r2a_1 = r_2a1​=r2​, MMM if a1a_1a1​ is the mate of r2r_2r2​, and mmm otherwise. The algorithm GGG draws a1a_1a1​ uniformly at random. The parameters solve

β=(2t−2)m+M+12t,α=1+(2t−1)M2+(2t−2)m.\beta = \frac{(2t-2)m + M + 1}{2t}, \qquad \alpha = \frac{1 + (2t-1)M}{2 + (2t-2)m}.β=2t(2t−2)m+M+1​,α=2+(2t−2)m1+(2t−1)M​.

Formalization targets

Goal: tightness of Theorem 2.2

For 1<β≤α1 < \beta \le \alpha1<β≤α (or α=β=1\alpha = \beta = 1α=β=1) and every C<αβC < \alpha\betaC<αβ, there are a game and a randomized algorithm GGG such that

G is α-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries,G is β-competitive against oblivious adversaries,G \text{ is } \alpha\text{-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries}, \qquad G \text{ is } \beta\text{-competitive against oblivious adversaries},G is α-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries,G is β-competitive against oblivious adversaries,

and for every randomized algorithm KKK some adaptive off-line adversary QQQ achieves

E[cQ(K)]>0,E[cK(Q)]≥C⋅E[cQ(K)].\mathbb E[c_Q(K)] > 0, \qquad \mathbb E[c_K(Q)] \ge C\cdot \mathbb E[c_Q(K)].E[cQ​(K)]>0,E[cK​(Q)]≥C⋅E[cQ​(K)].

Milestones (pp. 12–13)

  1. The closed forms m(t)m(t)m(t), M(t)M(t)M(t) are the unique solution of the two equations.
  2. m(t)→βm(t) \to \betam(t)→β and M(t)→αβM(t) \to \alpha\betaM(t)→αβ as t→∞t \to \inftyt→∞.
  3. For all large ttt: M(t)≥max⁡(m(t)2,C)M(t) \ge \max(m(t)^2, C)M(t)≥max(m(t)2,C), 1≤m(t)≤M(t)1 \le m(t) \le M(t)1≤m(t)≤M(t), α(m(t)−1)≤M(t)−m(t)\alpha(m(t)-1) \le M(t) - m(t)α(m(t)−1)≤M(t)−m(t).
  4. GGG is β\betaβ-competitive against oblivious adversaries in the mates game.
  5. GGG is α\alphaα-competitive against adaptive on-line adversaries in the mates game.
  6. An adaptive off-line adversary makes every algorithm pay MMM while paying 111.

Significance

The result. Together with Theorem 2.2, the claim pins down exactly how much the adaptive off-line adversary can gain over the other two: the product αβ\alpha\betaαβ is an upper bound for every game and is approached by a single game for every admissible pair (α,β)(\alpha, \beta)(α,β). It shows that no general argument relating the three adversary models can give a bound better than the product, so any improvement for a specific problem (paging, kkk-server) must use the structure of that problem. The paging example cited on p. 11 (RANDOM against the three adversaries) gives one instance of tightness; the mates game gives tightness for every admissible pair.

Formalizing it. The result is proved in the paper, in about one page, with two steps left to the reader ("by inspection of the equations", "a simple case analysis"). No machine-checked proof of this or of any statement about adaptive adversaries is known to us. The formalization makes the model of §2 precise (sequences, stopping, the order in which adversary and algorithm commit, expectations over coins), checks the asymptotics of the parameters, and verifies the case analysis, which on inspection needs an inequality the page does not state. Two printed formulas on p. 12 contain typos; the formal statements carry the correct values.

Difficulty

The construction is explicit, but each competitiveness claim quantifies over all adversaries, which may adapt their requests to the algorithm's random answers, stop at any time, and (for the on-line adversary) commit to their own answers in advance. The algebra of α\alphaα-competitiveness is tight: the adversary's best expected advantage is exactly zero, so every case of its best reply must be checked with no slack. The page's condition M≥m2M \ge m^2M≥m2 does not suffice for this: when a1a_1a1​ is neither the adversary's first answer nor its mate, the reply "mate of a1a_1a1​" beats the reply "the adversary's own answer" only when α(m−1)≤M−m\alpha(m-1) \le M - mα(m−1)≤M−m, which holds for the solved parameters but is not implied by M≥m2M \ge m^2M≥m2. At β=1<α\beta = 1 < \alphaβ=1<α the solved parameter mmm is below 111 for every ttt, and the oblivious bound fails.

