I-Divergence Geometry of Probability Distributions and Minimization Problems 2: Under Moment Constraints the I-Projection Exists at Every Interior Point and Has Exponential-Family DensityResearch Paper
Minimum discrimination information under moment constraints
Given a reference probability distribution and a set of probability distributions, the minimum discrimination information problem asks for the member of closest to in Kullback–Leibler divergence. It is the basis of Kullback's information-theoretic approach to statistics (Kullback 1959), of the maximum-entropy principle of statistical physics (Jaynes 1957), and of large-deviation theory, where Sanov's theorem identifies the rate function of an empirical distribution with exactly this minimum. The most common constraint sets are defined by prescribed expectations , and the classical answer is that the minimizer is an exponential family member, with density with respect to .
That answer was usually justified by Lagrange multipliers, which presuppose that a minimizer exists. Csiszár's paper (Ann. Probab. 1975) treats the problem geometrically, with I-divergence in the role of squared Euclidean distance, and its last result, Theorem 3.3, proves existence and the exponential form at once for unbounded constraint functions, under a hypothesis on the exponential moments of the .
Timeline:
- 1959: Kullback formulates the minimum discrimination information theorem: an element of of exponential form is the minimizer (a sufficient condition).
- 1966: Kullback and Khairat (Ann. Math. Statist. 37, 1966) refine the sufficient condition.
- 1972: Čencov proves existence of exponential-form minimizers under general conditions (Statistical Decision Rules and Optimal Inference, Theorem 23.1).
- 1975: Csiszár proves Theorem 3.3 by the minimizing-sequence method of his Theorem 2.1; a first version of the paper assumed , weakened to " open" after Čencov's work.
Setting
All distributions (PD's) live on one measurable space . The I-divergence of from is
where is the density of with respect to ; it takes values in and vanishes only for . The variation distance is for any PD dominating both. If is a convex set of PD's containing some with , a with
is the I-projection of on .
Fix real-valued measurable functions on . For (Euclidean -space) the moment set is the set of PD's with , . Further:
- is the set of for which contains some with ;
- , (3.16);
- , (3.18), the optimal value as a function of the constraint levels.
Formalization targets
Goal: Theorem 3.3
If is open in , then for every point of the interior of the I-projection of on exists and
for some constant and some .
Milestones
- (2.2), the parallelogram identity: .
- (2.4): a minimizing sequence in a convex set converges in variation to a PD (closedness of the set is not used).
- Lemma 3.1: if is -integrable for small , then implies .
- (3.18): is convex and is finite and convex on .
- (3.19): at an interior point of there is with for all .
- Remark, p. 158: is differentiable at interior points of , and , the parameter vector of the I-projection.
Significance
Theorem 3.3 gives existence of maximum-entropy (minimum discrimination information) distributions under finitely many moment constraints with unbounded constraint functions, which covers the usual exponential families of statistics (normal, gamma, Poisson moment constraints) where boundedness fails. It identifies the minimizer's form without assuming a minimizer exists, and the Remark identifies the natural parameters as the gradient of the optimal value, the sensitivity interpretation of Lagrange multipliers. These facts underlie the duality between moment and natural parameters of exponential families and the rate functions of Cramér and Sanov type.
The result is proved, in this paper and (under a slightly weaker hypothesis) by Čencov. None of it is formalized: Mathlib has the Kullback–Leibler divergence of measures (InformationTheory.klDiv) and tilted measures, but no I-projection, no existence theorem for constrained minimizers of KL divergence and no exponential-form characterization. The mission produces a machine-checked version of the existence and form theorem, together with the general steps it uses (the parallelogram identity, convergence of minimizing sequences in variation, continuity of exponential-moment expectations under KL convergence).
Difficulty
The obvious argument fails at the first step: the moment set is convex but not closed in variation when the are unbounded, since is not continuous in variation. A minimizing sequence therefore converges in variation to some (as in Theorem 2.1), but nothing places in : mass can escape to where is large. Ruling this out needs quantitative control of , which in turn requires knowing the form of before knowing is feasible; the interplay with the convexity of and the openness of is where the work lies. A Lagrange-multiplier argument is not available: it presupposes a minimizer and differentiability that are part of the conclusion.
Formalization scope
- Probability distributions are
Measure XwithIsProbabilityMeasure; the I-divergence is Mathlib'sklDiv : ℝ≥0∞, which for probability measures equals (1.1) with the conventions , , . - The variation distance uses as dominating measure (the page allows any dominating PD; the value is the same).
- The I-projection carries explicitly: the page defines it only when meets .
- requires -integrability of every , so the constraint integrals are genuine. is
Fin k → ℝwith its product (Euclidean) topology; "inner point" is the topological interior. is allowed. - is an infimum in (equal to outside ); statements use its real value only on , where it is finite. (3.18) prints ; the reference measure is , as the definition of and the proof show. (3.16) prints for .
- Densities are Radon–Nikodym derivatives and the form (3.2) is an -almost-everywhere identity with no exceptional set of positive measure.
- Lemma 3.1 asserts that is -integrable for large as well as the convergence, so that is not a default value.
- Trivializing readings are excluded: the goal asserts existence of the I-projection rather than assuming it, is an integrability set (not a set where a junk integral is finite), and the infimum is never a real
sInfover a possibly empty set.
A complete development needs: Radon–Nikodym calculus for klDiv (the identity (2.6) ), Pinsker's inequality (available on the platform as a reference item), lower semicontinuity of klDiv under convergence in variation, completeness of the space of PD's in variation, and supporting hyperplanes of finite-dimensional convex functions. The KL parallelogram identity, Lemma 3.1 and the variation-distance facts are reusable well beyond this mission. Contributions on any milestone, and on these infrastructure lemmas, are welcome.
Selected references
- I. Csiszár, I-divergence geometry of probability distributions and minimization problems, Ann. Probab. 3(1), 146–158, 1975. https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1176996454
- S. Kullback, Information Theory and Statistics, Wiley, 1959.
- S. Kullback and M. A. Khairat, A note on minimum discrimination information, Ann. Math. Statist. 37, 279–280, 1966.
- E. T. Jaynes, Information theory and statistical mechanics, Phys. Rev. 106, 620–630, 1957. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRev.106.620
- N. N. Čencov, Statistical Decision Rules and Optimal Inference (Russian), Nauka, 1972; English translation, American Mathematical Society, 1982.
- I. N. Sanov, On the probability of large deviations of random variables (Russian), Mat. Sbornik 42, 11–44, 1957.