Dynamic Optimal Reinsurance and Dividend Payout in Finite Time Horizon I: The HJB Variational Inequality Has a Unique Classical Solution with v_x ≥ 1, v_xx ≤ 0 and λv_x + v_xx ≥ 0Research Paper
Dividends, reinsurance and a finite horizon
An insurer that pays dividends to its shareholders faces a trade-off studied since de Finetti (1957): paying out surplus early raises the discounted payout but brings ruin closer. Reinsurance changes the trade-off, because ceding part of each claim lowers the volatility of the surplus at the price of a reinsurance premium. When the insurer may choose both the dividend stream and, at every moment, an arbitrary reinsurance contract, the problem becomes a mixed singular–classical stochastic control problem. Most of the literature treats it on an infinite horizon, where the value function solves an ordinary differential equation. On a finite horizon the value function also depends on time to maturity, the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation becomes a parabolic variational inequality with a gradient constraint, and neither its solvability nor the regularity of its solution is classical.
Guan, Xu and Zhou (arXiv:2008.00391v3, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023) show by PDE methods that this variational inequality has a classical solution, identify it with the value function, and read the optimal reinsurance contract and dividend barrier off its derivatives. This mission formalizes the PDE part: Theorem 3.1 and the steps of Appendix A that lead to it.
Setting
Claims are nonnegative random variables with common distribution function , , possibly discontinuous. The paper assumes the tail condition
so the moments and are finite. The other data are the net reinsurance loading , the discount factor and the horizon ; the mission assumes throughout.
A reinsurance contract is described by the retained loss the insurer keeps out of a claim of size , with ; is the set of such functions. For a function of the surplus and the time to maturity the operator
is the generator of the controlled diffusion approximation of the surplus. The HJB equation is the variational inequality, on ,
The functions
with and for , compute the supremum in (3.2), and has a unique root . The penalized gradient problem (A.17) on is
with , a penalty function and a boundary datum that ramps from down to on .
Formalization targets
Goal: Theorem 3.1
There is a unique that solves (3.1) and satisfies
Uniqueness is among solutions in the same class with the same six properties, as equality on .
Milestones
- (A.7)–(A.9): , are non-increasing, Lipschitz, bounded by and , with .
- (A.10): when .
- (A.12)–(A.13): everywhere, and has a unique root, which is positive.
- Lemma A.1: and are Lipschitz on .
- Lemma A.2: a comparison principle for (A.17) between functions .
- Lemma A.3: (A.17) has a solution, and for small , with , .
- Lemmas A.4–A.6: , , , .
Significance
Theorem 3.1 is the analytic core of the paper. The verification theorem (Theorem 3.2) needs a classical solution that is increasing and concave in , which Theorem 3.1 provides, and Section 4 derives the shape of the optimal policy from (3.4)–(3.9): the optimal retained loss is , and (3.9) bounds the reinsurance barrier away from zero. Without the existence of a classical solution, the HJB equation could only be interpreted in the viscosity sense, whose uniqueness theory for this mixed singular–classical problem is not available, and the strategies would not be well defined.
The result is proved in the paper; nothing in it has been machine-checked. A formal development would produce, beyond the theorem, a reusable formal treatment of a parabolic obstacle problem with a Robin boundary condition through penalization, comparison principles for quasilinear parabolic equations, and the explicit reduction of a supremum over reinsurance contracts against an arbitrary claim distribution. The appendix lemmas (A.7)–(A.13) and Lemma A.1 are elementary real analysis and are self-contained targets.
Difficulty
The supremum in is over a function space and may have atoms, so even the closed form (A.10) and the everywhere-differentiability of require care with one-sided derivatives at the jumps of . The operator is fully nonlinear and degenerates as , since . The inequality carries a gradient constraint rather than an obstacle, and the left boundary condition is incompatible with the initial condition at the corner , which is why the solution is only claimed to be away from that corner. The obvious route, solving (3.1) directly by a fixed-point argument, does not control ; the paper differentiates in and works with the gradient , which turns the gradient constraint into an obstacle but introduces the Robin condition with the wrong sign for a direct maximum principle. The passage needs and Hölder estimates uniform in , which are not in Mathlib.
Formalization scope
- Functions of are
ℝ → ℝ → ℝ; is time to maturity. Partial derivatives are explicit functions tied to byHasDerivAton sections at interior points (, ) and continuous on ; boundary values are these continuous extensions, and (3.1) holds at through them. - The claim law is a probability measure on with no mass on , and ; no density is assumed. consists of measurable with for , and is defined by the supremum (3.2), not by (A.10).
- is a standing hypothesis (the paper imposes it from Section 4; without it has no positive root and (3.9) is undefined).
- (3.7) is read as monotonicity of , (3.8) as monotonicity of , (3.9) for every positive root of .
- Uniqueness is equality on within the class of solutions with (3.4)–(3.9). Uniqueness among all classical solutions is not posed: the paper's argument on an unbounded domain uses no growth condition.
- Penalty data are taken at one fixed ; the limit of is not part of the data. "Sufficiently small " is an depending on the model and .
- A formalization in which is given by its closed form, the derivatives are
derivevaluated at boundary points, or uniqueness is stated as equality of functions on all of , would trivialize or falsify the goal; the statements avoid all three.
Needed infrastructure: interval integrals of monotone functions and their one-sided derivatives, maximum and comparison principles for linear and quasilinear parabolic equations in one space dimension, existence for quasilinear parabolic problems (Leray–Schauder with Schauder estimates), and compactness in Hölder and Sobolev spaces. The parabolic comparison principle and the penalization scheme are reusable well beyond this mission. Proofs of individual milestones, in particular the elementary ones (A.7)–(A.13) and Lemma A.1, are welcome independently.
Selected references
- C. Guan, Z. Q. Xu, R. Zhou, Dynamic optimal reinsurance and dividend-payout in finite time horizon, Mathematics of Operations Research, 2023; preprint arXiv:2008.00391v3. https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.00391
- B. de Finetti, Su un'impostazione alternativa della teoria collettiva del rischio, Transactions of the XVth International Congress of Actuaries, 1957.
- G. M. Lieberman, Second Order Parabolic Differential Equations, World Scientific, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1142/3302
- L. C. Evans, Partial Differential Equations, 2nd ed., American Mathematical Society, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1090/gsm/019