Formalization scope

All declarations live in OnlineRandomization.Tightness. The conventions:

  • Costs are real-valued; the paper allows +∞+\infty+∞, so the game class is a special case.
  • Answer sets are nonempty finite types; request sets are arbitrary types.
  • Sequences are Lean lists, oldest first; cost r a is fnf_nfn​ on lists of equal length nnn.
  • Adversaries return none for "stop" and carry a depth bound dQd_QdQ​; an on-line adversary's answer bi+1b_{i+1}bi+1​ depends only on a1,…,aia_1, \dots, a_ia1​,…,ai​.
  • Randomized algorithms are a probability space of coins with a deterministic algorithm per coin and measurable answers; expectations are Bochner integrals, with α\alphaα applied inside the expectation. In the goal, coin spaces range over Type.
  • Competitiveness uses the ratio functions x↦αxx \mapsto \alpha xx↦αx and x↦βxx \mapsto \beta xx↦βx, with no additive constant.
  • The mates game is on Fin t × Bool, with mate (i,b)↦(i,¬b)(i, b) \mapsto (i, \lnot b)(i,b)↦(i,¬b). The paper leaves the costs of plays with fewer than two requests undefined; the formalization sets f0=0f_0 = 0f0​=0 and f1≡1f_1 \equiv 1f1​≡1 (with f1≡0f_1 \equiv 0f1​≡0 the algorithm would not be α\alphaα-competitive).
  • Range. The goal assumes 1<β≤α1 < \beta \le \alpha1<β≤α or α=β=1\alpha = \beta = 1α=β=1; the page's case β=1<α\beta = 1 < \alphaβ=1<α is not covered by its construction and is left out. In fact the claim is false there for 1<C<α1 < C < \alpha1<C<α: an algorithm that is 111-competitive against oblivious adversaries answers optimally, almost surely, on every request sequence (its cost is never below the optimum and its expected cost does not exceed it), and an adaptive off-line adversary reaches only finitely many request sequences, so against K=GK = GK=G every adversary has E[cG(Q)]=E[cQ(G)]\mathbb E[c_G(Q)] = \mathbb E[c_Q(G)]E[cG​(Q)]=E[cQ​(G)], a ratio of 1<C1 < C1<C.

The positivity requirement E[cQ(K)]>0\mathbb E[c_Q(K)] > 0E[cQ​(K)]>0 in the goal is essential: without it the adversary that asks nothing satisfies E[cK(Q)]≥C⋅0\mathbb E[c_K(Q)] \ge C \cdot 0E[cK​(Q)]≥C⋅0 for every KKK, and the third clause would hold vacuously.

A complete development needs: finite expectations over a uniform coin, the evaluation of the play of an adversary against a constant algorithm, and limit and eventual-inequality arguments for rational functions of ttt. The model of §2 is shared with the other missions of this series and is reusable for any request-answer formulation of an on-line problem. Proofs of individual milestones are welcome.

Selected references

  • S. Ben-David, A. Borodin, R. Karp, G. Tardos, A. Wigderson, On the power of randomization in on-line algorithms, Algorithmica 11 (1994) 2–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01294260 (cited from the authors' manuscript, manuscript pp. 7–13).
  • A. Borodin, R. El-Yaniv, Online Computation and Competitive Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 1998. ISBN 0-521-56392-5.
  • P. Raghavan, M. Snir, Memory versus randomization in on-line algorithms, IBM Journal of Research and Development 38 (1994) 683–707. https://doi.org/10.1147/rd.386.0683
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Machine LearningOptimizationProbability·Captain: mikedeng1

Gradient Convergence in Gradient Methods with Errors II: With Zero-Mean Stochastic Errors, Almost Surely Either f(x_t) → −∞ or f(x_t) Converges and ∇f(x_t) → 0Research Paper

Motivation

Stochastic gradient methods minimize a function fff when only noisy estimates of its gradient are available: each step moves along a descent direction corrupted by random noise. They are the standard training algorithm for neural networks and the basic tool of stochastic approximation, and the question every user faces is what can be guaranteed when fff is nonconvex, possibly unbounded below, and the noise is allowed to grow with the gradient.

D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Gradient Convergence in Gradient Methods with Errors, SIAM J. Optim. 10(3):627–642, 2000 (DOI), answer this under minimal assumptions. Noise with variance growing in ∥∇f(xt)∥\|\nabla f(x_t)\|∥∇f(xt​)∥ had been handled for related methods (Poljak and Tsypkin 1973), but typically together with a lower bound on fff, under which f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) is approximately a supermartingale and the supermartingale convergence theorem applies (see the monographs of Kushner and Clark 1978; Benveniste, Métivier and Priouret 1990; Kushner and Yin 1996). Section 4 of the paper (p. 635) removes the lower bound: it proves that, with probability 1, either f(xt)→−∞f(x_t)\to-\inftyf(xt​)→−∞ or f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) converges and ∇f(xt)→0\nabla f(x_t)\to 0∇f(xt​)→0, without assuming bounded iterates. Section 5 shows that the randomized incremental gradient method for a finite-sum objective is a special case. This mission formalizes Section 4 and the Section 5 application. A companion mission covers the deterministic counterpart (Proposition 1 of the same paper).

Setting

Let f:Rn→Rf:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb Rf:Rn→R be continuously differentiable with a Lipschitz gradient: there is L≥0L\ge 0L≥0 with

∥∇f(x)−∇f(xˉ)∥≤L∥x−xˉ∥∀x,xˉ.(2.1)\|\nabla f(x)-\nabla f(\bar x)\|\le L\|x-\bar x\|\qquad\forall x,\bar x. \tag{2.1}∥∇f(x)−∇f(xˉ)∥≤L∥x−xˉ∥∀x,xˉ.(2.1)

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal F,P)(Ω,F,P) be a probability space and F0⊆F1⊆⋯\mathcal F_0\subseteq\mathcal F_1\subseteq\cdotsF0​⊆F1​⊆⋯ an increasing sequence of σ\sigmaσ-fields (a filtration; Ft\mathcal F_tFt​ is the history of the algorithm just before the noise wtw_twt​ is drawn). The stochastic gradient method generates random vectors by

xt+1=xt+γt(st+wt),x_{t+1}=x_t+\gamma_t(s_t+w_t),xt+1​=xt​+γt​(st​+wt​),

where γt>0\gamma_t>0γt​>0 is a deterministic stepsize, sts_tst​ is a descent direction and wtw_twt​ is a noise term. The assumptions of Proposition 3 are:

  • (a) xtx_txt​ and sts_tst​ are Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable;
  • (b) there are c1,c2>0c_1,c_2>0c1​,c2​>0 with c1∥∇f(xt)∥2≤−∇f(xt)′stc_1\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2\le-\nabla f(x_t)'s_tc1​∥∇f(xt​)∥2≤−∇f(xt​)′st​ and ∥st∥≤c2(1+∥∇f(xt)∥)\|s_t\|\le c_2(1+\|\nabla f(x_t)\|)∥st​∥≤c2​(1+∥∇f(xt​)∥) for all ttt; (4.1)
  • (c) for all ttt, with probability 1, E[wt∣Ft]=0E[w_t\mid\mathcal F_t]=0E[wt​∣Ft​]=0 (4.2) and E[∥wt∥2∣Ft]≤A(1+∥∇f(xt)∥2)E[\|w_t\|^2\mid\mathcal F_t]\le A(1+\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2)E[∥wt​∥2∣Ft​]≤A(1+∥∇f(xt​)∥2) (4.3), with A>0A>0A>0 deterministic;
  • (d) ∑tγt=∞\sum_t\gamma_t=\infty∑t​γt​=∞ and ∑tγt2<∞\sum_t\gamma_t^2<\infty∑t​γt2​<∞.

The noise variance in (c) may grow quadratically with ∥∇f(xt)∥\|\nabla f(x_t)\|∥∇f(xt​)∥ and is therefore unbounded in general. A point xˉ\bar xxˉ is stationary if ∇f(xˉ)=0\nabla f(\bar x)=0∇f(xˉ)=0.

Formalization targets

Goal: Proposition 3 (p. 635)

Under (2.1) and (a)–(d), with probability 1,

f(xt)→−∞or(f(xt)→ℓ∈R  and  ∇f(xt)→0),f(x_t)\to-\infty\quad\text{or}\quad\Bigl(f(x_t)\to\ell\in\mathbb R\ \text{ and }\ \nabla f(x_t)\to 0\Bigr),f(xt​)→−∞or(f(xt​)→ℓ∈R  and  ∇f(xt​)→0),

and every limit point of (xt)(x_t)(xt​) is a stationary point of fff. The dichotomy is per sample path: different paths may take different branches.

Milestones

  1. (4.4), p. 636. The pathwise one-step inequality: if γ 2Lc22≤c1/2\gamma\,2Lc_2^2\le c_1/2γ2Lc22​≤c1​/2 and sss satisfies (4.1) at xxx, then for every www,
f(x+γ(s+w))≤f(x)−γc12∥∇f(x)∥2+γ∇f(x)′w+γ22Lc22+γ2L∥w∥2.f(x+\gamma(s+w))\le f(x)-\gamma\tfrac{c_1}{2}\|\nabla f(x)\|^2+\gamma\nabla f(x)'w+\gamma^2 2Lc_2^2+\gamma^2L\|w\|^2.f(x+γ(s+w))≤f(x)−γ2c1​​∥∇f(x)∥2+γ∇f(x)′w+γ22Lc22​+γ2L∥w∥2.
  1. Lemma 2, p. 637. If rtr_trt​ is Ft+1\mathcal F_{t+1}Ft+1​-measurable with E[rt∣Ft]=0E[r_t\mid\mathcal F_t]=0E[rt​∣Ft​]=0, E[∥rt∥2∣Ft]≤BE[\|r_t\|^2\mid\mathcal F_t]\le BE[∥rt​∥2∣Ft​]≤B and ∑γt2<∞\sum\gamma_t^2<\infty∑γt2​<∞, then ∑t≤Tγtrt\sum_{t\le T}\gamma_tr_t∑t≤T​γt​rt​ and ∑t≤Tγt2∥rt∥2\sum_{t\le T}\gamma_t^2\|r_t\|^2∑t≤T​γt2​∥rt​∥2 converge almost surely.
  2. Lemma 6, p. 640. For every δ>0\delta>0δ>0, almost surely f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) converges to a finite value or to −∞-\infty−∞, and if the limit is not −∞-\infty−∞ then lim sup⁡t∥∇f(xt)∥≤δ\limsup_t\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\le\deltalimsupt​∥∇f(xt​)∥≤δ.

Further result: §5, pp. 641–642

For f=1m∑ifif=\frac1m\sum_i f_if=m1​∑i​fi​ with Lipschitz gradients ∇fi\nabla f_i∇fi​ satisfying ∥∇fi(x)∥≤C+D∥∇f(x)∥\|\nabla f_i(x)\|\le C+D\|\nabla f(x)\|∥∇fi​(x)∥≤C+D∥∇f(x)∥ (5.2), the randomized incremental gradient method xt+1=xt−γt∇fk(t)(xt)x_{t+1}=x_t-\gamma_t\nabla f_{k(t)}(x_t)xt+1​=xt​−γt​∇fk(t)​(xt​), with independent uniform indices k(t)k(t)k(t), satisfies the conclusion of Proposition 3.

Significance

Proposition 3 is a convergence guarantee for stochastic gradient descent on smooth nonconvex objectives that needs neither a lower bound on fff, nor bounded iterates, nor bounded noise variance. It contains, as special cases, stochastic gradient descent with unbiased gradient estimates whose variance grows with the gradient, the randomized incremental (single-sample) gradient method for finite sums of Section 5, and scaled or approximate gradient directions through condition (4.1). Its conclusion is the strongest one available at this generality: if f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) stays bounded below along a path, then the gradient vanishes along that path and every limit point is stationary.

The result is proved in the paper; to our knowledge it has not been machine-checked. Its formalization requires a working theory of generalized conditional expectations of non-integrable noise, square-integrable martingales in Rn\mathbb R^nRn and pathwise arguments over random interval partitions, which is reusable for other stochastic approximation results (Robbins–Monro type schemes, TD-learning, stochastic subgradient methods).

Difficulty

The natural first idea is to view f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) as a supermartingale up to summable errors and apply the supermartingale convergence theorem (Robbins–Siegmund). This fails here: the theorem needs f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​) bounded below, and fff is not assumed bounded below; in addition the noise term γt2L∥wt∥2\gamma_t^2L\|w_t\|^2γt2​L∥wt​∥2 in (4.4) has conditional mean of order γt2∥∇f(xt)∥2\gamma_t^2\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2γt2​∥∇f(xt​)∥2, which is not summable when the gradient is unbounded. Any argument must therefore extract a decrease of fff that dominates noise of the same order as the gradient itself, without a lower bound to anchor a supermartingale, and must do so along every sample path while the hypotheses are only conditional-expectation statements about non-integrable noise.

Formalization scope

  • Rn\mathbb R^nRn is EuclideanSpace ℝ (Fin n), ∇f\nabla f∇f is Mathlib's gradient f, fff is ContDiff ℝ 1, and the Lipschitz constant is L : ℝ≥0 with LipschitzWith L (gradient f) (the standing assumption (2.1), equivalent to the page's form).
  • The probability space is a Measure Ω with IsProbabilityMeasure, the σ\sigmaσ-fields are a Mathlib Filtration ℕ, and measurability in (a) is StronglyMeasurable[ℱ t]. The recursion and (4.1) hold on every sample path. Stepsizes are deterministic.
  • Conditional expectations of the noise. The page assumes no integrability of wtw_twt​, of ∥wt∥2\|w_t\|^2∥wt​∥2 or of f(xt)f(x_t)f(xt​), and none is added. Mathlib's condExp is 000 for non-integrable functions, so stating (4.2)–(4.3) with it would make them hold vacuously for any non-integrable noise; that encoding is ruled out. Instead (4.3) says that for every Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable set SSS, ∫S∥wt∥2 dP≤∫SA(1+∥∇f(xt)∥2) dP\int_S\|w_t\|^2\,dP\le\int_S A(1+\|\nabla f(x_t)\|^2)\,dP∫S​∥wt​∥2dP≤∫S​A(1+∥∇f(xt​)∥2)dP (in [0,∞][0,\infty][0,∞]), and (4.2) says that ∫Swt dP=0\int_S w_t\,dP=0∫S​wt​dP=0 for every Ft\mathcal F_tFt​-measurable SSS on which wtw_twt​ is integrable. These are exactly the generalized conditional-expectation statements of the page.
  • In Lemma 2 the bound BBB is a constant, so Mathlib's condExp is used there, with integrability of ∥rt∥2\|r_t\|^2∥rt​∥2 stated explicitly; the page's hypothesis implies it. Lemma 2 is stated over any finite-dimensional real inner-product space, since the paper applies it to real and to vector-valued sequences.
  • ∑γt=∞\sum\gamma_t=\infty∑γt​=∞ is divergence of the partial sums; ∑γt2<∞\sum\gamma_t^2<\infty∑γt2​<∞ is Summable. Convergent random series (Lemma 2) are convergence of partial sums, not Summable, which would mean unconditional convergence. "lim sup⁡∥∇f(xt)∥≤δ\limsup\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\le\deltalimsup∥∇f(xt​)∥≤δ" is "for every δ′>δ\delta'>\deltaδ′>δ, eventually ∥∇f(xt)∥≤δ′\|\nabla f(x_t)\|\le\delta'∥∇f(xt​)∥≤δ′". Limit points are MapClusterPt.
  • In the §5 result the page's references to "section 4" and "(4.1)" are read as section 3 and condition (3.1), the indices k(t)k(t)k(t) run from t=0t=0t=0, x0x_0x0​ is deterministic, and the stepsizes are nonnegative as on the page.
  • Not stated: Lemma 3 (it needs the random interval construction of p. 636 as a definition), Lemmas 4–5 (steps that depend on the proof's own choice of ϵ\epsilonϵ), and the Remarks of §4.

Contributions welcome: a proof of Lemma 2 from Mathlib's martingale convergence theorems (Submartingale.exists_ae_tendsto_of_bdd), a proof of (4.4) from the descent lemma, a general bridge between the set-integral encoding of conditional expectations and Mathlib's condExp on localizing sets, and the interval construction behind Lemmas 3–6.

Selected references

  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Gradient Convergence in Gradient Methods with Errors, SIAM J. Optim. 10(3):627–642, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1137/S1052623497331063
  • B. T. Poljak and Y. Z. Tsypkin, Pseudogradient adaptation and training algorithms, Automat. Remote Control 12 (1973), 83–94.
  • H. J. Kushner and D. S. Clark, Stochastic Approximation Methods for Constrained and Unconstrained Systems, Springer, 1978.
  • H. J. Kushner and G. Yin, Stochastic Approximation Methods, Springer, 1996 (as cited in the paper).
  • A. Benveniste, M. Métivier and P. Priouret, Adaptive Algorithms and Stochastic Approximations, Springer, 1990.
  • D. P. Bertsekas and J. N. Tsitsiklis, Neuro-Dynamic Programming, Athena Scientific, 1996.
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Machine LearningMarkov ChainReinforcement Learning·Captain: mikedeng1

Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction VII: The Error Reduction Property of n-step ReturnsTextbook

Motivation

Temporal-difference (TD) learning estimates the value of a policy by moving a current estimate toward a target built from observed rewards and from the estimate itself. Chapter 7 of Sutton and Barto's Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction (2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018) interpolates between the two extreme targets of the preceding chapters: the one-step TD target, which uses one reward and then bootstraps, and the Monte Carlo target, which uses every reward until the end of the episode. The intermediate target, the nnn-step return, uses nnn rewards and then bootstraps from the current estimate. The family underlies nnn-step TD, nnn-step Sarsa, the off-policy per-decision methods and the tree-backup algorithm, and it is the introduction to eligibility traces (Chapter 12).

The book justifies the whole family with one inequality, the error reduction property (7.3), p. 144: the expected nnn-step return is closer to the true value than the estimate it bootstraps from, by a factor γn\gamma^nγn in the worst state. It is the reason given for calling nnn-step TD methods "sound". The same chapter states, mostly as exercises without solutions, a series of exact identities that rewrite each kind of nnn-step return as a sum of one-step TD errors.

Setting

A finite Markov decision process has finite state and action sets S\mathcal SS, A\mathcal AA, a finite reward set R⊂R\mathcal R \subset \mathbb RR⊂R, and dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), the probability of next state s′s's′ and reward rrr after action aaa in state sss (Eqs. (3.2)–(3.3)). A policy π(a∣s)\pi(a \mid s)π(a∣s) is a probability distribution over actions for each state. Following π\piπ from St=sS_t = sSt​=s produces a random trajectory At,Rt+1,St+1,At+1,Rt+2,…A_t, R_{t+1}, S_{t+1}, A_{t+1}, R_{t+2}, \dotsAt​,Rt+1​,St+1​,At+1​,Rt+2​,… For a discount factor 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1 the state-value function is the expected discounted return (3.12),

vπ(s)=Eπ[∑k=0∞γkRt+k+1 ∣ St=s].v_\pi(s) = \mathbb E_\pi\Big[\sum_{k=0}^{\infty} \gamma^k R_{t+k+1} \,\Big|\, S_t = s\Big].vπ​(s)=Eπ​[k=0∑∞​γkRt+k+1​​St​=s].

Given any function V:S→RV : \mathcal S \to \mathbb RV:S→R (an estimate of vπv_\pivπ​), the nnn-step return (7.1) is

Gt:t+n=Rt+1+γRt+2+⋯+γn−1Rt+n+γnV(St+n).G_{t:t+n} = R_{t+1} + \gamma R_{t+2} + \cdots + \gamma^{n-1} R_{t+n} + \gamma^n V(S_{t+n}).Gt:t+n​=Rt+1​+γRt+2​+⋯+γn−1Rt+n​+γnV(St+n​).

In an episode that terminates at time TTT it is replaced by the complete return GtG_tGt​ when t+n≥Tt + n \ge Tt+n≥T. The TD error (6.5) is δk=Rk+1+γV(Sk+1)−V(Sk)\delta_k = R_{k+1} + \gamma V(S_{k+1}) - V(S_k)δk​=Rk+1​+γV(Sk+1​)−V(Sk​). Off-policy variants use a behavior policy bbb that generates the data, the per-decision ratio ρt=π(At∣St)/b(At∣St)\rho_t = \pi(A_t \mid S_t)/b(A_t \mid S_t)ρt​=π(At​∣St​)/b(At​∣St​), and the return with control variate (7.13), Gt:h=ρt(Rt+1+γGt+1:h)+(1−ρt)V(St)G_{t:h} = \rho_t(R_{t+1} + \gamma G_{t+1:h}) + (1-\rho_t) V(S_t)Gt:h​=ρt​(Rt+1​+γGt+1:h​)+(1−ρt​)V(St​), Gh:h=V(Sh)G_{h:h} = V(S_h)Gh:h​=V(Sh​). The tree-backup return (7.15)–(7.16) uses action values QQQ and the expected approximate value Vˉ(s)=∑aπ(a∣s)Q(s,a)\bar V(s) = \sum_a \pi(a \mid s) Q(s, a)Vˉ(s)=∑a​π(a∣s)Q(s,a) (7.8).

Formalization targets

Goal: the error reduction property (7.3)

For a finite MDP, a policy π\piπ, 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1, any V:S→RV : \mathcal S \to \mathbb RV:S→R and every n≥1n \ge 1n≥1,

max⁡s∣Eπ[Gt:t+n∣St=s]−vπ(s)∣≤γnmax⁡s∣V(s)−vπ(s)∣.\max_s \big|\mathbb E_\pi[G_{t:t+n} \mid S_t = s] - v_\pi(s)\big| \le \gamma^n \max_s \big|V(s) - v_\pi(s)\big|.smax​​Eπ​[Gt:t+n​∣St​=s]−vπ​(s)​≤γnsmax​​V(s)−vπ​(s)​.

Milestones, in the book's order

  1. Exercise 7.1, p. 143: with VVV fixed and V(ST)=0V(S_T) = 0V(ST​)=0, Gt:t+n−V(St)=∑k=tmin⁡(t+n,T)−1γk−tδkG_{t:t+n} - V(S_t) = \sum_{k=t}^{\min(t+n,T)-1} \gamma^{k-t}\delta_kGt:t+n​−V(St​)=∑k=tmin(t+n,T)−1​γk−tδk​.
  2. Exercise 7.4, Eq. (7.6), p. 148: the nnn-step Sarsa return equals Qt−1(St,At)+∑k=tmin⁡(t+n,T)−1γk−t[Rk+1+γQk(Sk+1,Ak+1)−Qk−1(Sk,Ak)]Q_{t-1}(S_t, A_t) + \sum_{k=t}^{\min(t+n,T)-1} \gamma^{k-t}[R_{k+1} + \gamma Q_k(S_{k+1}, A_{k+1}) - Q_{k-1}(S_k, A_k)]Qt−1​(St​,At​)+∑k=tmin(t+n,T)−1​γk−t[Rk+1​+γQk​(Sk+1​,Ak+1​)−Qk−1​(Sk​,Ak​)], with estimates changing from step to step.
  3. Eq. (7.12), p. 150: Gt:h=Rt+1+γGt+1:hG_{t:h} = R_{t+1} + \gamma G_{t+1:h}Gt:h​=Rt+1​+γGt+1:h​ for t<h<Tt < h < Tt<h<T, Gh:h=V(Sh)G_{h:h} = V(S_h)Gh:h​=V(Sh​).
  4. Exercise 7.6, p. 151, for (7.13): under coverage, Eb\mathbb E_bEb​ of the control-variate return equals Eb\mathbb E_bEb​ of the same return without the control variate, and both equal Eπ[Gt:t+n∣St=s]\mathbb E_\pi[G_{t:t+n} \mid S_t = s]Eπ​[Gt:t+n​∣St​=s].
  5. Exercise 7.8, p. 151: Gt:h−V(St)=∑k=th−1γk−t(∏i=tkρi)δkG_{t:h} - V(S_t) = \sum_{k=t}^{h-1} \gamma^{k-t} \big(\prod_{i=t}^{k}\rho_i\big) \delta_kGt:h​−V(St​)=∑k=th−1​γk−t(∏i=tk​ρi​)δk​ for the return (7.13).
  6. Exercise 7.11, p. 153: the tree-backup return equals Q(St,At)+∑k=tmin⁡(t+n−1,T−1)δk∏i=t+1kγπ(Ai∣Si)Q(S_t, A_t) + \sum_{k=t}^{\min(t+n-1,T-1)} \delta_k \prod_{i=t+1}^{k} \gamma\pi(A_i \mid S_i)Q(St​,At​)+∑k=tmin(t+n−1,T−1)​δk​∏i=t+1k​γπ(Ai​∣Si​) with the expectation-based TD error δk=Rk+1+γVˉ(Sk+1)−Q(Sk,Ak)\delta_k = R_{k+1} + \gamma\bar V(S_{k+1}) - Q(S_k, A_k)δk​=Rk+1​+γVˉ(Sk+1​)−Q(Sk​,Ak​).

Significance

The result. The error reduction property makes the expected nnn-step target a γn\gamma^nγn-contraction toward vπv_\pivπ​ in the sup norm, uniformly over the estimate it starts from. It is the one-line reason the book offers for the soundness of every nnn-step TD method, and the same contraction is what the λ\lambdaλ-return of Chapter 12 averages over nnn. The TD-error identities are the algebra behind implementations that accumulate TD errors instead of storing returns, and behind the forward/backward-view equivalences of Chapter 12. Exercise 7.6 is the unbiasedness of the control-variate return, which is what allows (7.13) to replace plain importance weighting without changing the expected update.

Formalizing it. All results are elementary and well known, but the book gives no proofs: (7.3) is asserted, and the identities are exercises without published solutions. None is formalized on Prove2Me. The mission produces machine-checked versions with every hypothesis explicit (discounting, the fixed estimate, terminal values, coverage), and a trajectory-level expectation for finite MDPs that other chapters of the series can reuse.

Difficulty

The obvious proof of (7.3) is a matrix computation: Eπ[Gt:t+n∣St=s]−vπ(s)=γn(Pπn(V−vπ))(s)\mathbb E_\pi[G_{t:t+n} \mid S_t = s] - v_\pi(s) = \gamma^n (P_\pi^n (V - v_\pi))(s)Eπ​[Gt:t+n​∣St​=s]−vπ​(s)=γn(Pπn​(V−vπ​))(s), and a stochastic matrix does not increase the sup norm. The difficulty lies in the step before it. The left side is an expectation over trajectories, and vπv_\pivπ​ is an infinite discounted series; neither is a matrix power by definition. Connecting them requires a Chapman–Kolmogorov identity for the finite-trajectory distribution induced by π\piπ and p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a), the splitting of vπv_\pivπ​ at time nnn, and summability of the discounted series. Defining the expected nnn-step return as the matrix expression would reduce the goal to the last line and remove its content; that shortcut is ruled out below.

The TD-error identities are telescoping sums, but each has its own boundary: termination inside the nnn steps, the convention that terminal states have value zero, the index Q−1Q_{-1}Q−1​ at t=0t = 0t=0 in (7.6), the special case GT−1:t+n=RTG_{T-1:t+n} = R_TGT−1:t+n​=RT​ of the tree backup, and ratios with vanishing denominators in (7.13).

Formalization scope

  • Model. The finite MDP, policies and vπv_\pivπ​ follow the series conventions: dynamics p(s′,r∣s,a)p(s', r \mid s, a)p(s′,r∣s,a) over a finite reward set, one action set for all states, vπ(s)=∑kγk(Pπkrπ)(s)v_\pi(s) = \sum_k \gamma^k (P_\pi^k r_\pi)(s)vπ​(s)=∑k​γk(Pπk​rπ​)(s) computed from expected rewards and never defined as a Bellman solution.
  • Expectations are over trajectories. Eπ[ ⋅∣St=s]\mathbb E_\pi[\,\cdot \mid S_t = s]Eπ​[⋅∣St​=s] is the finite sum over nnn-step segments (At+k,St+k+1,Rt+k+1)k<n(A_{t+k}, S_{t+k+1}, R_{t+k+1})_{k<n}(At+k​,St+k+1​,Rt+k+1​)k<n​ weighted by ∏kπ(At+k∣St+k) p(St+k+1,Rt+k+1∣St+k,At+k)\prod_k \pi(A_{t+k}\mid S_{t+k})\,p(S_{t+k+1}, R_{t+k+1}\mid S_{t+k}, A_{t+k})∏k​π(At+k​∣St+k​)p(St+k+1​,Rt+k+1​∣St+k​,At+k​). The expected nnn-step return is not defined as ∑k<nγkPπkrπ+γnPπnV\sum_{k<n}\gamma^k P_\pi^k r_\pi + \gamma^n P_\pi^n V∑k<n​γkPπk​rπ​+γnPπn​V, which would make the goal a two-line matrix inequality.
  • The estimate is fixed. In the algorithm, Vt+n−1V_{t+n-1}Vt+n−1​ is the current random estimate. Every statement takes a fixed function VVV (or QQQ), which is the book's own reading ("if the value estimates don't change"). The only exception is Exercise 7.4, whose estimates QkQ_kQk​ are indexed by time k∈Zk \in \mathbb Zk∈Z exactly as in (7.6).
  • Discounting. The goal assumes 0≤γ<10 \le \gamma < 10≤γ<1 and takes the maximum over all states. Episodic tasks enter through absorbing zero-reward terminal states. The undiscounted episodic case γ=1\gamma = 1γ=1 is not stated.
  • Episodes. Sample-path identities use sequences Sk,Ak,RkS_k, A_k, R_kSk​,Ak​,Rk​ and a termination time TTT. The book's convention that terminal states have value 000 is a hypothesis (V(ST)=0V(S_T) = 0V(ST​)=0, Q(ST,⋅)=0Q(S_T, \cdot) = 0Q(ST​,⋅)=0).
  • Exercise 7.6 is stated for the state-value return (7.13) of p. 150, although the exercise follows the action-value return (7.14). Its conclusion includes, besides the literal "does not change the expected value", equality with the on-policy expected return, the property the book states on p. 150. Coverage (π(a∣s)>0⇒b(a∣s)>0\pi(a\mid s) > 0 \Rightarrow b(a\mid s) > 0π(a∣s)>0⇒b(a∣s)>0) is assumed.
  • Not stated. The convergence of nnn-step TD methods "under appropriate technical conditions" (p. 144), and the programming exercises.

Needed infrastructure: finite sums over function types, Chapman–Kolmogorov for the segment distribution, summability of ∑kγkPπkrπ\sum_k \gamma^k P_\pi^k r_\pi∑k​γkPπk​rπ​. The trajectory layer is reusable for the importance-sampling and eligibility-trace chapters. Alternative proofs of the goal, and proofs of the undiscounted episodic version as a separate theorem, are welcome.

Selected references

  • R. S. Sutton and A. G. Barto, Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction, 2nd ed., MIT Press, 2018, ISBN 9780262039246, Chapter 7, pp. 141–158. http://incompleteideas.net/book/the-book-2nd.html
  • C. J. C. H. Watkins, Learning from Delayed Rewards, PhD thesis, University of Cambridge, 1989 (the nnn-step return and its error reduction property, as credited on p. 158 of the book). https://www.cs.rhul.ac.uk/~chrisw/new_thesis.pdf
  • D. Precup, R. S. Sutton and S. Singh, Eligibility traces for off-policy policy evaluation, Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2000, pp. 759–766 (the tree-backup algorithm, as credited on p. 158 of the book; no DOI).
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